Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 26 April–2 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.7% 28.4–34.1% 27.6–35.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.8% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–17.9%
Venstre 23.4% 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.5% 9.9–15.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.3% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 56–57 54–58 53–60 51–61
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 26–27 26–27 25–30 23–30
Venstre 43 22 21–22 21–23 20–25 19–27
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 16 14–16 13–17 12–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–15 14–15 13–16 12–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 13–16 13–16 13–16 11–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10–11 10–12 10–13 8–14
Radikale Venstre 16 8 8 7–9 6–9 6–10
Liberal Alliance 4 7 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.6% 99.7%  
52 1.2% 99.1%  
53 1.2% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 2% 94%  
56 81% 93% Median
57 1.0% 11%  
58 6% 10%  
59 1.4% 4%  
60 1.3% 3%  
61 1.1% 1.3%  
62 0% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.2% 100%  
23 1.4% 99.8%  
24 0.5% 98%  
25 2% 98%  
26 83% 96% Median
27 9% 13%  
28 0.5% 4%  
29 1.2% 4%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 0.3% 99.7%  
20 3% 99.4%  
21 6% 96%  
22 82% 90% Median
23 4% 8%  
24 0.7% 4%  
25 1.5% 3%  
26 1.0% 2%  
27 0.6% 0.8%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 3% 98% Last Result
14 4% 95%  
15 1.2% 92%  
16 87% 91% Median
17 2% 4%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.8%  
13 3% 98.9%  
14 83% 96% Last Result, Median
15 8% 13%  
16 3% 5%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.5% 99.9%  
12 1.1% 99.3%  
13 10% 98%  
14 5% 89%  
15 2% 83%  
16 81% 81% Median
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.0% 100%  
9 1.2% 98.9%  
10 81% 98% Median
11 10% 16%  
12 3% 6%  
13 2% 3%  
14 1.4% 1.5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 3% 99.6%  
7 6% 96%  
8 82% 91% Median
9 7% 9%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.0% 100% Last Result
5 11% 99.0%  
6 4% 88%  
7 83% 84% Median
8 1.1% 1.3%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 4% 5%  
5 0.9% 1.0%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 98% 94–95 92–98 90–98 87–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 94 97% 94–95 92–98 89–98 87–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 86 2% 86–87 83–89 82–89 79–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 86 2% 86–87 83–89 82–89 79–92
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0.1% 79–81 77–83 77–85 75–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0% 79–81 77–82 77–83 75–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 78–80 76–82 75–82 72–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 65–66 64–69 64–71 62–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 65 64–68 64–69 61–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 64–65 61–67 61–67 59–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 54–55 53–56 53–58 51–60
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 48 0% 48 48–50 47–52 45–56
Venstre 43 22 0% 21–22 21–23 20–25 19–27

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.6% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.3%  
89 2% 99.1%  
90 1.3% 98% Majority
91 0.7% 96%  
92 3% 96%  
93 2% 93%  
94 80% 90% Median
95 1.1% 10%  
96 2% 9% Last Result
97 0.6% 7%  
98 5% 7%  
99 1.2% 1.5%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.6% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.3%  
89 2% 99.1%  
90 1.3% 97% Majority
91 0.7% 96% Last Result
92 3% 96%  
93 2% 93%  
94 80% 90% Median
95 1.1% 10%  
96 2% 9%  
97 0.6% 7%  
98 5% 7%  
99 1.2% 1.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.8%  
80 0.6% 99.4% Last Result
81 0.3% 98.8%  
82 2% 98.5%  
83 2% 97%  
84 0.5% 95%  
85 2% 94%  
86 81% 92% Median
87 2% 11%  
88 1.2% 9%  
89 5% 8%  
90 0.8% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 1.4%  
92 1.2% 1.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.8%  
80 0.6% 99.4%  
81 0.3% 98.8%  
82 2% 98.5%  
83 2% 97%  
84 0.5% 95%  
85 2% 94%  
86 81% 92% Median
87 2% 11%  
88 1.2% 9%  
89 5% 8%  
90 0.8% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 1.4%  
92 1.2% 1.3%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.8%  
76 1.2% 99.5%  
77 5% 98%  
78 0.6% 93%  
79 3% 93% Last Result
80 1.1% 90%  
81 80% 89% Median
82 2% 8%  
83 1.4% 6%  
84 0.7% 4%  
85 1.2% 4%  
86 2% 2%  
87 0.1% 0.9%  
88 0.6% 0.7%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.6%  
76 1.4% 99.2%  
77 5% 98%  
78 2% 93%  
79 3% 91% Last Result
80 1.0% 88%  
81 81% 87% Median
82 2% 6%  
83 1.1% 3%  
84 1.0% 2%  
85 0.8% 1.3%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.8%  
73 0.8% 99.3%  
74 0.4% 98%  
75 0.9% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 95%  
78 81% 93% Last Result, Median
79 0.5% 12%  
80 2% 12%  
81 3% 10%  
82 6% 7%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 1.4% 99.7%  
63 0.2% 98%  
64 6% 98%  
65 81% 92% Median
66 2% 11%  
67 1.0% 9%  
68 0.7% 8%  
69 4% 8%  
70 1.3% 4%  
71 0.9% 3%  
72 1.0% 2%  
73 0.3% 1.0%  
74 0.2% 0.8%  
75 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.2% 99.7%  
62 1.4% 99.5%  
63 0.4% 98%  
64 6% 98%  
65 83% 92% Median
66 2% 9%  
67 2% 7%  
68 1.0% 5%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.3% 2%  
71 0.6% 0.9%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 1.1% 99.6%  
60 0.5% 98%  
61 3% 98%  
62 1.4% 95%  
63 1.0% 93%  
64 80% 92% Last Result, Median
65 3% 12%  
66 3% 10%  
67 5% 7%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0.2% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 1.3% 99.7%  
52 0.5% 98%  
53 7% 98%  
54 2% 91%  
55 81% 89% Median
56 4% 8%  
57 1.4% 4%  
58 1.3% 3%  
59 0.4% 1.3% Last Result
60 0.5% 0.9%  
61 0.2% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.7%  
46 2% 99.5%  
47 2% 98%  
48 86% 96% Median
49 4% 10%  
50 1.3% 6%  
51 1.4% 4%  
52 0.9% 3%  
53 0.8% 2%  
54 0.4% 1.2%  
55 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
56 0.5% 0.6%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.2% 99.9%  
19 0.3% 99.7%  
20 3% 99.4%  
21 6% 96%  
22 82% 90% Median
23 4% 8%  
24 0.7% 4%  
25 1.5% 3%  
26 1.0% 2%  
27 0.6% 0.8%  
28 0.2% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations