Opinion Poll by Gallup, 4–10 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.7% 25.2–28.2% 24.8–28.6% 24.5–29.0% 23.8–29.8%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.8% 12.7–15.0% 12.4–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.6–16.3%
Venstre 23.4% 12.8% 11.8–14.0% 11.5–14.4% 11.2–14.6% 10.7–15.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.5% 7.7–9.5% 7.4–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 6.8–10.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.5–9.3% 7.2–9.6% 7.0–9.9% 6.6–10.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 8.3% 7.5–9.3% 7.2–9.6% 7.0–9.9% 6.6–10.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.5% 6.7–8.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 5.9–9.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.3% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.7–9.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 2.0–3.0% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.3% 1.5–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 45–50 44–50 44–51 42–53
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 22–27 20–27 20–28 20–29
Venstre 43 22 21–25 20–25 20–26 19–27
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–16 13–17 13–18 12–18
Radikale Venstre 16 14 13–16 13–17 12–17 12–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 12–15 11–15 11–16 10–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–15 10–16 10–16 10–17
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–5 0–5 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 0.7% 99.7%  
43 1.3% 99.0%  
44 4% 98%  
45 8% 94%  
46 8% 86%  
47 7% 78%  
48 34% 71% Last Result, Median
49 17% 37%  
50 16% 20%  
51 2% 4%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0.4% 0.6%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 6% 100%  
21 1.5% 94%  
22 11% 92%  
23 12% 82%  
24 16% 70%  
25 9% 55% Median
26 10% 46%  
27 32% 36%  
28 3% 4%  
29 0.7% 0.9%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.3% 100%  
19 1.2% 99.7%  
20 7% 98%  
21 10% 91%  
22 44% 81% Median
23 9% 37%  
24 10% 27%  
25 14% 17%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0.5% 0.9%  
28 0.2% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.9%  
13 9% 99.0%  
14 41% 90% Median
15 20% 50%  
16 12% 29%  
17 15% 17%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.3% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 9% 98% Last Result
14 26% 89%  
15 45% 63% Median
16 11% 18%  
17 4% 7%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 3% 99.7%  
13 24% 97%  
14 23% 73% Median
15 25% 50%  
16 16% 25% Last Result
17 8% 9%  
18 1.1% 1.4%  
19 0.2% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 6% 99.5%  
12 15% 94%  
13 16% 79%  
14 46% 63% Last Result, Median
15 13% 18%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 6% 99.9%  
11 7% 94%  
12 12% 87%  
13 30% 75% Median
14 30% 46%  
15 9% 16%  
16 5% 7% Last Result
17 1.3% 1.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 0% 92%  
2 0% 92%  
3 0% 92%  
4 58% 92% Last Result, Median
5 30% 35%  
6 4% 5%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0.7% 90%  
4 58% 89% Median
5 25% 31%  
6 6% 6%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 96 91 79% 88–94 87–95 85–95 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 91 91 79% 88–94 87–95 85–95 84–97
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 83 1.4% 80–87 79–88 78–88 76–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 76–83 76–84 74–84 73–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 77 0% 72–79 72–79 71–80 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 77 0% 72–79 72–79 71–80 69–82
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti 78 76 0% 73–79 72–79 71–80 68–82
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 65–72 64–72 63–73 61–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 62–67 61–68 59–69 58–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 60–65 59–66 58–67 56–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–54 47–55 47–56 45–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 47 0% 44–50 44–51 43–52 42–53
Venstre 43 22 0% 21–25 20–25 20–26 19–27

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.7% 99.8%  
85 2% 99.1%  
86 1.1% 97%  
87 5% 96%  
88 7% 91%  
89 5% 83%  
90 28% 79% Majority
91 7% 50% Median
92 26% 43%  
93 3% 17%  
94 7% 14%  
95 4% 6%  
96 0.7% 2% Last Result
97 0.8% 1.3%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.7% 99.8%  
85 2% 99.1%  
86 1.1% 97%  
87 5% 96%  
88 7% 91%  
89 5% 83%  
90 28% 79% Majority
91 7% 50% Last Result, Median
92 26% 43%  
93 3% 17%  
94 7% 14%  
95 4% 6%  
96 0.7% 2%  
97 0.8% 1.3%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.4% 99.8%  
77 0.3% 99.4%  
78 2% 99.1%  
79 2% 97% Last Result
80 6% 95%  
81 10% 88%  
82 4% 78% Median
83 28% 75%  
84 6% 47%  
85 26% 41%  
86 4% 15%  
87 5% 11%  
88 4% 6%  
89 0.7% 2%  
90 1.3% 1.4% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0.7% 99.7%  
74 1.5% 99.0%  
75 2% 97%  
76 7% 96%  
77 8% 88%  
78 14% 80% Median
79 14% 66% Last Result
80 10% 52%  
81 26% 42%  
82 3% 16%  
83 7% 13%  
84 4% 6%  
85 0.5% 2%  
86 1.3% 2%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.4% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.5%  
70 0.8% 99.3%  
71 2% 98.6%  
72 7% 96%  
73 4% 89%  
74 6% 85%  
75 9% 79%  
76 10% 70%  
77 31% 59% Median
78 17% 29%  
79 8% 11%  
80 0.9% 3% Last Result
81 1.2% 2%  
82 0.3% 0.8%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.4% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.5%  
70 0.8% 99.3%  
71 2% 98.6%  
72 7% 96%  
73 4% 89%  
74 6% 85%  
75 9% 79% Last Result
76 10% 70%  
77 31% 59% Median
78 17% 29%  
79 8% 11%  
80 0.9% 3%  
81 1.2% 2%  
82 0.3% 0.8%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.6% 100%  
69 0.8% 99.4%  
70 0.8% 98.6%  
71 0.9% 98%  
72 6% 97%  
73 2% 91%  
74 6% 89%  
75 29% 83%  
76 10% 54% Median
77 17% 44%  
78 13% 27% Last Result
79 12% 14%  
80 1.3% 3%  
81 1.0% 2%  
82 0.1% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.8%  
62 0.5% 99.3%  
63 3% 98.9%  
64 2% 96%  
65 4% 94%  
66 20% 90%  
67 5% 69%  
68 4% 64% Median
69 16% 61%  
70 11% 44%  
71 21% 34%  
72 9% 12%  
73 0.9% 3%  
74 1.5% 2%  
75 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.3% 100%  
58 0.7% 99.7%  
59 2% 99.0%  
60 2% 97%  
61 4% 95%  
62 18% 91%  
63 4% 73%  
64 17% 69% Median
65 5% 52%  
66 14% 47%  
67 24% 33%  
68 5% 9%  
69 2% 4%  
70 1.4% 2%  
71 0.3% 0.6%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.8% 99.9%  
57 1.2% 99.1%  
58 2% 98%  
59 2% 96%  
60 8% 94%  
61 28% 86%  
62 4% 57% Median
63 18% 53%  
64 21% 36% Last Result
65 10% 15%  
66 3% 5%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.4% 0.9%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0.5% 99.8%  
46 0.5% 99.3%  
47 6% 98.8%  
48 6% 93%  
49 13% 88%  
50 7% 74%  
51 16% 68% Median
52 9% 52%  
53 27% 43%  
54 8% 16%  
55 5% 8%  
56 0.7% 3%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.5% 0.6%  
59 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.2% 100%  
42 0.6% 99.8%  
43 2% 99.2%  
44 8% 97%  
45 12% 89%  
46 16% 77%  
47 14% 61% Median
48 6% 47%  
49 27% 41%  
50 7% 14%  
51 5% 7%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.7% 0.8%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.3% 100%  
19 1.2% 99.7%  
20 7% 98%  
21 10% 91%  
22 44% 81% Median
23 9% 37%  
24 10% 27%  
25 14% 17%  
26 3% 3%  
27 0.5% 0.9%  
28 0.2% 0.4%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations