Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 24–30 May 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.7% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.2% 28.9–34.7% 28.1–35.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.9–15.4% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.5%
Venstre 23.4% 12.5% 11.3–14.0% 10.9–14.4% 10.6–14.7% 10.1–15.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.0–9.9% 6.8–10.2% 6.3–10.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.5% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.9% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 57 53–61 52–62 51–62 49–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 24 21–27 21–28 20–28 20–29
Venstre 43 23 21–24 20–25 19–26 18–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–18 13–18 13–19 11–21
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 11–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 11–15 11–16 11–16 10–18
Radikale Venstre 16 10 9–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 9–12 8–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0.6% 99.9%  
50 0.9% 99.4%  
51 1.3% 98%  
52 3% 97%  
53 5% 94%  
54 3% 89%  
55 3% 85%  
56 12% 82%  
57 47% 70% Median
58 7% 23%  
59 2% 16%  
60 4% 14%  
61 6% 11%  
62 3% 5%  
63 0.7% 2%  
64 0.6% 0.8%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.9%  
20 4% 99.8%  
21 8% 96%  
22 7% 88%  
23 5% 81%  
24 48% 76% Median
25 13% 28%  
26 5% 15%  
27 5% 10%  
28 4% 5%  
29 0.9% 1.2%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 0.6% 99.6%  
19 2% 99.1%  
20 7% 97%  
21 16% 91%  
22 10% 74%  
23 29% 65% Median
24 29% 35%  
25 2% 6%  
26 2% 4%  
27 0.9% 2%  
28 0.6% 0.8%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.7% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.3%  
13 7% 98%  
14 49% 91% Last Result, Median
15 16% 42%  
16 12% 26%  
17 4% 14%  
18 7% 10%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.2% 0.9%  
21 0.7% 0.7%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.1%  
13 30% 97% Last Result
14 14% 67%  
15 28% 53% Median
16 10% 25%  
17 11% 15%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.3% 100%  
10 1.2% 99.7%  
11 22% 98.5%  
12 17% 77%  
13 8% 59%  
14 37% 51% Median
15 7% 14%  
16 6% 8%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.8% 0.8%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.8% 100%  
8 6% 99.2%  
9 20% 93%  
10 37% 73% Median
11 23% 35%  
12 9% 13%  
13 2% 4%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.2% 99.8%  
8 3% 98.6%  
9 15% 95%  
10 41% 80% Median
11 13% 39%  
12 22% 26%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.8% 1.0%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 61% 83% Last Result, Median
5 18% 22%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.7% 0.7%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 83% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 17%  
2 0% 17%  
3 0% 17%  
4 15% 17%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 97 99.5% 94–101 92–103 92–103 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 97 99.5% 94–101 92–103 92–103 90–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 86 20% 84–91 83–91 81–93 79–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 86 20% 84–91 83–91 81–93 79–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0.7% 79–86 78–87 77–88 74–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 76 0% 70–78 69–79 68–80 67–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 70–76 68–77 68–79 66–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 64–70 62–72 62–73 60–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 62 0% 57–64 56–65 54–67 53–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 62 0% 57–63 55–64 54–65 52–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 51 0% 47–52 45–54 44–54 42–57
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 47 0% 43–49 42–51 42–51 40–54
Venstre 43 23 0% 21–24 20–25 19–26 18–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.7%  
90 0.8% 99.5% Majority
91 0.7% 98.7%  
92 3% 98%  
93 4% 95%  
94 25% 91%  
95 11% 66%  
96 2% 55% Last Result, Median
97 21% 53%  
98 11% 32%  
99 5% 21%  
100 4% 15%  
101 2% 11%  
102 2% 9%  
103 5% 7%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.6% 1.0%  
106 0.2% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.2% 99.7%  
90 0.8% 99.5% Majority
91 0.7% 98.7% Last Result
92 3% 98%  
93 4% 95%  
94 25% 91%  
95 11% 66%  
96 2% 55% Median
97 21% 53%  
98 11% 32%  
99 5% 21%  
100 4% 15%  
101 2% 11%  
102 2% 9%  
103 5% 7%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.6% 1.0%  
106 0.2% 0.4%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 0.5% 99.2% Last Result
81 2% 98.7%  
82 1.4% 96%  
83 3% 95%  
84 27% 92%  
85 7% 65%  
86 24% 58% Median
87 5% 34%  
88 6% 29%  
89 3% 24%  
90 9% 20% Majority
91 6% 11%  
92 1.0% 5%  
93 2% 4%  
94 1.5% 2%  
95 0.3% 0.8%  
96 0.5% 0.6%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.3% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.6%  
80 0.5% 99.2%  
81 2% 98.7%  
82 1.4% 96%  
83 3% 95%  
84 27% 92%  
85 7% 65%  
86 24% 58% Median
87 5% 34%  
88 6% 29%  
89 3% 24%  
90 9% 20% Majority
91 6% 11%  
92 1.0% 5%  
93 2% 4%  
94 1.5% 2%  
95 0.3% 0.8%  
96 0.5% 0.6%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.3% 99.5%  
76 0.7% 99.2%  
77 1.2% 98%  
78 6% 97% Last Result
79 6% 91%  
80 8% 86%  
81 31% 77% Median
82 19% 47%  
83 3% 28%  
84 6% 25%  
85 5% 18%  
86 5% 13%  
87 5% 8%  
88 1.0% 3%  
89 0.8% 2%  
90 0.4% 0.7% Majority
91 0.2% 0.3%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 4% 99.5%  
69 2% 95%  
70 4% 93%  
71 2% 89%  
72 7% 87%  
73 6% 79%  
74 19% 73%  
75 2% 54% Median
76 36% 51%  
77 4% 15%  
78 5% 11%  
79 2% 6% Last Result
80 1.2% 3%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.1%  
83 0.4% 0.5%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.6% 99.7%  
67 0.5% 99.1%  
68 5% 98.6%  
69 3% 94%  
70 4% 91%  
71 2% 87%  
72 13% 85%  
73 8% 71%  
74 22% 63%  
75 3% 41% Median
76 31% 38%  
77 3% 7%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.3% 3% Last Result
80 0.6% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.1%  
82 0.4% 0.6%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.6% 99.7%  
61 1.1% 99.0%  
62 5% 98%  
63 3% 93%  
64 3% 91% Last Result
65 9% 88%  
66 12% 79%  
67 28% 67% Median
68 20% 39%  
69 5% 19%  
70 4% 14%  
71 4% 10%  
72 1.1% 5%  
73 3% 4%  
74 0.8% 1.1%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.6%  
54 2% 99.2%  
55 1.4% 97%  
56 2% 96%  
57 7% 94%  
58 5% 87%  
59 3% 82%  
60 7% 79%  
61 4% 72% Median
62 30% 68%  
63 20% 38%  
64 10% 18%  
65 4% 8%  
66 2% 4%  
67 1.0% 3%  
68 0.8% 2%  
69 0.3% 0.8%  
70 0.4% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.7% 99.8%  
53 0.9% 99.2%  
54 3% 98%  
55 1.4% 96%  
56 2% 94%  
57 7% 92%  
58 5% 85%  
59 3% 80%  
60 15% 77%  
61 7% 62% Median
62 30% 55%  
63 20% 26%  
64 3% 6%  
65 0.6% 3%  
66 0.9% 2%  
67 0.5% 1.1%  
68 0.3% 0.7%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0.3% 0.3%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 0.3% 99.7%  
43 0.8% 99.4%  
44 3% 98.6%  
45 1.2% 96%  
46 4% 95%  
47 7% 91%  
48 7% 84%  
49 2% 76%  
50 9% 74%  
51 28% 65% Median
52 29% 37%  
53 2% 7%  
54 3% 5%  
55 0.7% 2%  
56 0.4% 1.3%  
57 0.4% 0.9%  
58 0.1% 0.5%  
59 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.8%  
41 1.5% 99.5%  
42 6% 98%  
43 7% 92%  
44 4% 85%  
45 3% 81%  
46 9% 79%  
47 30% 69% Median
48 28% 39%  
49 2% 11%  
50 3% 9%  
51 4% 7%  
52 0.7% 2%  
53 0.6% 1.4%  
54 0.4% 0.8%  
55 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.3% 99.9%  
18 0.6% 99.6%  
19 2% 99.1%  
20 7% 97%  
21 16% 91%  
22 10% 74%  
23 29% 65% Median
24 29% 35%  
25 2% 6%  
26 2% 4%  
27 0.9% 2%  
28 0.6% 0.8%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations