Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 31 May–6 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.5% 28.7–32.3% 28.2–32.9% 27.7–33.3% 26.9–34.2%
Venstre 23.4% 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.5% 10.8–16.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.0% 11.8–14.4% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.7% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.9% 1.5–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.1–3.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 54 51–58 50–59 50–60 49–62
Venstre 43 24 21–26 20–26 20–27 20–28
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 22–27 21–28 20–28 19–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–17 13–18 12–18 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–17 13–17 12–18 11–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 9–15 9–16 9–16 9–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–15 10–16 9–16 8–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–13 9–13 9–13 8–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 9% 99.5%  
51 4% 91%  
52 6% 87%  
53 23% 81%  
54 25% 58% Median
55 18% 33%  
56 2% 15%  
57 2% 13%  
58 3% 11%  
59 4% 9%  
60 2% 4%  
61 0.8% 2%  
62 1.1% 1.2%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.4% 100%  
20 5% 99.6%  
21 8% 95%  
22 2% 87%  
23 24% 84%  
24 30% 61% Median
25 13% 30%  
26 13% 17%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.0% 1.4%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.5% 99.9%  
20 4% 99.4%  
21 4% 95%  
22 6% 92%  
23 9% 86%  
24 22% 77%  
25 19% 54% Median
26 16% 35%  
27 10% 19%  
28 9% 9%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.5% 100%  
12 4% 99.4%  
13 15% 95%  
14 8% 81% Last Result
15 17% 73%  
16 32% 56% Median
17 14% 23%  
18 8% 10%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 1.5% 98%  
13 15% 97% Last Result
14 35% 82% Median
15 24% 47%  
16 12% 23%  
17 8% 11%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.7% 1.0%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 10% 99.9%  
10 12% 90%  
11 29% 78% Median
12 21% 49%  
13 7% 28%  
14 8% 21%  
15 8% 13%  
16 4% 5%  
17 1.5% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.8% 100%  
9 2% 99.2%  
10 6% 97%  
11 22% 91%  
12 39% 69% Median
13 11% 30%  
14 4% 18%  
15 5% 14%  
16 9% 9% Last Result
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9%  
9 8% 98%  
10 21% 90%  
11 41% 69% Median
12 10% 28%  
13 17% 18%  
14 1.1% 2%  
15 0.6% 0.7%  
16 0% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0.1% 94%  
4 18% 94% Last Result
5 56% 77% Median
6 13% 21%  
7 7% 8%  
8 0.4% 0.4%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 32% 51% Median
5 18% 19%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 96% 90–98 90–100 89–104 87–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 95 96% 90–98 90–100 89–104 87–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 5% 79–87 79–89 79–92 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 85 5% 79–87 79–89 79–92 77–92
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 2% 75–84 74–85 74–89 74–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0% 77–85 74–85 71–86 70–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 73–80 72–82 70–83 69–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 62–73 61–74 59–74 58–76
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 61–68 61–70 60–73 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 61–69 58–69 57–69 57–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 49–56 47–56 46–58 46–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 48 0% 45–52 43–52 42–53 41–54
Venstre 43 24 0% 21–26 20–26 20–27 20–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.8% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.1%  
89 3% 98.9%  
90 8% 96% Majority
91 5% 88%  
92 2% 83%  
93 4% 80%  
94 5% 77%  
95 27% 72% Median
96 19% 45% Last Result
97 7% 25%  
98 10% 18%  
99 2% 8%  
100 2% 6%  
101 0.2% 5%  
102 0.3% 4%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.3% 3%  
105 2% 2%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.8% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.1%  
89 3% 98.9%  
90 8% 96% Majority
91 5% 88% Last Result
92 2% 82%  
93 4% 80%  
94 5% 77%  
95 27% 72% Median
96 19% 45%  
97 7% 25%  
98 10% 18%  
99 2% 8%  
100 2% 6%  
101 0.2% 5%  
102 0.3% 4%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.3% 3%  
105 2% 2%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.8%  
78 1.5% 99.5%  
79 10% 98%  
80 5% 88% Last Result
81 4% 83%  
82 12% 79%  
83 3% 67%  
84 1.4% 64% Median
85 37% 62%  
86 12% 25%  
87 4% 13%  
88 3% 9%  
89 1.4% 6%  
90 0.6% 5% Majority
91 0.4% 4%  
92 4% 4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.8%  
78 1.5% 99.5%  
79 10% 98%  
80 5% 88%  
81 4% 83%  
82 12% 79%  
83 3% 67%  
84 1.4% 64% Median
85 37% 62%  
86 12% 25%  
87 4% 13%  
88 3% 9%  
89 1.4% 6%  
90 0.6% 5% Majority
91 0.4% 4%  
92 4% 4%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.7%  
74 9% 99.5%  
75 2% 91%  
76 6% 88%  
77 2% 83%  
78 5% 81% Last Result
79 3% 77%  
80 3% 73%  
81 37% 70% Median
82 20% 34%  
83 3% 14%  
84 2% 11%  
85 4% 9%  
86 0.8% 5%  
87 0.2% 4%  
88 1.2% 4%  
89 0.1% 3%  
90 0.3% 2% Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 2% 100%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 2% 97%  
73 0.5% 96%  
74 0.4% 95%  
75 2% 95%  
76 3% 93%  
77 12% 90%  
78 7% 78%  
79 19% 71% Last Result
80 26% 52%  
81 3% 26% Median
82 4% 23%  
83 2% 19%  
84 5% 17%  
85 8% 12%  
86 3% 4%  
87 0.2% 1.0%  
88 0.8% 0.8%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.4% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 2% 99.4%  
71 0.4% 97%  
72 4% 96%  
73 11% 93%  
74 3% 82%  
75 5% 79%  
76 11% 74%  
77 5% 63% Median
78 7% 58%  
79 20% 51% Last Result
80 23% 31%  
81 2% 8%  
82 2% 6%  
83 1.3% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0% 1.2%  
86 1.1% 1.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 2% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 98%  
60 0.3% 97%  
61 5% 97%  
62 2% 92%  
63 6% 90%  
64 2% 84%  
65 4% 82%  
66 6% 78%  
67 18% 72%  
68 12% 54%  
69 12% 42%  
70 2% 30% Median
71 11% 28%  
72 6% 17%  
73 1.1% 11%  
74 9% 10%  
75 0.4% 1.1% Last Result
76 0.3% 0.8%  
77 0.4% 0.4%  
78 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.3% 99.8%  
60 3% 99.6%  
61 10% 97%  
62 5% 87%  
63 2% 81%  
64 8% 79% Last Result
65 36% 71% Median
66 18% 35%  
67 3% 17%  
68 4% 14%  
69 2% 10%  
70 3% 8%  
71 0.8% 5%  
72 0.3% 4%  
73 4% 4%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 3% 99.8%  
58 3% 97%  
59 2% 94%  
60 0.8% 92%  
61 6% 91%  
62 2% 85%  
63 14% 83%  
64 3% 69%  
65 2% 65%  
66 6% 64% Median
67 23% 58%  
68 15% 35%  
69 19% 21%  
70 0.6% 2%  
71 0.8% 1.4%  
72 0.5% 0.5%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 3% 99.5%  
47 3% 96%  
48 2% 93%  
49 4% 92%  
50 3% 88%  
51 13% 85%  
52 8% 72%  
53 12% 64%  
54 6% 52% Median
55 12% 46%  
56 30% 34%  
57 0.5% 4%  
58 3% 4%  
59 0.2% 1.0% Last Result
60 0.8% 0.9%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.8%  
41 1.0% 99.6%  
42 2% 98.5%  
43 2% 96%  
44 3% 94%  
45 2% 91%  
46 11% 89%  
47 16% 78%  
48 12% 61%  
49 5% 49% Median
50 14% 44%  
51 18% 31%  
52 9% 12%  
53 3% 3%  
54 0.6% 0.7%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.4% 100%  
20 5% 99.6%  
21 8% 95%  
22 2% 87%  
23 24% 84%  
24 30% 61% Median
25 13% 30%  
26 13% 17%  
27 3% 5%  
28 1.0% 1.4%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations