Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 3–8 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 32.1% 30.2–34.0% 29.7–34.5% 29.3–35.0% 28.4–35.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.2% 11.4–17.0%
Venstre 23.4% 11.6% 10.4–13.0% 10.1–13.4% 9.8–13.7% 9.3–14.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.1% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 53–60 52–62 52–62 50–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 22–28 22–28 21–28 20–30
Venstre 43 21 19–23 18–24 17–24 17–25
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 14–19 14–19 13–21 12–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–18 12–19 12–19 11–21
Nye Borgerlige 4 13 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 7–11 7–12 7–12 7–13
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–11 8–12 7–12 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 6 4–6 0–7 0–8 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.3% 100%  
50 0.6% 99.6%  
51 0.6% 99.0%  
52 3% 98%  
53 13% 95%  
54 7% 82%  
55 14% 76%  
56 13% 62% Median
57 8% 48%  
58 5% 40%  
59 19% 35%  
60 7% 16%  
61 0.8% 9%  
62 7% 8%  
63 0.4% 1.1%  
64 0.2% 0.7%  
65 0% 0.5%  
66 0.4% 0.4%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 1.0% 99.8%  
21 3% 98.9%  
22 7% 96%  
23 6% 89%  
24 11% 84%  
25 34% 73% Median
26 16% 39%  
27 10% 22%  
28 11% 13%  
29 0.8% 2%  
30 0.3% 0.7%  
31 0.1% 0.4%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 3% 99.6%  
18 3% 96%  
19 16% 93%  
20 13% 78%  
21 28% 65% Median
22 8% 37%  
23 24% 29%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.7%  
13 3% 98.7% Last Result
14 31% 96%  
15 7% 65%  
16 8% 59%  
17 14% 51% Median
18 15% 37%  
19 17% 22%  
20 1.0% 4%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 6% 99.4%  
13 2% 93%  
14 36% 91% Last Result
15 15% 55% Median
16 20% 41%  
17 10% 20%  
18 3% 10%  
19 6% 7%  
20 0.2% 1.0%  
21 0.4% 0.9%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.5% 99.8%  
10 4% 98%  
11 6% 94%  
12 33% 88%  
13 11% 55% Median
14 31% 43%  
15 7% 12%  
16 4% 6%  
17 1.3% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 18% 99.8%  
8 17% 81%  
9 28% 64% Median
10 24% 37%  
11 7% 13%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.1% 1.4%  
14 0.4% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 3% 99.8%  
8 12% 97%  
9 26% 85%  
10 26% 59% Median
11 24% 33%  
12 7% 9%  
13 1.0% 2%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0.1% 93%  
4 13% 93% Last Result
5 23% 80%  
6 49% 57% Median
7 5% 8%  
8 3% 3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100% Last Result
1 0% 73%  
2 0% 73%  
3 0.1% 73%  
4 46% 73% Median
5 23% 27%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 98 99.8% 94–102 93–103 93–104 91–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 98 99.8% 94–102 93–103 93–104 91–106
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 88 38% 85–91 84–93 82–94 81–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 88 38% 85–91 84–93 82–94 81–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 82 1.0% 76–85 76–87 76–88 75–91
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 73–81 72–82 70–82 69–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 70–77 69–78 67–79 66–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 62–71 62–71 62–73 60–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 60–68 59–68 58–69 56–71
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 60 0% 57–64 56–65 55–66 54–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–54 47–54 45–57 43–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 46 0% 43–49 41–50 41–51 40–53
Venstre 43 21 0% 19–23 18–24 17–24 17–25

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.2% 99.8% Majority
91 0.3% 99.6%  
92 0.8% 99.4%  
93 7% 98.6%  
94 2% 91%  
95 14% 89%  
96 6% 75% Last Result
97 5% 70%  
98 21% 65% Median
99 7% 44%  
100 21% 38%  
101 4% 17%  
102 6% 12%  
103 4% 7%  
104 0.5% 3%  
105 1.5% 2%  
106 0.5% 0.9%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.2% 99.8% Majority
91 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
92 0.8% 99.4%  
93 7% 98.6%  
94 2% 91%  
95 14% 89%  
96 6% 75%  
97 5% 70%  
98 21% 65% Median
99 7% 44%  
100 21% 38%  
101 4% 17%  
102 6% 12%  
103 4% 7%  
104 0.5% 3%  
105 1.5% 2%  
106 0.5% 0.9%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 2% 99.2%  
83 1.1% 97%  
84 2% 96%  
85 6% 94%  
86 16% 87%  
87 19% 72%  
88 10% 53% Median
89 6% 44%  
90 12% 38% Majority
91 17% 26%  
92 4% 9%  
93 2% 5%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.4% 1.2%  
96 0.3% 0.8%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.3% 99.9%  
81 0.4% 99.6%  
82 2% 99.2%  
83 1.1% 97%  
84 2% 96%  
85 6% 94%  
86 16% 87%  
87 19% 72%  
88 10% 53% Median
89 6% 44%  
90 12% 38% Majority
91 17% 26%  
92 4% 9%  
93 2% 5%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.4% 1.2%  
96 0.3% 0.8%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 12% 99.5%  
77 2% 88%  
78 5% 86% Last Result
79 9% 80%  
80 3% 72%  
81 11% 69% Median
82 9% 58%  
83 10% 49%  
84 20% 39%  
85 12% 18%  
86 1.0% 6%  
87 1.5% 5%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.5% 1.5%  
90 0.3% 1.0% Majority
91 0.3% 0.7%  
92 0.4% 0.4%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.3% 99.9%  
69 0.6% 99.6%  
70 3% 99.0%  
71 0.6% 96%  
72 4% 96%  
73 6% 92%  
74 4% 86%  
75 21% 82%  
76 8% 61%  
77 21% 53%  
78 4% 32% Median
79 5% 28% Last Result
80 12% 23%  
81 2% 10%  
82 7% 8%  
83 0.7% 1.1%  
84 0.2% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 1.5% 99.8%  
67 2% 98%  
68 1.1% 97%  
69 4% 96%  
70 9% 91%  
71 2% 82%  
72 11% 80%  
73 22% 69%  
74 3% 46% Median
75 29% 43%  
76 3% 14%  
77 2% 12%  
78 7% 10%  
79 2% 3% Last Result
80 0.7% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.1%  
82 0.4% 0.6%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.6%  
60 0.2% 99.5%  
61 0.7% 99.3%  
62 16% 98.6%  
63 7% 83%  
64 7% 76% Last Result
65 10% 69%  
66 15% 59% Median
67 2% 44%  
68 8% 42%  
69 2% 33%  
70 17% 32%  
71 11% 14%  
72 0.5% 4%  
73 1.5% 3%  
74 1.1% 2%  
75 0.1% 0.5%  
76 0.4% 0.4%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 1.3% 99.6%  
57 0.4% 98%  
58 2% 98%  
59 3% 96%  
60 6% 92%  
61 5% 86%  
62 12% 81%  
63 32% 70%  
64 3% 37%  
65 6% 35% Median
66 6% 29%  
67 3% 22%  
68 16% 19%  
69 2% 3%  
70 1.1% 2%  
71 0.5% 0.7%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 2% 99.7%  
55 0.8% 98%  
56 7% 97%  
57 3% 90%  
58 9% 87%  
59 23% 78%  
60 5% 54%  
61 9% 50% Median
62 11% 41%  
63 19% 30%  
64 6% 12%  
65 2% 5%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.5% 1.3%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.4% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.6% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.3%  
45 2% 98.9%  
46 2% 97%  
47 5% 95%  
48 4% 91%  
49 8% 87%  
50 13% 79%  
51 7% 65%  
52 23% 59% Median
53 11% 36%  
54 21% 26%  
55 2% 5%  
56 0.3% 3%  
57 1.2% 3%  
58 1.0% 1.3%  
59 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 2% 99.6%  
41 5% 98%  
42 2% 93%  
43 4% 90%  
44 11% 86%  
45 8% 75%  
46 24% 66% Median
47 5% 42%  
48 17% 38%  
49 12% 21%  
50 6% 9%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.9% 1.4%  
53 0.2% 0.5%  
54 0% 0.3%  
55 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 3% 99.6%  
18 3% 96%  
19 16% 93%  
20 13% 78%  
21 28% 65% Median
22 8% 37%  
23 24% 29%  
24 3% 5%  
25 1.3% 2%  
26 0.4% 0.5%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations