Opinion Poll by Epinion, 7–13 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.7% 29.2–32.2% 28.8–32.6% 28.4–33.0% 27.8–33.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.5% 14.4–16.8% 14.1–17.1% 13.8–17.4% 13.3–18.0%
Venstre 23.4% 10.4% 9.5–11.4% 9.2–11.7% 9.0–12.0% 8.6–12.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.8% 8.0–9.8% 7.7–10.1% 7.5–10.3% 7.1–10.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.3–9.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.6% 6.5–10.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.8% 6.4–9.0% 6.0–9.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 4.0–7.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.8% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 52–57 52–60 52–60 51–60
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 27 26–28 26–28 26–29 25–32
Venstre 43 18 18–19 18–20 18–21 16–22
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 14–17 14–17 14–18 13–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 12–17 12–17 12–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–15 12–15 12–15 10–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–10 8–10 8–11 8–11
Radikale Venstre 16 8 7–9 7–9 7–10 7–11
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 5 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.5%  
52 11% 98%  
53 5% 87%  
54 11% 82%  
55 13% 71%  
56 47% 58% Median
57 3% 11%  
58 2% 8%  
59 0.7% 7%  
60 6% 6%  
61 0.2% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.6% 99.8%  
26 46% 99.2%  
27 39% 53% Median
28 11% 14%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.2% 1.2%  
31 0.4% 1.1%  
32 0.6% 0.7%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.8%  
17 1.1% 98.9%  
18 65% 98% Median
19 26% 33%  
20 2% 7%  
21 4% 5%  
22 0.5% 0.5%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.8% 100%  
14 13% 99.2%  
15 36% 86% Median
16 25% 50%  
17 21% 25%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 6% 99.8%  
13 10% 94%  
14 16% 84% Last Result
15 41% 68% Median
16 12% 28%  
17 15% 15%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.9% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.1%  
12 3% 98%  
13 22% 95% Last Result
14 56% 72% Median
15 15% 16%  
16 1.0% 1.3%  
17 0.2% 0.3%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 25% 99.6%  
9 19% 75%  
10 51% 55% Median
11 4% 4%  
12 0.4% 0.5%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 32% 100%  
8 38% 68% Median
9 25% 29%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.5% 0.7%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.7% 100%  
1 0% 99.3%  
2 0% 99.3%  
3 0.1% 99.3%  
4 46% 99.2% Last Result
5 52% 53% Median
6 1.0% 1.0%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 38% 88%  
5 50% 51% Median
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.8% 100% Median
1 0% 0.2%  
2 0% 0.2%  
3 0% 0.2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 92 91% 90–95 89–97 88–97 87–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 92 91% 90–95 89–97 88–97 87–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 0.2% 82–86 80–88 80–88 78–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 85 0.2% 82–86 80–88 80–88 78–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 76–81 74–84 74–84 73–84
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 76–81 73–82 73–83 73–84
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 73–76 73–78 73–79 71–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 61–65 60–69 60–69 60–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 64 0% 61–65 57–65 57–66 57–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 59 0% 57–60 57–62 57–63 55–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 49–52 49–52 49–52 46–55
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 45 0% 44–47 44–47 44–48 43–50
Venstre 43 18 0% 18–19 18–20 18–21 16–22

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.2% 100%  
87 1.1% 99.7%  
88 1.5% 98.7%  
89 6% 97%  
90 9% 91% Majority
91 16% 82%  
92 42% 67%  
93 12% 25% Median
94 2% 13%  
95 0.8% 11%  
96 3% 10% Last Result
97 7% 7%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.2% 100%  
87 1.1% 99.7%  
88 1.5% 98.7%  
89 6% 97%  
90 9% 91% Majority
91 16% 82% Last Result
92 42% 67%  
93 12% 25% Median
94 2% 13%  
95 0.8% 10%  
96 3% 10%  
97 7% 7%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 1.1% 99.7%  
79 0.7% 98.6%  
80 6% 98% Last Result
81 1.5% 92%  
82 10% 90%  
83 25% 80%  
84 0.8% 55%  
85 43% 54% Median
86 1.4% 11%  
87 0.7% 10%  
88 8% 9%  
89 1.1% 1.3%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 1.1% 99.7%  
79 0.7% 98.6%  
80 6% 98%  
81 1.5% 92%  
82 10% 90%  
83 25% 80%  
84 0.8% 55%  
85 43% 54% Median
86 1.5% 11%  
87 0.7% 10%  
88 8% 9%  
89 1.0% 1.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.8%  
74 4% 99.2%  
75 2% 95%  
76 10% 93%  
77 10% 83%  
78 47% 73% Last Result
79 11% 26% Median
80 4% 15%  
81 1.4% 11%  
82 3% 10%  
83 1.1% 7%  
84 6% 6%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 6% 99.9%  
74 2% 94%  
75 0.8% 91%  
76 1.2% 91%  
77 11% 89%  
78 3% 78%  
79 50% 76% Last Result
80 15% 25% Median
81 5% 10%  
82 2% 5%  
83 2% 3%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.2% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0% 99.7%  
70 0.1% 99.7%  
71 0.2% 99.6%  
72 0.5% 99.4%  
73 18% 98.9%  
74 45% 81%  
75 11% 36% Median
76 18% 26%  
77 1.2% 7%  
78 2% 6%  
79 3% 5% Last Result
80 0.3% 2%  
81 0.9% 1.2%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.8%  
60 9% 99.6%  
61 3% 90%  
62 16% 88%  
63 33% 72%  
64 26% 38% Last Result, Median
65 3% 12%  
66 2% 9%  
67 1.1% 7%  
68 0.3% 6%  
69 6% 6%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 6% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 94%  
59 0.5% 94%  
60 3% 94%  
61 12% 90%  
62 9% 79%  
63 16% 70%  
64 33% 54%  
65 17% 21% Median
66 2% 4%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.3% 0.6%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.8%  
56 0.2% 99.4%  
57 17% 99.2%  
58 9% 82%  
59 47% 73%  
60 18% 27% Median
61 3% 8%  
62 3% 5%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.2% 0.8%  
65 0.2% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.4% 99.9%  
47 0.3% 99.5%  
48 0.9% 99.2%  
49 70% 98%  
50 5% 28% Median
51 10% 23%  
52 10% 13%  
53 0.9% 2%  
54 0.9% 1.4%  
55 0.1% 0.5%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.2% 100%  
43 0.3% 99.8%  
44 33% 99.4%  
45 40% 67% Median
46 10% 26%  
47 13% 16%  
48 1.0% 3%  
49 0.8% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.8%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 0.9% 99.8%  
17 1.1% 98.9%  
18 65% 98% Median
19 26% 33%  
20 2% 7%  
21 4% 5%  
22 0.5% 0.5%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations