Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 10–16 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.8% 30.0–33.8% 29.5–34.3% 29.0–34.8% 28.2–35.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.7–15.3% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.4%
Venstre 23.4% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 10.0–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.8–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 52–60 52–61 52–62 51–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 24 22–28 21–30 20–30 20–30
Venstre 43 23 19–25 19–25 19–25 17–26
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 15–19 15–20 14–20 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–16 12–17 12–17 11–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 13 12–15 11–15 10–15 9–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–12 8–12 8–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100% Last Result
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 2% 99.8%  
52 22% 98%  
53 2% 76%  
54 11% 74%  
55 12% 63%  
56 4% 51% Median
57 16% 46%  
58 4% 31%  
59 8% 27%  
60 9% 19%  
61 7% 10%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.2% 1.0%  
64 0.5% 0.9%  
65 0.3% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.3% 100%  
20 2% 99.7%  
21 3% 97%  
22 17% 94%  
23 7% 76%  
24 32% 69% Median
25 11% 38%  
26 9% 26%  
27 6% 17%  
28 2% 11%  
29 0.1% 9%  
30 9% 9%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.9% 99.9%  
18 0.9% 99.0%  
19 10% 98%  
20 9% 88%  
21 16% 79%  
22 7% 63%  
23 31% 56% Median
24 1.1% 26%  
25 24% 25%  
26 0.3% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.8%  
13 0.4% 99.5% Last Result
14 2% 99.1%  
15 12% 97%  
16 37% 85% Median
17 32% 48%  
18 2% 16%  
19 9% 15%  
20 5% 6%  
21 0.3% 0.5%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.8%  
12 8% 98.5%  
13 27% 90%  
14 3% 64% Last Result
15 31% 60% Median
16 23% 29%  
17 4% 6%  
18 0.9% 2%  
19 1.0% 1.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.8%  
10 3% 99.3%  
11 3% 96%  
12 36% 93%  
13 15% 57% Median
14 19% 41%  
15 21% 23%  
16 1.2% 2%  
17 0.7% 0.9%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 1.5% 99.7%  
9 14% 98%  
10 12% 85%  
11 59% 73% Median
12 3% 14%  
13 10% 11%  
14 0.2% 0.6%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 6% 99.6%  
9 13% 94%  
10 18% 81%  
11 52% 63% Median
12 7% 11%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.9% 1.0%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 22% 100%  
1 0% 78%  
2 0% 78%  
3 0% 78%  
4 48% 78% Last Result, Median
5 14% 30%  
6 14% 15%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 0% 66%  
2 0% 66%  
3 0% 66%  
4 58% 66% Median
5 7% 8%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.2% 100% Median
1 0% 0.8%  
2 0% 0.8%  
3 0% 0.8%  
4 0.6% 0.7%  
5 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 97 99.9% 94–102 94–103 94–104 92–107
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 97 99.9% 94–102 94–103 94–104 92–107
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 86 31% 84–92 84–93 84–94 82–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 86 31% 84–92 84–93 84–94 82–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0.4% 78–86 78–86 77–87 76–89
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 72–81 71–81 70–81 68–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 69–80 68–81 68–81 64–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 63–71 63–73 63–73 61–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 64 0% 58–68 58–68 58–68 56–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 61 0% 55–66 54–68 54–68 52–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 50 0% 45–55 45–57 45–57 42–57
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 47 0% 43–51 42–53 41–53 39–53
Venstre 43 23 0% 19–25 19–25 19–25 17–26

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 0.2% 99.9%  
92 0.3% 99.7%  
93 0.3% 99.3%  
94 12% 99.1%  
95 26% 87%  
96 0.5% 61% Last Result
97 19% 61%  
98 0.9% 42% Median
99 12% 41%  
100 9% 29%  
101 2% 19%  
102 10% 17%  
103 4% 8%  
104 1.4% 4%  
105 0.9% 2%  
106 0.1% 1.2%  
107 0.9% 1.1%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
92 0.3% 99.6%  
93 0.3% 99.3%  
94 12% 99.0%  
95 27% 87%  
96 0.6% 61%  
97 19% 60%  
98 0.8% 41% Median
99 12% 41%  
100 9% 28%  
101 2% 19%  
102 10% 17%  
103 4% 7%  
104 1.4% 3%  
105 0.8% 2%  
106 0.1% 1.1%  
107 0.9% 1.0%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0% 99.7% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.7%  
82 0.5% 99.5%  
83 0.5% 99.0%  
84 36% 98.5%  
85 0.7% 63%  
86 20% 62%  
87 0.8% 42% Median
88 2% 41%  
89 8% 39%  
90 14% 31% Majority
91 6% 18%  
92 2% 11%  
93 6% 9%  
94 3% 4%  
95 0.4% 1.1%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.4% 0.4%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0% 99.7%  
81 0.1% 99.7%  
82 0.6% 99.5%  
83 0.7% 99.0%  
84 36% 98%  
85 0.8% 62%  
86 20% 61%  
87 0.7% 42% Median
88 2% 41%  
89 8% 39%  
90 14% 31% Majority
91 6% 17%  
92 2% 11%  
93 6% 9%  
94 3% 4%  
95 0.4% 1.0%  
96 0.3% 0.7%  
97 0.4% 0.4%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.5%  
77 2% 99.2%  
78 34% 97% Last Result
79 1.3% 63%  
80 6% 62%  
81 19% 56%  
82 4% 36% Median
83 6% 32%  
84 12% 26%  
85 3% 14%  
86 8% 11%  
87 0.8% 3%  
88 2% 2%  
89 0.2% 0.6%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.3% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 1.0% 99.5%  
69 0.1% 98.5%  
70 3% 98%  
71 2% 95%  
72 4% 93%  
73 10% 89%  
74 0.5% 79%  
75 8% 79%  
76 13% 71%  
77 0.9% 58%  
78 19% 57%  
79 0.5% 38% Last Result, Median
80 25% 38%  
81 12% 12%  
82 0.2% 0.8%  
83 0.3% 0.6%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.3% 100%  
63 0% 99.7%  
64 0.3% 99.7%  
65 0.1% 99.4%  
66 0.3% 99.2%  
67 0.4% 98.9%  
68 7% 98%  
69 6% 91%  
70 4% 85%  
71 2% 82%  
72 6% 80%  
73 1.3% 74%  
74 18% 73%  
75 9% 55% Median
76 32% 45%  
77 2% 14%  
78 0.6% 11%  
79 0.3% 11% Last Result
80 0.9% 10%  
81 9% 9%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 2% 99.8%  
62 0.4% 98%  
63 23% 98%  
64 3% 75% Last Result
65 27% 72%  
66 0.9% 45%  
67 2% 44% Median
68 22% 42%  
69 1.3% 21%  
70 3% 19%  
71 7% 16%  
72 2% 9%  
73 6% 8%  
74 0.3% 1.4%  
75 1.0% 1.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 0.7% 99.6%  
57 1.1% 98.9%  
58 10% 98%  
59 2% 88%  
60 7% 86%  
61 5% 78%  
62 5% 74%  
63 12% 68%  
64 18% 56%  
65 1.1% 38%  
66 2% 37% Median
67 0.6% 35%  
68 32% 34%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.1% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.5% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.4%  
54 8% 99.2%  
55 1.2% 91%  
56 4% 90%  
57 2% 86%  
58 6% 85%  
59 11% 79%  
60 18% 68%  
61 4% 50%  
62 2% 47% Median
63 3% 45%  
64 30% 42%  
65 2% 12%  
66 0.3% 10%  
67 0.5% 10%  
68 9% 9%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.8% 99.8%  
43 0.3% 99.1%  
44 1.0% 98.8%  
45 11% 98%  
46 1.0% 87%  
47 10% 86%  
48 12% 75%  
49 11% 63%  
50 3% 52%  
51 3% 49% Median
52 5% 46%  
53 23% 41%  
54 8% 18%  
55 0.5% 10%  
56 0.3% 10%  
57 9% 10%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.7% 99.9%  
40 0.3% 99.2%  
41 3% 98.9%  
42 2% 96%  
43 11% 94%  
44 11% 83%  
45 13% 72%  
46 2% 59%  
47 13% 57% Median
48 3% 44%  
49 30% 41%  
50 0.3% 10%  
51 0.4% 10%  
52 0.2% 10%  
53 9% 9%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.9% 99.9%  
18 0.9% 99.0%  
19 10% 98%  
20 9% 88%  
21 16% 79%  
22 7% 63%  
23 31% 56% Median
24 1.1% 26%  
25 24% 25%  
26 0.3% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations