Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 17–23 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.0% 29.1–32.9% 28.6–33.4% 28.2–33.9% 27.3–34.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.2% 12.2–16.5% 11.6–17.3%
Venstre 23.4% 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.8–13.1% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.5–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 54 51–58 50–59 50–59 48–62
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 23–29 22–30 22–31 20–32
Venstre 43 21 18–23 17–24 16–24 16–25
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 13–17 13–18 13–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–16 12–17 11–19 11–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 10–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 8–13 8–13 7–14
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.9% 99.8% Last Result
49 0.5% 98.9%  
50 5% 98%  
51 9% 94%  
52 21% 85%  
53 11% 64%  
54 6% 53% Median
55 18% 47%  
56 12% 29%  
57 4% 17%  
58 5% 13%  
59 6% 8%  
60 1.0% 2%  
61 0.6% 1.1%  
62 0.4% 0.5%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.5% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.5%  
21 1.1% 99.4%  
22 4% 98%  
23 5% 95%  
24 2% 89%  
25 38% 87% Median
26 7% 49%  
27 20% 42%  
28 3% 22%  
29 14% 19%  
30 2% 5%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.4% 0.6%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 4% 99.8%  
17 2% 96%  
18 5% 94%  
19 14% 89%  
20 18% 75%  
21 40% 57% Median
22 6% 17%  
23 3% 11%  
24 7% 8%  
25 0.6% 0.7%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.7% 100%  
13 16% 99.3% Last Result
14 14% 84%  
15 12% 70%  
16 25% 58% Median
17 26% 33%  
18 4% 7%  
19 3% 4%  
20 0.3% 0.6%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 4% 99.9%  
12 4% 96%  
13 15% 92%  
14 26% 77% Last Result
15 24% 51% Median
16 22% 27%  
17 2% 6%  
18 1.0% 4%  
19 3% 3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.4% 99.8%  
11 3% 99.5%  
12 9% 96%  
13 27% 87%  
14 42% 61% Median
15 10% 18%  
16 6% 8%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 7% 98%  
9 35% 90%  
10 31% 55% Median
11 10% 24%  
12 8% 14%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.9% 99.9%  
8 11% 99.0%  
9 14% 88%  
10 37% 74% Median
11 31% 37%  
12 5% 7%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100%  
1 0% 82%  
2 0% 82%  
3 0.2% 82%  
4 31% 82% Last Result
5 29% 51% Median
6 20% 22%  
7 0.9% 2%  
8 1.4% 1.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 44%  
2 0% 44%  
3 0% 44%  
4 26% 44%  
5 15% 17%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 98% 91–100 91–101 90–103 88–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 94 98% 91–100 91–101 90–103 88–105
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 83 9% 81–89 80–91 80–94 78–94
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 83 9% 81–89 80–91 80–94 78–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 76–83 75–85 74–86 73–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 72–80 70–81 68–81 67–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 70–80 68–80 68–81 66–81
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 64 0% 61–67 61–69 60–70 57–72
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 59–66 55–66 54–68 53–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 60 0% 57–66 54–66 54–66 52–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 47–55 45–57 42–57 42–57
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 46 0% 43–50 42–51 42–52 39–52
Venstre 43 21 0% 18–23 17–24 16–24 16–25

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.4% 99.9%  
88 0.8% 99.5%  
89 0.3% 98.7%  
90 3% 98% Majority
91 10% 96%  
92 5% 85%  
93 28% 80%  
94 24% 52%  
95 7% 28% Median
96 3% 21% Last Result
97 4% 18%  
98 1.0% 14%  
99 2% 13%  
100 5% 11%  
101 1.5% 6%  
102 1.3% 5%  
103 3% 3%  
104 0.2% 0.7%  
105 0.5% 0.5%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.4% 99.9%  
88 0.8% 99.5%  
89 0.3% 98.7%  
90 3% 98% Majority
91 10% 96% Last Result
92 5% 85%  
93 28% 80%  
94 24% 52%  
95 7% 28% Median
96 3% 21%  
97 4% 18%  
98 1.0% 14%  
99 2% 13%  
100 5% 11%  
101 1.5% 6%  
102 1.3% 5%  
103 3% 3%  
104 0.2% 0.7%  
105 0.5% 0.5%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 1.1% 99.9%  
79 1.3% 98.9%  
80 5% 98% Last Result
81 8% 93%  
82 6% 85%  
83 37% 79%  
84 4% 42%  
85 19% 38% Median
86 2% 19%  
87 5% 18%  
88 1.0% 13%  
89 3% 12%  
90 4% 9% Majority
91 0.5% 5%  
92 1.3% 5%  
93 0.6% 3%  
94 3% 3%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 1.1% 99.9%  
79 1.3% 98.9%  
80 5% 98%  
81 8% 93%  
82 6% 85%  
83 37% 79%  
84 4% 42%  
85 19% 38% Median
86 2% 19%  
87 5% 18%  
88 0.9% 13%  
89 3% 12%  
90 4% 9% Majority
91 0.5% 5%  
92 1.3% 5%  
93 0.6% 3%  
94 3% 3%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.2% 0.2%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.5%  
74 3% 99.1%  
75 5% 96%  
76 14% 91%  
77 20% 77%  
78 16% 56% Last Result
79 4% 40% Median
80 3% 37%  
81 21% 34%  
82 3% 13%  
83 2% 10%  
84 2% 8%  
85 2% 6%  
86 3% 5%  
87 2% 2%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.4% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.5%  
68 4% 99.4%  
69 0.2% 96%  
70 3% 96%  
71 2% 93%  
72 3% 91%  
73 0.7% 88%  
74 3% 87%  
75 20% 84% Median
76 22% 65%  
77 15% 43%  
78 7% 28%  
79 5% 21% Last Result
80 9% 16%  
81 5% 7%  
82 1.0% 2%  
83 0.6% 1.0%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.9%  
67 0.4% 99.4%  
68 4% 99.0%  
69 0.8% 95%  
70 7% 94%  
71 4% 87%  
72 29% 82%  
73 1.1% 53%  
74 3% 52%  
75 16% 49% Median
76 4% 33%  
77 7% 29%  
78 7% 22%  
79 5% 15% Last Result
80 7% 10%  
81 3% 3%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.6% 99.8%  
58 0.4% 99.3%  
59 1.0% 98.9%  
60 0.9% 98%  
61 10% 97%  
62 25% 87%  
63 4% 62%  
64 16% 57% Last Result, Median
65 5% 41%  
66 21% 36%  
67 6% 15%  
68 1.0% 10%  
69 4% 9%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.5% 2%  
72 0.6% 0.8%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.5%  
54 4% 99.5%  
55 0.5% 95%  
56 0.8% 95%  
57 0.6% 94%  
58 2% 93%  
59 4% 91%  
60 2% 87%  
61 19% 86% Median
62 4% 67%  
63 35% 63%  
64 7% 28%  
65 6% 21%  
66 10% 14%  
67 1.1% 4%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.4% 1.3%  
70 0.5% 0.9%  
71 0.3% 0.4%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.6% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.2%  
54 4% 99.1%  
55 0.7% 95%  
56 4% 94%  
57 2% 90%  
58 13% 88%  
59 23% 75%  
60 3% 52%  
61 18% 49% Median
62 3% 31%  
63 8% 28%  
64 5% 20%  
65 4% 15%  
66 10% 11%  
67 0.6% 1.3%  
68 0.5% 0.6%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 3% 99.9%  
43 0.6% 97%  
44 0.6% 97%  
45 2% 96%  
46 1.0% 94%  
47 4% 93%  
48 12% 89%  
49 5% 77%  
50 21% 71%  
51 19% 51% Median
52 10% 32%  
53 7% 22%  
54 4% 15%  
55 3% 11%  
56 1.0% 8%  
57 7% 7%  
58 0.3% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.5% 99.9%  
40 0.3% 99.5%  
41 0.9% 99.2%  
42 5% 98%  
43 6% 93%  
44 4% 87%  
45 7% 84%  
46 37% 77% Median
47 4% 39%  
48 17% 35%  
49 6% 18%  
50 3% 13%  
51 7% 9%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.1% 0.5%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.2% 100%  
16 4% 99.8%  
17 2% 96%  
18 5% 94%  
19 14% 89%  
20 18% 75%  
21 40% 57% Median
22 6% 17%  
23 3% 11%  
24 7% 8%  
25 0.6% 0.7%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations