Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 5–10 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.0% 30.1–33.9% 29.6–34.4% 29.1–34.9% 28.3–35.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.2% 13.8–16.7% 13.4–17.2% 13.1–17.5% 12.5–18.3%
Venstre 23.4% 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.3–14.3% 9.7–15.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 55–60 54–61 53–63 51–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 27 24–31 24–32 23–32 22–34
Venstre 43 22 19–24 19–24 18–26 18–27
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 14–19 14–20 14–20 13–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–18 12–20 12–20 11–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–16 12–17 11–17 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–13 8–14 8–14 7–14
Radikale Venstre 16 8 7–11 7–12 6–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100% Last Result
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 1.0% 99.5%  
53 2% 98%  
54 3% 96%  
55 29% 93%  
56 6% 65%  
57 8% 59%  
58 20% 51% Median
59 19% 31%  
60 6% 12%  
61 2% 6%  
62 1.3% 4%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.2% 0.5%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 1.5% 100%  
23 2% 98%  
24 18% 97%  
25 4% 79%  
26 8% 75%  
27 20% 68% Median
28 5% 47%  
29 10% 43%  
30 17% 32%  
31 9% 15%  
32 5% 6%  
33 0.2% 0.8%  
34 0.5% 0.7%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 4% 99.7%  
19 7% 96%  
20 6% 89%  
21 7% 83%  
22 34% 76% Median
23 15% 42%  
24 23% 27%  
25 2% 5%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.4% 0.7%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.4% 99.9%  
13 1.2% 99.5%  
14 10% 98%  
15 54% 88% Median
16 6% 34%  
17 6% 28%  
18 10% 22%  
19 4% 11%  
20 7% 8%  
21 0.5% 0.8%  
22 0% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.8% 100%  
12 5% 99.2%  
13 6% 94% Last Result
14 29% 89%  
15 12% 59% Median
16 7% 48%  
17 26% 40%  
18 8% 14%  
19 0.7% 6%  
20 5% 5%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.9% 99.8%  
11 2% 98.9%  
12 5% 97%  
13 13% 92%  
14 36% 79% Last Result, Median
15 27% 43%  
16 7% 16%  
17 7% 9%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 0.9% 99.8%  
8 19% 98.9%  
9 10% 80%  
10 24% 70% Median
11 26% 46%  
12 7% 20%  
13 6% 12%  
14 6% 6%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 3% 99.9%  
7 19% 97%  
8 33% 78% Median
9 8% 45%  
10 23% 37%  
11 6% 14%  
12 8% 9%  
13 0.7% 0.7%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100%  
1 0% 62%  
2 0% 62%  
3 0.7% 62%  
4 41% 62% Last Result, Median
5 20% 21%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 6% 7%  
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 96 98.5% 92–100 91–100 90–101 87–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 96 98.5% 92–100 91–100 90–101 87–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 87 32% 84–91 82–91 81–93 80–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 87 32% 84–91 82–91 81–93 80–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 80 0.1% 77–84 76–84 75–85 72–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 75–83 75–84 74–85 71–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 75–83 74–84 73–85 71–87
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 63–69 63–70 62–71 59–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 59–68 58–68 57–68 54–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 59–68 58–68 57–68 54–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 49–57 47–57 47–57 43–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 50 0% 46–53 45–55 44–55 43–56
Venstre 43 22 0% 19–24 19–24 18–26 18–27

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 1.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 98.8%  
89 0.2% 98.8%  
90 3% 98.5% Majority
91 1.1% 95%  
92 18% 94%  
93 10% 77%  
94 5% 66%  
95 5% 62% Median
96 10% 57% Last Result
97 7% 46%  
98 7% 39%  
99 10% 32%  
100 19% 22%  
101 1.0% 3%  
102 0.8% 2%  
103 0.4% 1.4%  
104 0.9% 1.0%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 1.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 98.8%  
89 0.2% 98.8%  
90 3% 98.5% Majority
91 1.1% 95% Last Result
92 18% 94%  
93 10% 77%  
94 5% 66%  
95 5% 62% Median
96 10% 57%  
97 7% 46%  
98 7% 39%  
99 10% 32%  
100 19% 22%  
101 0.9% 3%  
102 0.7% 2%  
103 0.4% 1.4%  
104 0.8% 1.0%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.4% 99.9%  
80 0.5% 99.5% Last Result
81 2% 99.0%  
82 5% 97%  
83 2% 93%  
84 22% 90%  
85 2% 68%  
86 13% 67%  
87 6% 54% Median
88 5% 48%  
89 10% 43%  
90 20% 32% Majority
91 8% 12%  
92 1.5% 4%  
93 1.4% 3%  
94 0.2% 1.2%  
95 0.1% 1.1%  
96 0.3% 0.9%  
97 0.6% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.4% 99.9%  
80 0.5% 99.5%  
81 2% 99.0%  
82 5% 97%  
83 2% 93%  
84 22% 90%  
85 2% 68%  
86 13% 67%  
87 6% 54% Median
88 5% 47%  
89 10% 43%  
90 20% 32% Majority
91 8% 12%  
92 1.5% 4%  
93 1.4% 3%  
94 0.1% 1.2%  
95 0.1% 1.1%  
96 0.3% 0.9%  
97 0.6% 0.7%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 99.5%  
73 0.3% 98.8%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 1.0% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 6% 95%  
78 18% 89% Last Result
79 14% 70%  
80 7% 57% Median
81 14% 50%  
82 5% 36%  
83 19% 31%  
84 7% 12%  
85 3% 5%  
86 0.6% 2%  
87 0.9% 1.3%  
88 0.3% 0.4%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.2% 100%  
71 0.9% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.0%  
73 0.8% 98.6%  
74 1.0% 98%  
75 19% 97%  
76 10% 78%  
77 7% 68%  
78 7% 61% Median
79 10% 53% Last Result
80 5% 43%  
81 5% 38%  
82 10% 34%  
83 18% 23%  
84 1.1% 6%  
85 3% 5%  
86 0.2% 1.5%  
87 0.1% 1.2%  
88 1.1% 1.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.9% 99.7%  
72 0.7% 98.9%  
73 3% 98%  
74 2% 96%  
75 19% 93%  
76 11% 74%  
77 5% 63%  
78 6% 58% Median
79 11% 52% Last Result
80 4% 41%  
81 4% 37%  
82 10% 32%  
83 17% 22%  
84 2% 5%  
85 3% 4%  
86 0.2% 0.7%  
87 0% 0.5%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.8% 99.8%  
60 0.7% 99.0%  
61 0.5% 98%  
62 2% 98%  
63 21% 95%  
64 6% 75% Last Result
65 15% 69%  
66 10% 53% Median
67 14% 44%  
68 4% 30%  
69 18% 26%  
70 3% 7%  
71 3% 5%  
72 0.7% 1.3%  
73 0.2% 0.6%  
74 0.1% 0.5%  
75 0.3% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.6% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.2%  
56 0.3% 99.1%  
57 2% 98.8%  
58 5% 96%  
59 3% 92%  
60 20% 89%  
61 10% 69%  
62 8% 59%  
63 4% 51% Median
64 10% 46%  
65 4% 36%  
66 6% 32%  
67 9% 26%  
68 16% 18%  
69 0.5% 2%  
70 0.6% 1.4%  
71 0.8% 0.9%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.6% 99.8%  
55 0.5% 99.2%  
56 0.6% 98.7%  
57 3% 98%  
58 5% 95%  
59 5% 91%  
60 22% 86%  
61 10% 64%  
62 8% 54%  
63 3% 47% Median
64 8% 44%  
65 4% 35%  
66 6% 31%  
67 9% 25%  
68 16% 17%  
69 0.4% 0.9%  
70 0.3% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.9% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.0%  
45 0.5% 98.8%  
46 0.5% 98%  
47 3% 98%  
48 4% 95%  
49 9% 91%  
50 11% 81%  
51 7% 70%  
52 20% 63%  
53 9% 43% Median
54 2% 34%  
55 7% 32%  
56 1.0% 25%  
57 23% 24%  
58 0.6% 1.1%  
59 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 1.1% 99.8%  
44 2% 98.7%  
45 6% 97%  
46 2% 91%  
47 4% 88%  
48 20% 84%  
49 11% 64% Median
50 10% 53%  
51 8% 43%  
52 18% 34%  
53 10% 16%  
54 0.9% 7%  
55 5% 6% Last Result
56 0.5% 1.0%  
57 0.1% 0.5%  
58 0.4% 0.4%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 4% 99.7%  
19 7% 96%  
20 6% 89%  
21 7% 83%  
22 34% 76% Median
23 15% 42%  
24 23% 27%  
25 2% 5%  
26 2% 3%  
27 0.4% 0.7%  
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations