Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 7–9 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.0% 31.4–34.8% 30.9–35.2% 30.5–35.7% 29.7–36.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.7% 12.5–15.0% 12.2–15.4% 11.9–15.7% 11.4–16.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 11.6% 10.5–12.9% 10.2–13.2% 10.0–13.5% 9.5–14.1%
Venstre 23.4% 10.7% 9.6–11.9% 9.3–12.2% 9.1–12.5% 8.6–13.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.9–8.9% 6.7–9.2% 6.5–9.5% 6.1–10.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.5% 6.6–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.2–9.1% 5.8–9.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.6% 4.3–6.9% 4.0–7.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.7% 3.1–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.5–5.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.4–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.4%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.2% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.5% 0.9–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 56–60 56–60 55–61 53–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 24–25 23–26 23–29 22–30
Nye Borgerlige 4 21 21–25 20–25 18–25 18–25
Venstre 43 20 18–20 16–20 16–21 16–23
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 13–14 13–14 13–15 13–15
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–16 14–16 13–16 11–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10 10–11 8–14 7–14
Radikale Venstre 16 5 5–7 5–7 5–8 5–9
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 1.4% 100%  
54 0% 98.6%  
55 3% 98.5%  
56 27% 96%  
57 6% 69%  
58 0.6% 63%  
59 4% 63%  
60 56% 58% Median
61 1.0% 3%  
62 0.7% 2%  
63 0.6% 0.8%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.2% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.8%  
22 1.2% 99.7%  
23 4% 98.5%  
24 27% 95%  
25 61% 68% Median
26 3% 7%  
27 0.1% 4%  
28 0.1% 4%  
29 2% 4%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.1% 100%  
18 2% 99.9%  
19 2% 97%  
20 1.1% 96%  
21 56% 95% Median
22 2% 39%  
23 8% 38%  
24 4% 30%  
25 26% 26%  
26 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 6% 99.9%  
17 1.2% 94%  
18 27% 93%  
19 5% 66%  
20 57% 61% Median
21 3% 4%  
22 0.1% 2%  
23 1.4% 1.5%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.8%  
13 61% 99.6% Median
14 35% 39% Last Result
15 3% 3%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0% 99.8%  
11 0.8% 99.8%  
12 0.3% 99.0%  
13 2% 98.7% Last Result
14 7% 96%  
15 4% 89%  
16 85% 85% Median
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 2% 99.4%  
9 0.6% 97%  
10 87% 96% Median
11 6% 10%  
12 1.0% 4%  
13 0.2% 3%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 56% 100% Median
6 9% 44%  
7 30% 35%  
8 4% 5%  
9 0.1% 0.5%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 5% 99.8% Last Result
5 88% 95% Median
6 6% 6%  
7 0.2% 0.7%  
8 0.5% 0.5%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 3% 4%  
5 1.0% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 96% 91–94 90–96 89–97 88–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 94 96% 91–94 90–96 89–97 88–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 89 1.5% 85–89 84–89 83–89 81–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 89 1.5% 85–89 84–89 83–89 81–92
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0% 81–84 79–85 78–86 77–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0% 80–82 78–85 78–86 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 77–78 76–81 75–82 73–83
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 63–65 62–67 61–68 60–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 60 0% 57–61 57–63 55–66 55–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 60 0% 57–60 56–61 55–66 55–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 47–50 45–51 45–54 45–57
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 45 0% 42–45 41–46 41–48 40–51
Venstre 43 20 0% 18–20 16–20 16–21 16–23

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 1.4% 99.9%  
89 2% 98.6%  
90 3% 96% Majority
91 4% 93%  
92 0.4% 89%  
93 27% 89%  
94 55% 62% Median
95 0.4% 7%  
96 2% 6% Last Result
97 4% 5%  
98 0.6% 0.6%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 1.4% 99.9%  
89 2% 98.6%  
90 3% 96% Majority
91 4% 93% Last Result
92 0.4% 89%  
93 27% 89%  
94 55% 62% Median
95 0.4% 7%  
96 2% 6%  
97 4% 5%  
98 0.6% 0.6%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 1.4% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 98.6%  
83 2% 98%  
84 3% 96%  
85 3% 92%  
86 28% 90%  
87 0.4% 61%  
88 0.4% 61%  
89 59% 61% Median
90 0.7% 1.5% Majority
91 0% 0.8%  
92 0.8% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 1.4% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 98.6%  
83 2% 98%  
84 3% 96%  
85 3% 92%  
86 28% 90%  
87 0.4% 61%  
88 0.4% 61%  
89 59% 61% Median
90 0.7% 1.5% Majority
91 0% 0.8%  
92 0.8% 0.8%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.6% 100%  
78 4% 99.4%  
79 2% 95% Last Result
80 0.4% 94%  
81 55% 93% Median
82 27% 38%  
83 0.4% 11%  
84 4% 11%  
85 3% 7%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.4% 1.4%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.6%  
76 0% 99.4%  
77 0.6% 99.4%  
78 4% 98.8%  
79 2% 95% Last Result
80 3% 93%  
81 55% 90% Median
82 27% 35%  
83 0.4% 8%  
84 0.5% 7%  
85 3% 7%  
86 2% 4%  
87 1.4% 1.4%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 1.4% 100%  
74 0% 98.6%  
75 3% 98.6%  
76 3% 95%  
77 27% 92%  
78 57% 65% Last Result, Median
79 0.3% 8%  
80 0.9% 8%  
81 4% 7%  
82 0.5% 3%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 1.4% 100%  
61 3% 98.6%  
62 2% 96%  
63 29% 94%  
64 2% 65% Last Result
65 55% 63% Median
66 1.0% 8%  
67 4% 7%  
68 2% 3%  
69 1.0% 1.2%  
70 0% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 4% 99.9%  
56 0.8% 96%  
57 27% 95%  
58 0.1% 69%  
59 3% 69%  
60 55% 66% Median
61 5% 11%  
62 0.2% 6%  
63 2% 6%  
64 0% 4%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.1% 3%  
67 0% 2%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.7%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 4% 99.6%  
56 1.4% 96%  
57 27% 94%  
58 0.2% 67%  
59 3% 67%  
60 55% 64% Median
61 5% 9%  
62 0% 4%  
63 2% 4%  
64 0% 3%  
65 0% 3%  
66 0.1% 3%  
67 0% 2%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.7%  
45 5% 99.6%  
46 2% 95%  
47 28% 93%  
48 0.8% 65%  
49 0.7% 64%  
50 55% 63% Median
51 3% 8%  
52 2% 5%  
53 0.5% 3%  
54 0.1% 3%  
55 0% 2%  
56 0% 2%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0.2% 99.8%  
40 0.2% 99.6%  
41 6% 99.4%  
42 29% 93%  
43 0.9% 64%  
44 0.5% 63%  
45 57% 63% Median
46 2% 6%  
47 2% 4%  
48 0% 3%  
49 0% 2%  
50 0% 2%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 6% 99.9%  
17 1.2% 94%  
18 27% 93%  
19 5% 66%  
20 57% 61% Median
21 3% 4%  
22 0.1% 2%  
23 1.4% 1.5%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations