Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 12–18 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.3% 29.5–33.3% 29.0–33.8% 28.6–34.3% 27.7–35.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.2% 13.9–16.8% 13.5–17.2% 13.2–17.6% 12.5–18.3%
Venstre 23.4% 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.4% 9.0–14.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 57 55–59 53–59 51–61 51–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 26–29 25–30 24–30 23–32
Venstre 43 21 19–23 18–24 18–25 16–25
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 16–18 15–19 13–19 13–20
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 14–17 14–17 13–18 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 11–14 10–15 10–16 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–14 10–14 10–16 9–17
Radikale Venstre 16 7 6–8 6–9 6–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 3% 99.6%  
52 1.0% 96%  
53 2% 95%  
54 3% 93%  
55 34% 91%  
56 4% 56%  
57 7% 53% Median
58 32% 46%  
59 9% 14%  
60 0.5% 5%  
61 2% 4%  
62 0.9% 2%  
63 1.3% 1.4%  
64 0% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 1.4% 99.8%  
24 1.0% 98%  
25 4% 97%  
26 5% 93%  
27 36% 88%  
28 6% 52% Median
29 37% 46%  
30 7% 9%  
31 0.9% 2%  
32 0.7% 0.9%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 0.7% 99.3%  
18 5% 98.6%  
19 7% 94%  
20 34% 87%  
21 38% 53% Median
22 2% 15%  
23 6% 13%  
24 4% 7%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.9% Last Result
14 2% 97%  
15 4% 95%  
16 11% 91%  
17 32% 80% Median
18 41% 48%  
19 5% 6%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.7%  
13 3% 99.1%  
14 11% 96%  
15 34% 86%  
16 34% 51% Median
17 14% 17%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.1% 2%  
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 6% 99.9%  
11 6% 94%  
12 8% 88%  
13 67% 81% Median
14 9% 14% Last Result
15 3% 5%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.6% 1.0%  
18 0.2% 0.5%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 37% 98%  
11 6% 61%  
12 39% 56% Median
13 5% 16%  
14 7% 11%  
15 2% 4%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.6% 0.6%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0.6% 99.9%  
6 39% 99.3%  
7 15% 60% Median
8 37% 45%  
9 5% 9%  
10 3% 4%  
11 1.1% 1.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 79% 95% Last Result, Median
5 9% 16%  
6 5% 7%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 6% 6%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 95% 91–97 89–99 88–100 87–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 93 95% 91–97 89–99 88–100 87–104
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 86 7% 84–89 82–91 80–92 79–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 86 7% 84–89 82–91 80–92 79–94
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0.1% 78–84 76–85 75–87 71–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0.1% 78–84 76–85 74–87 71–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 76 0% 74–79 74–82 72–83 71–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 64 0% 63–68 60–70 59–70 55–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 63–68 60–70 59–70 55–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 61–66 61–69 59–70 58–72
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 49–57 48–57 46–58 44–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 49 0% 46–52 44–53 43–53 41–54
Venstre 43 21 0% 19–23 18–24 18–25 16–25

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.7% 99.7%  
88 3% 99.1%  
89 0.9% 96%  
90 3% 95% Majority
91 36% 92%  
92 3% 56%  
93 4% 53%  
94 6% 49% Median
95 1.1% 43%  
96 3% 42% Last Result
97 32% 39%  
98 2% 7%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 1.4% 2%  
102 0.1% 0.9%  
103 0.1% 0.9%  
104 0.7% 0.8%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.7% 99.7%  
88 3% 99.1%  
89 0.9% 96%  
90 3% 95% Majority
91 36% 92% Last Result
92 3% 55%  
93 4% 53%  
94 6% 49% Median
95 1.1% 43%  
96 3% 42%  
97 32% 39%  
98 2% 7%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.0% 3%  
101 1.4% 2%  
102 0% 0.9%  
103 0.1% 0.9%  
104 0.7% 0.8%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.9% 99.8%  
80 1.5% 98.9% Last Result
81 0.4% 97%  
82 5% 97%  
83 1.0% 92%  
84 2% 91%  
85 37% 89%  
86 3% 51%  
87 5% 48% Median
88 3% 43%  
89 33% 40%  
90 0.5% 7% Majority
91 4% 6%  
92 0.3% 3%  
93 1.3% 2%  
94 0.8% 1.0%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.9% 99.8%  
80 1.5% 98.9%  
81 0.4% 97%  
82 5% 97%  
83 1.0% 92%  
84 2% 91%  
85 37% 89%  
86 3% 51%  
87 5% 48% Median
88 3% 43%  
89 33% 40%  
90 0.5% 7% Majority
91 4% 6%  
92 0.3% 3%  
93 1.3% 2%  
94 0.8% 1.0%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.7% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.2%  
73 0.2% 99.1%  
74 1.4% 99.0%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 96%  
77 2% 94%  
78 32% 92%  
79 3% 60% Last Result
80 29% 57%  
81 6% 27% Median
82 4% 21%  
83 3% 18%  
84 8% 15%  
85 3% 7%  
86 0.8% 5%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.6% 0.8%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.4% 100%  
71 0.7% 99.6%  
72 0.1% 98.9%  
73 0.6% 98.8%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 1.3% 97%  
76 2% 96%  
77 2% 93%  
78 33% 91%  
79 3% 59% Last Result
80 32% 56%  
81 6% 23% Median
82 3% 17%  
83 3% 14%  
84 5% 11%  
85 2% 6%  
86 0.8% 4%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.6% 0.7%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.8% 99.7%  
72 3% 98.9%  
73 0.8% 96%  
74 30% 95%  
75 13% 66%  
76 6% 53%  
77 6% 47% Median
78 1.0% 41% Last Result
79 31% 40%  
80 2% 9%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 2% 4%  
84 1.2% 2%  
85 0.5% 0.7%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.7% 100%  
56 0.4% 99.3%  
57 0.1% 98.8%  
58 0.2% 98.8%  
59 1.4% 98.6%  
60 2% 97%  
61 2% 95%  
62 1.5% 93%  
63 31% 92%  
64 34% 61%  
65 5% 27% Median
66 2% 22%  
67 4% 20%  
68 6% 16%  
69 2% 9%  
70 7% 8%  
71 0.5% 0.9%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0.2% 0.2%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 1.0% 100%  
56 0.4% 99.0%  
57 0.1% 98.6%  
58 0.6% 98%  
59 1.4% 98%  
60 2% 96%  
61 2% 94%  
62 2% 93%  
63 34% 91%  
64 35% 57%  
65 5% 22% Median
66 1.4% 18%  
67 2% 16%  
68 6% 15%  
69 2% 9%  
70 7% 7%  
71 0.3% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.8%  
59 3% 99.3%  
60 1.1% 96%  
61 34% 95%  
62 4% 61%  
63 6% 57%  
64 3% 51% Last Result, Median
65 2% 48%  
66 39% 46%  
67 0.8% 7%  
68 0.7% 6%  
69 3% 5%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.3% 0.8%  
72 0.4% 0.5%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 1.3% 100%  
45 1.0% 98.6%  
46 0.3% 98%  
47 2% 97%  
48 1.0% 96%  
49 5% 95%  
50 2% 89%  
51 31% 87%  
52 2% 56%  
53 5% 55% Median
54 36% 50%  
55 2% 14%  
56 1.4% 12%  
57 7% 11%  
58 3% 3%  
59 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.8% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.1%  
43 1.1% 98.6%  
44 3% 97%  
45 4% 95%  
46 1.3% 90%  
47 31% 89%  
48 7% 58%  
49 3% 50% Median
50 35% 47%  
51 2% 12%  
52 1.1% 10%  
53 8% 9%  
54 0.6% 0.9%  
55 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.5% 99.9%  
17 0.7% 99.3%  
18 5% 98.6%  
19 7% 94%  
20 34% 87%  
21 38% 53% Median
22 2% 15%  
23 6% 13%  
24 4% 7%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0.3% 0.4%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations