Opinion Poll by Gallup, 2–8 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.3% 27.9–30.8% 27.5–31.2% 27.2–31.6% 26.6–32.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.7% 15.6–17.9% 15.3–18.3% 15.0–18.6% 14.5–19.2%
Venstre 23.4% 12.6% 11.6–13.7% 11.3–14.0% 11.1–14.3% 10.7–14.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.1% 8.3–10.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.6% 7.5–11.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.2% 6.2–9.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 5.8–7.9% 5.7–8.1% 5.3–8.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.7% 6.0–7.6% 5.8–7.8% 5.6–8.0% 5.3–8.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.5% 5.8–7.3% 5.6–7.5% 5.4–7.8% 5.1–8.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.9–2.8% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.1% 1.5–3.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 49–55 48–56 47–57 47–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 30 27–33 27–33 27–33 25–34
Venstre 43 23 21–25 20–25 20–25 19–27
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 15–18 14–18 14–19 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 12–16 12–17 11–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 10–14 10–14 10–14 10–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–15
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 3% 99.7%  
48 2% 96% Last Result
49 8% 95%  
50 6% 86%  
51 27% 80%  
52 15% 53% Median
53 20% 38%  
54 6% 18%  
55 6% 12%  
56 3% 6%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.4% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.7% 100%  
26 1.3% 99.3%  
27 8% 98%  
28 11% 90%  
29 18% 79%  
30 21% 61% Median
31 14% 40%  
32 16% 26%  
33 9% 10%  
34 0.5% 0.9%  
35 0.4% 0.4%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.4% 100%  
19 0.5% 99.6%  
20 7% 99.1%  
21 24% 92%  
22 9% 68%  
23 22% 59% Median
24 24% 36%  
25 10% 12%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.7% 0.8%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 1.0% 99.9% Last Result
14 8% 99.0%  
15 8% 91%  
16 44% 83% Median
17 15% 39%  
18 20% 24%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.5% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.3% 99.8%  
12 9% 98%  
13 28% 89%  
14 17% 61% Last Result, Median
15 26% 44%  
16 14% 18%  
17 4% 4%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.4% 100%  
10 12% 99.6%  
11 25% 88%  
12 18% 63% Median
13 28% 45%  
14 15% 17%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.3% 100%  
10 5% 98.7%  
11 22% 94%  
12 38% 72% Median
13 29% 34%  
14 4% 5%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 15% 98%  
11 34% 83% Median
12 25% 49%  
13 19% 24%  
14 3% 5%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 2% 78%  
4 56% 77% Last Result, Median
5 17% 21%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 97% 91–97 90–98 89–99 88–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 94 97% 91–97 90–98 89–99 88–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 83 0.1% 79–85 79–87 78–87 76–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 83 0.1% 79–85 79–87 78–87 76–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 77–84 76–85 75–85 74–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 77 0% 74–81 74–82 73–83 72–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 65–72 64–72 63–73 61–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 60–66 59–68 59–69 58–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 53–59 52–60 51–60 49–62
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 53 0% 50–56 49–56 48–56 47–57
Venstre 43 23 0% 21–25 20–25 20–25 19–27

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.4% 99.9%  
88 1.0% 99.5%  
89 1.4% 98%  
90 7% 97% Majority
91 8% 90%  
92 5% 82%  
93 19% 77% Median
94 12% 58%  
95 22% 45%  
96 6% 23% Last Result
97 10% 18%  
98 4% 7%  
99 1.4% 3%  
100 2% 2%  
101 0.3% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.4% 99.9%  
88 1.0% 99.5%  
89 1.4% 98%  
90 7% 97% Majority
91 8% 90% Last Result
92 5% 82%  
93 19% 77% Median
94 12% 58%  
95 22% 45%  
96 6% 23%  
97 10% 18%  
98 4% 7%  
99 1.4% 3%  
100 2% 2%  
101 0.3% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.9% 99.8%  
77 0.6% 98.9%  
78 3% 98%  
79 6% 96%  
80 14% 90% Last Result
81 13% 76%  
82 12% 63% Median
83 16% 51%  
84 17% 35%  
85 11% 19%  
86 2% 8%  
87 4% 6%  
88 1.3% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100% Last Result
76 0.9% 99.8%  
77 0.6% 98.9%  
78 3% 98%  
79 6% 96%  
80 14% 90%  
81 13% 76%  
82 12% 63% Median
83 16% 51%  
84 17% 35%  
85 11% 19%  
86 2% 8%  
87 4% 6%  
88 1.3% 2%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.5%  
75 2% 98.8%  
76 2% 96%  
77 8% 94%  
78 11% 87%  
79 7% 76% Last Result
80 23% 69%  
81 13% 45% Median
82 17% 32%  
83 4% 15%  
84 5% 11%  
85 4% 6%  
86 1.0% 1.2%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.9% 99.6%  
73 2% 98.8%  
74 9% 97%  
75 8% 88%  
76 6% 80%  
77 27% 74% Median
78 16% 47% Last Result
79 12% 31%  
80 4% 19%  
81 9% 15%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.4% 1.3%  
85 0.8% 0.9%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 1.2% 99.5%  
63 2% 98%  
64 2% 96%  
65 7% 94%  
66 9% 87%  
67 22% 78%  
68 17% 57%  
69 8% 40% Median
70 13% 31%  
71 6% 19%  
72 10% 13%  
73 2% 3%  
74 1.2% 1.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.8% 99.8%  
59 7% 98.9%  
60 3% 92%  
61 11% 89%  
62 13% 78%  
63 14% 65% Median
64 16% 51% Last Result
65 18% 35%  
66 8% 18%  
67 3% 10%  
68 4% 7%  
69 2% 3%  
70 1.2% 1.2%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.7% 99.8%  
50 0.8% 99.1%  
51 2% 98%  
52 4% 96%  
53 7% 92%  
54 7% 86%  
55 17% 79%  
56 21% 62%  
57 14% 42% Median
58 11% 27%  
59 8% 16% Last Result
60 6% 8%  
61 0.9% 2%  
62 1.4% 2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.4% 100%  
47 0.6% 99.6%  
48 3% 99.0%  
49 6% 96%  
50 6% 90%  
51 13% 84%  
52 17% 71%  
53 17% 54% Median
54 9% 37%  
55 15% 28% Last Result
56 10% 13%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.3% 0.5%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.4% 100%  
19 0.5% 99.6%  
20 7% 99.1%  
21 24% 92%  
22 9% 68%  
23 22% 59% Median
24 24% 36%  
25 10% 12%  
26 1.3% 2%  
27 0.7% 0.8%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations