Opinion Poll by Epinion, 11–19 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.6% 27.2–30.1% 26.8–30.5% 26.4–30.9% 25.7–31.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.9% 14.8–17.2% 14.4–17.5% 14.2–17.8% 13.6–18.4%
Venstre 23.4% 12.3% 11.3–13.4% 11.0–13.8% 10.8–14.0% 10.3–14.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.3–9.1% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.6% 6.5–10.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.6–7.7% 5.4–7.9% 5.1–8.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.3% 5.6–7.2% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 4.9–8.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.1–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.4–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 47–54 47–56 47–56 45–56
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 26–30 26–31 26–32 25–33
Venstre 43 22 20–22 20–23 20–23 20–27
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 15–17 14–17 14–17 13–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–17 13–17 13–17 12–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 10–13 10–14 10–15 10–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 10–13 9–14 8–14
Radikale Venstre 16 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 2% 100%  
46 0.5% 98%  
47 9% 98%  
48 10% 89% Last Result
49 5% 79%  
50 24% 74%  
51 2% 50% Median
52 7% 48%  
53 3% 41%  
54 33% 38%  
55 0.3% 6%  
56 5% 5%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.3% 100%  
25 2% 99.7%  
26 15% 98%  
27 12% 82%  
28 27% 71% Median
29 9% 44%  
30 27% 35%  
31 4% 8%  
32 2% 3%  
33 1.1% 1.3%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 38% 99.8%  
21 10% 62%  
22 45% 52% Median
23 5% 7%  
24 0.5% 1.4%  
25 0.3% 0.9%  
26 0% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.6%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.6% 99.9%  
14 5% 99.3% Last Result
15 42% 94%  
16 38% 52% Median
17 13% 15%  
18 0.4% 1.4%  
19 0.9% 1.0%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 11% 98% Last Result
14 8% 87%  
15 52% 78% Median
16 15% 26%  
17 10% 11%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.3% 100%  
10 15% 99.7%  
11 39% 85% Median
12 22% 46%  
13 18% 24%  
14 3% 6%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 2% 100%  
9 2% 98%  
10 14% 97%  
11 27% 83%  
12 25% 56% Median
13 25% 30%  
14 5% 5%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 1.3% 99.6%  
9 12% 98%  
10 74% 86% Median
11 10% 12%  
12 1.5% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 46% 100%  
1 0% 54%  
2 0% 54%  
3 0% 54%  
4 42% 54% Last Result, Median
5 11% 12%  
6 0.8% 0.9%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 75% 89% Median
5 14% 15%  
6 0.4% 0.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 85% 89–94 87–96 86–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 91 85% 89–94 87–96 86–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 81 0.1% 79–84 78–86 77–86 75–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 81 0.1% 79–84 78–86 77–86 75–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 76–84 74–86 74–86 73–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 72–80 72–82 70–82 70–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 73–79 72–81 71–81 70–82
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 65–71 61–73 61–73 60–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 61–67 60–69 57–69 57–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 57–64 57–66 56–66 54–66
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–56 48–57 47–57 47–59
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 50 0% 48–52 47–53 47–54 45–55
Venstre 43 22 0% 20–22 20–23 20–23 20–27

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 1.4% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 98%  
86 1.0% 98%  
87 3% 97%  
88 1.1% 94%  
89 8% 93%  
90 7% 85% Majority
91 31% 78%  
92 5% 47% Median
93 1.3% 42%  
94 33% 41%  
95 1.5% 8%  
96 5% 6% Last Result
97 1.0% 1.3%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 1.4% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 98%  
86 1.0% 98%  
87 3% 97%  
88 1.1% 94%  
89 8% 93%  
90 7% 85% Majority
91 31% 78% Last Result
92 5% 47% Median
93 1.3% 42%  
94 33% 41%  
95 1.5% 8%  
96 5% 6%  
97 1.0% 1.3%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 1.4% 99.8%  
76 0.6% 98%  
77 1.3% 98%  
78 6% 97%  
79 5% 91%  
80 8% 85% Last Result
81 28% 77%  
82 6% 49% Median
83 3% 43%  
84 34% 40%  
85 0.9% 7%  
86 5% 6%  
87 0.9% 1.1%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 1.4% 99.8% Last Result
76 0.6% 98%  
77 1.3% 98%  
78 6% 97%  
79 5% 91%  
80 8% 85%  
81 28% 77%  
82 6% 49% Median
83 3% 43%  
84 34% 40%  
85 0.9% 7%  
86 5% 6%  
87 0.9% 1.1%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.9% 99.9%  
74 4% 99.0%  
75 0.1% 95%  
76 15% 94%  
77 18% 79%  
78 1.5% 61%  
79 22% 60% Last Result
80 17% 38%  
81 3% 21% Median
82 4% 18%  
83 2% 14%  
84 5% 11%  
85 0.5% 6%  
86 4% 6%  
87 1.1% 1.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 4% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 96%  
72 14% 96%  
73 19% 82%  
74 1.5% 62%  
75 21% 61%  
76 14% 40%  
77 2% 26% Median
78 4% 24%  
79 8% 19% Last Result
80 5% 12%  
81 0.5% 6%  
82 5% 6%  
83 1.2% 1.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 1.0% 99.8%  
71 4% 98.8%  
72 2% 95%  
73 6% 93%  
74 3% 87%  
75 11% 83%  
76 20% 72%  
77 2% 52% Median
78 9% 51% Last Result
79 35% 42%  
80 1.0% 7%  
81 5% 6%  
82 0.9% 1.3%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.9% 100%  
61 4% 99.1%  
62 0.1% 95%  
63 0.4% 95%  
64 0.9% 94%  
65 16% 93%  
66 22% 78%  
67 17% 55%  
68 6% 38%  
69 4% 32%  
70 15% 28% Median
71 6% 13%  
72 1.3% 7%  
73 4% 6%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.1% 1.0% Last Result
76 0.9% 0.9%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 4% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 96%  
59 0.2% 96%  
60 1.2% 96%  
61 14% 94%  
62 21% 80%  
63 13% 59%  
64 7% 46%  
65 13% 39%  
66 12% 26% Median
67 7% 14%  
68 1.1% 8%  
69 4% 6%  
70 1.3% 2%  
71 0.1% 0.9%  
72 0.8% 0.9%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 1.5% 100%  
55 0.3% 98%  
56 1.0% 98%  
57 10% 97%  
58 7% 87%  
59 9% 80%  
60 18% 71%  
61 4% 53% Median
62 6% 49%  
63 4% 43%  
64 33% 39% Last Result
65 0.4% 6%  
66 5% 6%  
67 0.2% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 4% 99.9%  
48 14% 96%  
49 1.0% 82%  
50 19% 81%  
51 1.4% 62%  
52 21% 61%  
53 5% 39%  
54 15% 34% Median
55 8% 19%  
56 5% 11%  
57 4% 6%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 2% 2% Last Result
60 0.3% 0.3%  
61 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 1.1% 100%  
46 0.8% 98.9%  
47 5% 98%  
48 32% 93%  
49 5% 61%  
50 30% 56% Median
51 7% 26%  
52 13% 19%  
53 3% 7%  
54 2% 4%  
55 1.5% 2% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 38% 99.8%  
21 10% 62%  
22 45% 52% Median
23 5% 7%  
24 0.5% 1.4%  
25 0.3% 0.9%  
26 0% 0.6%  
27 0.2% 0.6%  
28 0.3% 0.3%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations