Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–12 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.8–33.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.1% 11.3–16.9%
Venstre 23.4% 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.2–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.5% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.8–3.1% 1.7–3.3% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.1% 0.6–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 47–54 47–56 45–56 45–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 22–28 22–29 22–29 21–31
Venstre 43 24 22–26 22–27 21–27 20–29
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 13–17 13–19 13–19 12–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–18 12–19 11–19 11–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–12 8–13 8–13 7–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–6 0–7 0–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 3% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 97%  
47 21% 96%  
48 14% 76% Last Result
49 10% 61%  
50 8% 51% Median
51 12% 43%  
52 11% 31%  
53 9% 19%  
54 3% 11%  
55 2% 8%  
56 4% 6%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.4% 0.7%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 1.3% 99.7%  
22 9% 98%  
23 9% 90%  
24 11% 81%  
25 27% 70% Median
26 16% 43%  
27 16% 28%  
28 4% 12%  
29 6% 8%  
30 0.5% 2%  
31 1.0% 1.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.8%  
21 2% 98%  
22 10% 95%  
23 14% 85%  
24 36% 71% Median
25 23% 36%  
26 7% 13%  
27 4% 6%  
28 1.2% 2%  
29 0.2% 0.7%  
30 0.1% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.4%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 9% 98%  
14 16% 89% Last Result
15 18% 73%  
16 13% 55% Median
17 33% 42%  
18 2% 8%  
19 5% 6%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 3% 100%  
12 6% 97%  
13 2% 92% Last Result
14 16% 90%  
15 24% 74% Median
16 35% 49%  
17 3% 14%  
18 6% 11%  
19 4% 6%  
20 1.1% 1.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.2% 100%  
9 5% 98.7%  
10 5% 93%  
11 30% 88%  
12 44% 59% Median
13 6% 14%  
14 7% 8%  
15 0% 2%  
16 0.8% 2% Last Result
17 0.9% 0.9%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0.4% 99.8%  
9 4% 99.4%  
10 33% 95%  
11 23% 62% Median
12 14% 39%  
13 18% 25%  
14 4% 7%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.8% 0.9%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.0% 100%  
8 6% 99.0%  
9 12% 93%  
10 14% 81%  
11 44% 67% Median
12 16% 23%  
13 6% 7%  
14 0.6% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.6%  
16 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 0% 84%  
2 0% 84%  
3 0% 84%  
4 21% 84% Last Result
5 35% 63% Median
6 21% 27%  
7 5% 6%  
8 1.0% 1.0%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 72% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 28%  
2 0% 28%  
3 0% 28%  
4 28% 28%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Median
1 0% 1.3%  
2 0% 1.3%  
3 0.1% 1.3%  
4 1.1% 1.2%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 92 83% 89–95 89–96 88–96 86–100
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 91 83% 89–95 89–96 88–96 86–99
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 80 0.2% 79–84 78–86 77–86 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 80 0.1% 78–84 78–86 77–86 75–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 76 0% 74–81 73–82 72–84 71–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 74–81 73–82 73–82 70–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 76 0% 74–81 73–82 72–82 69–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 67 0% 63–70 62–70 61–70 57–73
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 62–69 61–69 60–70 57–73
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 60 0% 58–65 57–66 56–68 55–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 51–56 50–58 49–58 47–59
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 49 0% 47–52 46–52 45–53 43–56
Venstre 43 24 0% 22–26 22–27 21–27 20–29

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.6% 99.7%  
87 1.2% 99.2%  
88 3% 98%  
89 12% 95%  
90 5% 83% Majority
91 27% 78%  
92 15% 51% Median
93 15% 36%  
94 10% 21%  
95 6% 11%  
96 3% 5% Last Result
97 1.0% 2%  
98 0.4% 1.5%  
99 0.6% 1.1%  
100 0.4% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.2% 100%  
86 0.6% 99.7%  
87 1.3% 99.2%  
88 3% 98%  
89 12% 95%  
90 5% 83% Majority
91 28% 78% Last Result
92 15% 50% Median
93 15% 35%  
94 10% 20%  
95 5% 10%  
96 3% 5%  
97 0.9% 2%  
98 0.4% 1.3%  
99 0.6% 1.0%  
100 0.3% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.8%  
76 0.3% 99.3%  
77 2% 99.0%  
78 6% 97%  
79 10% 90%  
80 33% 80% Last Result
81 5% 47% Median
82 20% 42%  
83 6% 22%  
84 6% 15%  
85 3% 10%  
86 4% 7%  
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.8% 1.2%  
89 0.1% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.2% 100%  
75 0.5% 99.8% Last Result
76 0.3% 99.3%  
77 2% 99.0%  
78 7% 97%  
79 10% 90%  
80 34% 80%  
81 5% 46% Median
82 20% 41%  
83 6% 21%  
84 5% 15%  
85 3% 10%  
86 4% 6%  
87 1.3% 2%  
88 0.8% 1.0%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 2% 99.6%  
72 2% 98%  
73 2% 96%  
74 6% 94%  
75 36% 88%  
76 13% 52%  
77 14% 39% Median
78 9% 25% Last Result
79 4% 16%  
80 2% 12%  
81 3% 10%  
82 3% 7%  
83 1.3% 4%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.5% 0.6%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.4% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.1% 99.5%  
71 0.3% 99.4%  
72 1.5% 99.1%  
73 3% 98%  
74 18% 94%  
75 9% 77%  
76 6% 68%  
77 4% 62% Median
78 5% 58%  
79 6% 53% Last Result
80 33% 48%  
81 7% 15%  
82 6% 8%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.2%  
85 0.5% 0.6%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.4% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.6%  
70 0.2% 99.5%  
71 0.5% 99.3%  
72 1.5% 98.8%  
73 5% 97%  
74 18% 92%  
75 13% 74%  
76 27% 61%  
77 2% 34% Median
78 4% 32%  
79 1.3% 28% Last Result
80 12% 27%  
81 7% 15%  
82 6% 8%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.2%  
85 0.5% 0.5%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 0.4% 99.4%  
59 0.1% 99.0%  
60 0.9% 99.0%  
61 2% 98%  
62 5% 96%  
63 12% 91%  
64 15% 79%  
65 2% 65%  
66 8% 63% Median
67 12% 54%  
68 2% 42%  
69 16% 40%  
70 22% 24%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0.1% 0.9%  
73 0.7% 0.8%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 0.3% 99.7%  
58 0.6% 99.4%  
59 0.1% 98.8%  
60 3% 98.8%  
61 2% 96%  
62 5% 94%  
63 12% 89%  
64 13% 77%  
65 6% 63%  
66 29% 57% Median
67 12% 29%  
68 2% 17%  
69 12% 15%  
70 1.1% 3%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0.1% 0.8%  
73 0.7% 0.8%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.4% 100%  
55 0.2% 99.5%  
56 3% 99.4%  
57 6% 97%  
58 22% 91%  
59 16% 69%  
60 4% 53%  
61 10% 49% Median
62 4% 39%  
63 21% 35%  
64 4% 14% Last Result
65 4% 10%  
66 2% 7%  
67 0.4% 5%  
68 2% 4%  
69 1.4% 2%  
70 0.4% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 1.1% 99.5%  
48 0.4% 98%  
49 2% 98%  
50 2% 96%  
51 8% 94%  
52 14% 86%  
53 11% 72%  
54 28% 61% Median
55 12% 33%  
56 13% 21%  
57 2% 8%  
58 5% 6%  
59 1.1% 1.3% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 0.7% 99.6%  
44 1.3% 98.9%  
45 0.5% 98%  
46 3% 97%  
47 13% 94%  
48 4% 81%  
49 34% 77% Median
50 14% 43%  
51 13% 29%  
52 13% 17%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.7% 1.3%  
55 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
56 0.2% 0.6%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 2% 99.8%  
21 2% 98%  
22 10% 95%  
23 14% 85%  
24 36% 71% Median
25 23% 36%  
26 7% 13%  
27 4% 6%  
28 1.2% 2%  
29 0.2% 0.7%  
30 0.1% 0.5%  
31 0.1% 0.4%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations