Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 4–6 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 33.3% 31.6–35.0% 31.1–35.5% 30.7–35.9% 29.9–36.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.7–16.7%
Venstre 23.4% 11.6% 10.5–12.8% 10.2–13.1% 9.9–13.4% 9.4–14.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.8% 7.8–9.9% 7.6–10.2% 7.3–10.5% 6.9–11.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.1% 7.2–9.1% 6.9–9.4% 6.7–9.7% 6.3–10.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.6% 6.2–10.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.3% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6% 6.0–8.9% 5.6–9.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 3.9% 3.3–4.7% 3.1–4.9% 2.9–5.1% 2.7–5.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7% 1.6–4.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.7% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 60 57–65 57–66 56–66 54–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 27 24–28 22–28 21–28 20–33
Venstre 43 21 19–24 18–24 18–25 16–26
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 14–17 14–17 13–19 13–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–16 12–18 11–19 11–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 11–15 11–16 11–16 11–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 6 6–8 6–9 5–10 5–10
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–6 0–7 0–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.7%  
54 0.6% 99.6%  
55 0.7% 99.1%  
56 0.9% 98%  
57 23% 97%  
58 10% 75%  
59 12% 65%  
60 19% 53% Median
61 2% 34%  
62 14% 32%  
63 7% 18%  
64 0.7% 11%  
65 0.3% 10%  
66 9% 10%  
67 0.5% 0.6%  
68 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 2% 100%  
21 0.4% 98%  
22 3% 97%  
23 1.1% 94%  
24 8% 93%  
25 13% 85%  
26 7% 72%  
27 45% 65% Median
28 18% 20%  
29 0.1% 2%  
30 0.5% 2%  
31 0.1% 2%  
32 0.5% 1.5%  
33 1.0% 1.0%  
34 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 1.2% 100%  
17 0.4% 98.8%  
18 3% 98%  
19 16% 95%  
20 24% 79%  
21 19% 55% Median
22 15% 37%  
23 7% 22%  
24 12% 15%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0.5% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 4% 99.7%  
14 23% 96%  
15 7% 73%  
16 35% 66% Median
17 26% 31%  
18 0.5% 5%  
19 4% 4%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 3% 99.8%  
12 14% 96%  
13 25% 83%  
14 15% 57% Last Result, Median
15 7% 42%  
16 28% 35%  
17 1.2% 7%  
18 3% 6%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 18% 99.9%  
12 2% 82%  
13 15% 80% Last Result
14 28% 65% Median
15 28% 37%  
16 7% 9%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.7%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.8% 100%  
10 5% 99.2%  
11 13% 94%  
12 16% 81%  
13 32% 65% Median
14 27% 33%  
15 5% 6%  
16 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.4% 100%  
5 3% 99.6%  
6 52% 97% Median
7 22% 45%  
8 16% 23%  
9 4% 7%  
10 3% 3%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 12% 83% Last Result
5 61% 71% Median
6 5% 10%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.5%  
2 0% 1.5%  
3 0% 1.5%  
4 1.4% 1.5%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 99.7% 92–102 92–103 92–103 90–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 93 99.7% 92–102 92–103 92–103 90–104
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 87 21% 86–94 84–95 84–95 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 87 21% 86–94 84–95 84–95 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0.1% 77–88 77–88 77–88 76–89
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 0% 73–83 72–83 72–83 71–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 82 0% 73–83 72–83 72–83 71–84
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 67 0% 63–73 63–74 63–74 60–75
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 66 0% 59–69 57–69 56–69 56–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 59–69 57–69 56–69 56–69
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–56 46–56 44–56 44–56
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 47 0% 43–51 43–51 41–51 39–54
Venstre 43 21 0% 19–24 18–24 18–25 16–26

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.7% Majority
91 0.7% 99.5%  
92 29% 98.8%  
93 25% 70%  
94 11% 45% Median
95 4% 34%  
96 9% 30% Last Result
97 0.9% 21%  
98 2% 20%  
99 2% 18%  
100 2% 16%  
101 3% 14%  
102 5% 11%  
103 5% 5%  
104 0.7% 0.8%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.7% Majority
91 0.7% 99.5% Last Result
92 29% 98.8%  
93 25% 70%  
94 11% 45% Median
95 4% 34%  
96 9% 30%  
97 0.9% 21%  
98 2% 20%  
99 2% 18%  
100 2% 16%  
101 3% 14%  
102 5% 11%  
103 5% 5%  
104 0.7% 0.8%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 5% 99.5%  
85 2% 95%  
86 28% 93%  
87 32% 65%  
88 3% 33% Median
89 9% 30%  
90 2% 21% Majority
91 3% 19%  
92 0.4% 16%  
93 2% 16%  
94 8% 14%  
95 5% 6%  
96 0.8% 1.0%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 5% 99.5%  
85 2% 95%  
86 28% 93%  
87 32% 65%  
88 3% 33% Median
89 9% 30%  
90 2% 21% Majority
91 3% 19%  
92 0.4% 16%  
93 2% 16%  
94 8% 14%  
95 5% 6%  
96 0.8% 1.0%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 0.7% 99.6%  
77 16% 98.9%  
78 5% 83% Last Result
79 22% 79%  
80 3% 57% Median
81 17% 54%  
82 7% 37%  
83 13% 30%  
84 1.4% 17%  
85 3% 16%  
86 2% 13%  
87 0.1% 10%  
88 9% 10%  
89 0.8% 0.9%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.7% 99.9%  
72 5% 99.2%  
73 5% 95%  
74 3% 89%  
75 2% 86%  
76 2% 84%  
77 2% 82%  
78 0.9% 80%  
79 9% 79% Last Result
80 4% 70%  
81 11% 66%  
82 25% 55% Median
83 29% 30%  
84 0.7% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.7% 99.9%  
72 5% 99.2%  
73 5% 95%  
74 3% 89%  
75 2% 86%  
76 2% 84%  
77 3% 82%  
78 1.0% 79%  
79 10% 78% Last Result
80 4% 69%  
81 10% 64%  
82 25% 54% Median
83 28% 29%  
84 0.7% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.4% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.6%  
61 0.2% 99.4%  
62 0.7% 99.2%  
63 18% 98%  
64 10% 80% Last Result
65 13% 70%  
66 7% 58% Median
67 14% 51%  
68 12% 37%  
69 7% 24%  
70 5% 17%  
71 2% 12%  
72 0.3% 10%  
73 0.2% 10%  
74 9% 10%  
75 0.5% 0.6%  
76 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100%  
56 4% 99.6%  
57 2% 95%  
58 0.9% 93%  
59 5% 92%  
60 3% 87%  
61 0.7% 84%  
62 8% 83%  
63 10% 76%  
64 5% 65%  
65 4% 60%  
66 36% 56% Median
67 1.4% 20%  
68 6% 19%  
69 12% 12%  
70 0% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.4% 100%  
56 4% 99.6%  
57 2% 95%  
58 0.9% 93%  
59 5% 92%  
60 3% 87%  
61 1.3% 84%  
62 8% 82%  
63 11% 74%  
64 5% 64%  
65 4% 59%  
66 35% 55% Median
67 1.3% 20%  
68 6% 19%  
69 12% 12%  
70 0% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0% 99.8%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 0% 99.6%  
44 2% 99.6%  
45 0.4% 97%  
46 5% 97%  
47 2% 93%  
48 6% 91%  
49 14% 85%  
50 11% 72%  
51 5% 61%  
52 19% 55%  
53 2% 36% Median
54 11% 34%  
55 12% 23%  
56 11% 11%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 2% 100%  
40 0.3% 98%  
41 0.3% 98%  
42 0.7% 97%  
43 8% 97%  
44 5% 89%  
45 8% 84%  
46 10% 75%  
47 19% 66%  
48 2% 46% Median
49 18% 44%  
50 13% 26%  
51 11% 13%  
52 0% 2%  
53 1.0% 2%  
54 0.4% 0.7%  
55 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 1.2% 100%  
17 0.4% 98.8%  
18 3% 98%  
19 16% 95%  
20 24% 79%  
21 19% 55% Median
22 15% 37%  
23 7% 22%  
24 12% 15%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0.5% 0.5%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations