Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 19–25 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.6% 30.7–34.5% 30.2–35.1% 29.8–35.5% 28.9–36.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.5% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5% 13.4–17.9% 12.8–18.6%
Venstre 23.4% 11.5% 10.3–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.7% 4.9–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 59 55–60 55–61 54–61 52–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 27 27–31 26–34 24–34 23–34
Venstre 43 21 20–22 19–22 18–23 17–24
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 18 15–18 15–19 15–20 13–21
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 12–16 12–17 12–18 12–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–14 11–16 11–17 11–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10–11 9–13 9–13 8–13
Radikale Venstre 16 6 6–7 6–8 5–8 4–9
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–6 5–7 5–7 4–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–3 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 1.3% 99.8%  
53 0.4% 98.5%  
54 3% 98%  
55 6% 95%  
56 1.1% 90%  
57 2% 88%  
58 32% 86%  
59 5% 55% Median
60 44% 49%  
61 4% 5%  
62 0.6% 2%  
63 0.3% 1.1%  
64 0.5% 0.8%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.5% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.5%  
25 1.3% 97%  
26 4% 96%  
27 50% 92% Median
28 3% 41%  
29 2% 38%  
30 3% 37%  
31 24% 33%  
32 3% 9%  
33 0% 6%  
34 6% 6%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 0.8% 99.8%  
18 4% 99.0%  
19 4% 95%  
20 3% 91%  
21 77% 88% Median
22 7% 11%  
23 2% 5%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.7% Last Result
14 1.2% 99.3%  
15 29% 98%  
16 3% 69%  
17 13% 66%  
18 44% 53% Median
19 6% 9%  
20 2% 3%  
21 1.2% 1.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.2% 100%  
12 30% 99.7%  
13 6% 70%  
14 50% 64% Median
15 3% 14%  
16 2% 11%  
17 6% 9%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.3% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.6%  
12 7% 94%  
13 52% 86% Median
14 25% 34% Last Result
15 4% 10%  
16 2% 6%  
17 3% 4%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.2% 99.9%  
8 1.1% 99.8%  
9 9% 98.7%  
10 50% 90% Median
11 33% 40%  
12 1.2% 7%  
13 5% 5%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 2% 98%  
6 58% 96% Median
7 31% 38%  
8 6% 7%  
9 0.8% 1.0%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 0% 99.6%  
2 0% 99.6%  
3 0% 99.6%  
4 1.4% 99.6% Last Result
5 16% 98%  
6 73% 82% Median
7 8% 9%  
8 0.6% 0.8%  
9 0.2% 0.3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0.2% 3%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 96 98% 93–97 92–97 91–101 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 96 98% 93–97 92–97 91–101 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 90 50% 86–91 86–91 85–93 80–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 90 50% 86–91 86–91 85–93 80–95
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 78–82 78–83 74–84 72–89
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 78–82 76–83 74–84 72–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 76–79 73–80 73–84 71–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 64 0% 64–69 62–69 61–69 58–72
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 63–69 62–69 61–69 58–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 62–66 61–67 59–68 58–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 53–58 51–60 50–60 48–60
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 48 0% 47–53 45–55 45–55 43–55
Venstre 43 21 0% 20–22 19–22 18–23 17–24

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 1.2% 100%  
87 0% 98.8%  
88 0.1% 98.8%  
89 0.2% 98.7%  
90 0.5% 98% Majority
91 1.0% 98%  
92 6% 97%  
93 3% 91%  
94 35% 88%  
95 1.1% 54%  
96 4% 53% Last Result, Median
97 44% 49%  
98 0.2% 5%  
99 0.3% 4%  
100 0.7% 4%  
101 3% 3%  
102 0.1% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 1.2% 100%  
87 0% 98.8%  
88 0.1% 98.8%  
89 0.2% 98.7%  
90 0.5% 98% Majority
91 1.0% 98% Last Result
92 6% 97%  
93 3% 91%  
94 35% 88%  
95 1.1% 54%  
96 4% 53% Median
97 44% 48%  
98 0.2% 5%  
99 0.3% 4%  
100 0.7% 4%  
101 3% 3%  
102 0% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 1.2% 100% Last Result
81 0% 98.8%  
82 0.2% 98.7%  
83 0.2% 98.6%  
84 0.5% 98%  
85 1.5% 98%  
86 9% 96%  
87 25% 87%  
88 8% 61%  
89 3% 53%  
90 1.4% 50% Median, Majority
91 44% 49%  
92 0.3% 5%  
93 3% 4%  
94 0.4% 1.3%  
95 0.4% 0.9%  
96 0.1% 0.5%  
97 0.3% 0.4%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 1.2% 100%  
81 0% 98.8%  
82 0.2% 98.7%  
83 0.2% 98.6%  
84 0.5% 98%  
85 1.5% 98%  
86 9% 96%  
87 25% 87%  
88 8% 61%  
89 3% 53%  
90 1.4% 50% Median, Majority
91 44% 49%  
92 0.3% 5%  
93 3% 4%  
94 0.4% 1.3%  
95 0.4% 0.9%  
96 0.1% 0.5%  
97 0.3% 0.4%  
98 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.3% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.1% 99.4%  
74 3% 99.3%  
75 0.7% 97%  
76 0.4% 96%  
77 0.2% 96%  
78 44% 95% Median
79 4% 51% Last Result
80 1.0% 47%  
81 35% 46%  
82 3% 12%  
83 5% 9%  
84 1.0% 3%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 0.2% 1.5%  
87 0.1% 1.3%  
88 0% 1.2%  
89 1.2% 1.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.3% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.2% 99.4%  
74 3% 99.2%  
75 0.7% 96%  
76 0.5% 95%  
77 0.3% 95%  
78 44% 95% Median
79 4% 51% Last Result
80 0.8% 47%  
81 35% 46%  
82 3% 11%  
83 5% 8%  
84 0.9% 3%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 1.3% 99.7%  
72 0.2% 98%  
73 5% 98%  
74 0.4% 93%  
75 1.4% 93%  
76 2% 92%  
77 9% 89%  
78 4% 80% Last Result, Median
79 70% 76%  
80 1.2% 6%  
81 0.5% 5%  
82 0.5% 4%  
83 0.2% 4%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.1% 0.9%  
86 0.6% 0.8%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.5%  
60 0.3% 99.3%  
61 3% 99.1%  
62 4% 96%  
63 2% 92%  
64 45% 90% Median
65 2% 45%  
66 2% 43%  
67 1.4% 41%  
68 1.1% 39%  
69 36% 38%  
70 0.6% 2%  
71 0.4% 2%  
72 1.2% 1.4%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.4%  
60 0.6% 99.2%  
61 3% 98.6%  
62 4% 95%  
63 3% 92%  
64 45% 89% Median
65 2% 44%  
66 2% 42%  
67 1.2% 40%  
68 2% 39%  
69 36% 37%  
70 0.6% 1.0%  
71 0.3% 0.4%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 1.4% 99.9%  
59 1.3% 98.5%  
60 0.5% 97%  
61 5% 97%  
62 3% 92%  
63 1.4% 89%  
64 7% 87% Last Result
65 26% 80% Median
66 46% 54%  
67 4% 8%  
68 3% 4%  
69 0.3% 1.3%  
70 0.1% 1.0%  
71 0.7% 0.9%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0.7% 99.9%  
49 0.2% 99.3%  
50 3% 99.0%  
51 2% 96%  
52 3% 94%  
53 2% 91%  
54 45% 89% Median
55 1.3% 43%  
56 7% 42%  
57 0.9% 35%  
58 25% 34%  
59 2% 9% Last Result
60 6% 6%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.3% 99.8%  
44 0.4% 99.5%  
45 5% 99.0%  
46 2% 94%  
47 3% 92%  
48 44% 89% Median
49 8% 45%  
50 2% 37%  
51 1.4% 35%  
52 23% 34%  
53 4% 10%  
54 0.2% 6%  
55 6% 6% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 0.8% 99.8%  
18 4% 99.0%  
19 4% 95%  
20 3% 91%  
21 77% 88% Median
22 7% 11%  
23 2% 5%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.2% 0.2%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations