Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 29 March–4 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.1%
Venstre 23.4% 12.7% 11.4–14.1% 11.1–14.5% 10.7–14.8% 10.2–15.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–8.9% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 51–59 51–60 50–61 49–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 29 26–32 25–33 25–34 24–35
Venstre 43 23 20–26 20–27 19–28 19–28
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 14–18 13–18 13–19 12–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 12–17 11–17 10–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–17 12–17 12–17 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 8–13 8–14 7–14
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–11 7–12 7–12 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 3% 99.5%  
51 11% 96%  
52 3% 85%  
53 11% 81%  
54 7% 71%  
55 10% 64%  
56 6% 54% Median
57 10% 47%  
58 18% 37%  
59 10% 19%  
60 5% 8%  
61 1.2% 4%  
62 0.6% 2%  
63 1.2% 2%  
64 0.5% 0.6%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.3% 100%  
24 1.4% 99.7%  
25 5% 98%  
26 6% 93%  
27 10% 87%  
28 17% 77%  
29 14% 60% Median
30 18% 46%  
31 10% 28%  
32 13% 18%  
33 2% 5%  
34 3% 3%  
35 0.3% 0.5%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.8%  
19 4% 99.6%  
20 13% 95%  
21 11% 82%  
22 16% 72%  
23 11% 56% Median
24 22% 44%  
25 7% 23%  
26 8% 15%  
27 4% 7%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.9%  
13 5% 98.8%  
14 10% 94%  
15 19% 84%  
16 26% 65% Median
17 18% 39%  
18 18% 21%  
19 1.3% 3%  
20 0.7% 1.4%  
21 0.4% 0.7%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 4% 99.5%  
12 17% 95%  
13 23% 78%  
14 18% 55% Last Result, Median
15 8% 37%  
16 23% 29%  
17 5% 6%  
18 1.0% 1.2%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 1.4% 99.5%  
12 25% 98%  
13 17% 73% Last Result
14 15% 56% Median
15 16% 42%  
16 10% 26%  
17 15% 16%  
18 0.9% 1.0%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.9% 99.9%  
8 8% 99.0%  
9 22% 92%  
10 31% 70% Median
11 22% 39%  
12 7% 17%  
13 5% 10%  
14 4% 4%  
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 6% 99.6%  
8 18% 94%  
9 23% 77%  
10 26% 54% Median
11 18% 28%  
12 8% 10%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100%  
1 0% 57%  
2 0% 57%  
3 0.1% 57%  
4 28% 57% Last Result, Median
5 20% 29%  
6 8% 9%  
7 1.2% 1.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 75% 88–99 88–99 87–100 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 94 75% 88–99 88–99 87–100 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 5% 78–88 78–89 76–90 76–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 85 5% 78–88 78–89 76–90 76–93
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0.2% 76–87 76–87 75–88 72–89
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0.1% 76–87 76–87 74–88 72–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0.4% 75–85 74–85 74–86 73–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 60–71 59–72 58–72 58–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 60–71 59–72 58–72 58–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 60–70 59–70 59–71 59–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 50–60 49–61 48–62 47–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 52 0% 48–56 47–57 47–58 45–59
Venstre 43 23 0% 20–26 20–27 19–28 19–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.7% 99.8%  
87 3% 99.1%  
88 10% 96%  
89 10% 86%  
90 5% 75% Majority
91 4% 70%  
92 5% 66%  
93 7% 61%  
94 11% 54% Median
95 7% 43%  
96 9% 37% Last Result
97 13% 27%  
98 4% 14%  
99 6% 10%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.4% 2%  
102 0.2% 0.7%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.7% 99.8%  
87 3% 99.1%  
88 10% 96%  
89 10% 86%  
90 5% 75% Majority
91 4% 70% Last Result
92 5% 66%  
93 7% 61%  
94 11% 54% Median
95 7% 43%  
96 9% 36%  
97 13% 27%  
98 4% 14%  
99 6% 10%  
100 2% 4%  
101 1.4% 2%  
102 0.2% 0.7%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 2% 99.9%  
77 0.8% 97%  
78 7% 97%  
79 5% 90%  
80 5% 85% Last Result
81 11% 80%  
82 4% 70%  
83 9% 65%  
84 6% 56% Median
85 12% 50%  
86 12% 38%  
87 12% 26%  
88 8% 14%  
89 2% 6%  
90 2% 5% Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.1% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100% Last Result
76 2% 99.9%  
77 0.9% 97%  
78 7% 97%  
79 5% 90%  
80 5% 85%  
81 11% 80%  
82 4% 69%  
83 9% 65%  
84 6% 56% Median
85 12% 50%  
86 12% 38%  
87 12% 25%  
88 8% 14%  
89 2% 6%  
90 2% 5% Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.4% 0.9%  
93 0.1% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.4% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.2% 99.4%  
74 2% 99.2%  
75 2% 98%  
76 6% 96%  
77 4% 89%  
78 13% 85%  
79 10% 72% Last Result
80 7% 62%  
81 11% 55%  
82 7% 44% Median
83 6% 37%  
84 4% 31%  
85 4% 27%  
86 10% 22%  
87 8% 12%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.7% 0.9%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.5% 99.3%  
74 2% 98.8%  
75 2% 97%  
76 7% 95%  
77 4% 88%  
78 13% 84%  
79 10% 71% Last Result
80 7% 61%  
81 12% 54%  
82 7% 43% Median
83 6% 36%  
84 4% 30%  
85 4% 25%  
86 10% 22%  
87 8% 11%  
88 3% 3%  
89 0.7% 0.8%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.7%  
73 0.8% 99.5%  
74 4% 98.7%  
75 15% 94%  
76 7% 79%  
77 10% 73%  
78 8% 63% Last Result
79 6% 54%  
80 11% 48% Median
81 6% 37%  
82 9% 31%  
83 6% 22%  
84 5% 17%  
85 8% 11%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.8% 1.5%  
88 0.2% 0.7%  
89 0.1% 0.4%  
90 0.3% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 4% 99.7%  
59 4% 96%  
60 6% 92%  
61 12% 86%  
62 7% 75%  
63 4% 67%  
64 4% 63%  
65 10% 59%  
66 9% 48% Median
67 8% 40%  
68 5% 31%  
69 3% 26%  
70 11% 23%  
71 7% 12%  
72 4% 5%  
73 0.5% 0.9%  
74 0.3% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 4% 99.6%  
59 4% 96%  
60 6% 92%  
61 12% 86%  
62 8% 74%  
63 4% 66%  
64 4% 62%  
65 10% 58%  
66 9% 47% Median
67 9% 39%  
68 5% 30%  
69 3% 25%  
70 11% 22%  
71 6% 11%  
72 4% 5%  
73 0.5% 0.7%  
74 0.2% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 8% 99.6%  
60 3% 92%  
61 7% 89%  
62 4% 81%  
63 9% 77%  
64 13% 68% Last Result
65 7% 55%  
66 5% 49% Median
67 8% 43%  
68 11% 35%  
69 14% 25%  
70 6% 10%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.6% 2%  
73 0.5% 2%  
74 1.0% 1.1%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.8% 99.6%  
48 2% 98.8%  
49 7% 97%  
50 9% 90%  
51 10% 81%  
52 9% 72%  
53 5% 63%  
54 5% 58%  
55 7% 54%  
56 11% 47% Median
57 4% 36%  
58 6% 32%  
59 11% 26% Last Result
60 5% 14%  
61 6% 10%  
62 3% 3%  
63 0.6% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.4% 99.8%  
46 1.4% 99.4%  
47 5% 98%  
48 4% 93%  
49 8% 89%  
50 13% 80%  
51 12% 68%  
52 16% 56% Median
53 3% 41%  
54 12% 38%  
55 14% 26% Last Result
56 4% 12%  
57 3% 8%  
58 4% 5%  
59 0.6% 0.8%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.8%  
19 4% 99.6%  
20 13% 95%  
21 11% 82%  
22 16% 72%  
23 11% 56% Median
24 22% 44%  
25 7% 23%  
26 8% 15%  
27 4% 7%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations