Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 9–11 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.2% 31.6–35.0% 31.1–35.5% 30.7–35.9% 29.9–36.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.0% 13.8–16.4% 13.4–16.8% 13.2–17.1% 12.6–17.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 11.7% 10.6–12.9% 10.3–13.3% 10.0–13.6% 9.5–14.2%
Venstre 23.4% 8.7% 7.7–9.8% 7.5–10.1% 7.2–10.3% 6.8–10.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.4% 6.5–8.4% 6.3–8.7% 6.1–9.0% 5.7–9.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.4% 6.5–8.4% 6.3–8.7% 6.1–9.0% 5.7–9.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.8% 6.0–7.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.6–8.4% 5.2–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.8% 4.1–5.6% 3.9–5.9% 3.7–6.1% 3.4–6.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.6% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–1.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 58 56–62 55–66 54–68 50–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 23–28 23–29 21–29 21–31
Nye Borgerlige 4 21 19–24 19–24 19–24 16–25
Venstre 43 14 14–17 14–20 13–20 12–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 11–16 10–17 10–17 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 10–13 9–14 9–14 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 9 7–10 7–10 7–11 6–11
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 4–7 0–8 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 1.0% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.0%  
52 0.4% 98.8%  
53 0.2% 98%  
54 3% 98%  
55 1.2% 96%  
56 10% 94%  
57 2% 84%  
58 35% 82% Median
59 0.9% 47%  
60 2% 46%  
61 34% 44%  
62 0.4% 10%  
63 0.1% 10%  
64 2% 10%  
65 0% 8%  
66 4% 8%  
67 0.1% 4%  
68 3% 3%  
69 0.9% 0.9%  
70 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 3% 100%  
22 0.4% 97%  
23 24% 97%  
24 5% 73%  
25 10% 68%  
26 9% 57% Median
27 0.4% 48%  
28 43% 48%  
29 3% 5%  
30 0.6% 2%  
31 1.1% 1.2%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 0.7% 99.4%  
18 1.0% 98.7%  
19 10% 98%  
20 37% 88%  
21 7% 51% Median
22 7% 44%  
23 12% 37%  
24 23% 25%  
25 1.5% 2%  
26 0.2% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.8%  
13 4% 99.2%  
14 62% 96% Median
15 10% 34%  
16 5% 24%  
17 11% 19%  
18 0.2% 8%  
19 2% 8%  
20 5% 6%  
21 0.7% 1.2%  
22 0.5% 0.5%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 2% 99.7%  
11 4% 98%  
12 2% 94%  
13 17% 92% Last Result
14 45% 75% Median
15 26% 30%  
16 3% 4%  
17 1.2% 1.2%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 6% 99.9%  
11 25% 94%  
12 3% 69%  
13 4% 66%  
14 40% 62% Last Result, Median
15 7% 22%  
16 6% 15%  
17 8% 9%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 6% 100%  
10 4% 94%  
11 20% 89%  
12 5% 69%  
13 57% 64% Median
14 5% 7%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100%  
6 1.3% 99.9%  
7 21% 98.7%  
8 4% 77%  
9 43% 73% Median
10 27% 30%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 39% 95% Last Result
5 39% 56% Median
6 10% 17%  
7 3% 7%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 4% 5%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 95% 91–101 89–103 88–105 85–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 95 95% 91–101 89–103 88–105 85–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 86 16% 83–92 81–93 81–96 78–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 86 16% 83–92 81–93 81–96 78–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 6% 78–86 75–90 75–92 71–92
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0.9% 74–84 72–86 70–87 70–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0.9% 74–84 72–84 70–86 70–90
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 63–71 63–76 62–77 57–78
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 60 0% 54–62 51–65 50–67 50–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 59 0% 54–62 51–62 50–67 50–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 47 0% 41–50 39–51 39–53 39–55
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 42 0% 37–44 37–45 35–45 35–50
Venstre 43 14 0% 14–17 14–20 13–20 12–21

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.8% 100%  
86 0% 99.1%  
87 0% 99.1%  
88 2% 99.1%  
89 2% 97%  
90 2% 95% Majority
91 8% 92%  
92 1.4% 84%  
93 0.3% 83%  
94 11% 82%  
95 33% 72% Median
96 0.9% 39% Last Result
97 22% 38%  
98 0.2% 16%  
99 2% 15%  
100 0.9% 13%  
101 5% 13%  
102 2% 8%  
103 4% 6%  
104 0% 3%  
105 3% 3%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.8% 100%  
86 0% 99.1%  
87 0% 99.1%  
88 2% 99.1%  
89 2% 97%  
90 2% 95% Majority
91 8% 92% Last Result
92 1.4% 84%  
93 0.3% 83%  
94 11% 82%  
95 33% 72% Median
96 0.9% 39%  
97 22% 38%  
98 0.2% 16%  
99 2% 15%  
100 0.9% 13%  
101 5% 13%  
102 2% 8%  
103 4% 6%  
104 0% 3%  
105 3% 3%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 1.0% 100%  
79 0.6% 99.0%  
80 0.1% 98% Last Result
81 4% 98%  
82 4% 95%  
83 2% 91%  
84 7% 89%  
85 0.3% 82%  
86 33% 81% Median
87 31% 48%  
88 1.4% 17%  
89 0.2% 16%  
90 0% 16% Majority
91 4% 16%  
92 5% 11%  
93 4% 6%  
94 0% 3%  
95 0% 3%  
96 3% 3%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 1.0% 100%  
79 0.6% 99.0%  
80 0.1% 98%  
81 4% 98%  
82 4% 95%  
83 2% 91%  
84 7% 89%  
85 0.3% 82%  
86 33% 81% Median
87 31% 48%  
88 1.4% 17%  
89 0.2% 16%  
90 0% 16% Majority
91 4% 16%  
92 5% 11%  
93 4% 6%  
94 0% 3%  
95 0% 3%  
96 3% 3%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 1.0% 100%  
72 0.7% 99.0%  
73 0% 98%  
74 0% 98%  
75 4% 98%  
76 0.6% 95%  
77 2% 94%  
78 7% 92% Last Result
79 2% 85%  
80 10% 84%  
81 33% 74% Median
82 22% 40%  
83 2% 19%  
84 0.6% 16%  
85 1.4% 16%  
86 5% 14%  
87 0.1% 9%  
88 1.0% 9%  
89 2% 8%  
90 4% 6% Majority
91 0.1% 3%  
92 3% 3%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 3% 100%  
71 0% 97%  
72 4% 97%  
73 2% 94%  
74 5% 92%  
75 0.9% 87%  
76 2% 87%  
77 0.2% 85%  
78 22% 84%  
79 0.9% 62% Last Result, Median
80 33% 61%  
81 11% 28%  
82 0.3% 18%  
83 1.4% 17%  
84 8% 16%  
85 3% 8%  
86 2% 5%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0% 0.9%  
89 0% 0.9%  
90 0.8% 0.9% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 3% 100%  
71 0% 97%  
72 4% 97%  
73 2% 94%  
74 5% 92%  
75 0.9% 87%  
76 2% 86%  
77 0.2% 84%  
78 22% 84%  
79 0.7% 62% Last Result, Median
80 34% 61%  
81 12% 27%  
82 2% 15%  
83 1.4% 13%  
84 7% 11%  
85 1.3% 4%  
86 0.8% 3%  
87 1.1% 2%  
88 0% 0.9%  
89 0% 0.9%  
90 0.8% 0.9% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 1.0% 100%  
58 0% 99.0%  
59 0% 99.0%  
60 0.3% 99.0%  
61 0.9% 98.7%  
62 0.5% 98%  
63 11% 97%  
64 3% 86% Last Result
65 2% 83%  
66 2% 82%  
67 34% 80% Median
68 7% 46%  
69 2% 39%  
70 5% 36%  
71 22% 32%  
72 0.1% 10%  
73 0.8% 10%  
74 0.1% 9%  
75 2% 9%  
76 4% 7%  
77 3% 3%  
78 0.9% 0.9%  
79 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 3% 100%  
51 4% 97%  
52 0% 94%  
53 0% 94%  
54 23% 94%  
55 5% 71%  
56 1.2% 66%  
57 3% 65%  
58 10% 62% Median
59 0.8% 52%  
60 35% 52%  
61 4% 17%  
62 6% 13%  
63 0.8% 7%  
64 2% 7%  
65 1.3% 5%  
66 0.5% 4%  
67 2% 3%  
68 1.0% 1.0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 3% 100%  
51 4% 97%  
52 0% 94%  
53 0.1% 94%  
54 23% 94%  
55 5% 71%  
56 2% 66%  
57 4% 63%  
58 10% 60% Median
59 0.8% 50%  
60 36% 49%  
61 3% 13%  
62 6% 11%  
63 0.8% 5%  
64 0.5% 4%  
65 0.3% 4%  
66 0.2% 3%  
67 2% 3%  
68 1.0% 1.0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 6% 100%  
40 0% 94%  
41 22% 94%  
42 0% 72%  
43 0.3% 72%  
44 3% 72%  
45 3% 69% Median
46 7% 66%  
47 43% 59%  
48 2% 15%  
49 1.0% 14%  
50 4% 13%  
51 5% 9%  
52 0.2% 3%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.1% 1.3%  
55 1.2% 1.2%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 3% 99.9%  
36 0% 97%  
37 21% 97%  
38 3% 76%  
39 5% 73%  
40 2% 69% Median
41 4% 67%  
42 39% 63%  
43 12% 24%  
44 3% 12%  
45 7% 9%  
46 0.8% 2%  
47 0.2% 2%  
48 0.1% 1.3%  
49 0.7% 1.2%  
50 0.5% 0.5%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 0.6% 99.8%  
13 4% 99.2%  
14 62% 96% Median
15 10% 34%  
16 5% 24%  
17 11% 19%  
18 0.2% 8%  
19 2% 8%  
20 5% 6%  
21 0.7% 1.2%  
22 0.5% 0.5%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations