Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 14–20 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.4% 26.6–30.2% 26.1–30.8% 25.7–31.2% 24.9–32.1%
Venstre 23.4% 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.9–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.0% 11.2–16.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.8% 0.9–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.5% 0.3–1.8%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 48–51 48–51 47–53 45–55
Venstre 43 23 23–27 23–29 23–29 22–30
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 25–27 24–27 24–28 22–30
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 18 14–18 14–20 13–20 13–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 14–16 12–18 12–18 12–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10–13 9–14 9–14 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 12–14 12–14 11–14 10–16
Radikale Venstre 16 10 9–10 8–10 8–12 8–12
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.5% 99.9%  
46 0.6% 99.3%  
47 1.3% 98.8%  
48 9% 97% Last Result
49 7% 88%  
50 12% 81%  
51 65% 68% Median
52 0.2% 3%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.3% 0.9%  
55 0.4% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.4% 99.9%  
23 60% 98% Median
24 1.1% 39%  
25 1.2% 38%  
26 8% 36%  
27 22% 28%  
28 0.9% 7%  
29 5% 6%  
30 0.3% 0.8%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.8%  
22 0.4% 99.7%  
23 1.1% 99.3%  
24 6% 98%  
25 12% 92%  
26 68% 80% Median
27 7% 11%  
28 3% 4%  
29 0.2% 1.0%  
30 0.5% 0.9%  
31 0.4% 0.4%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 4% 99.7%  
14 15% 96% Last Result
15 2% 81%  
16 2% 79%  
17 0.8% 77%  
18 69% 76% Median
19 2% 7%  
20 5% 5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 8% 99.9%  
13 0.4% 92% Last Result
14 59% 91% Median
15 8% 32%  
16 16% 25%  
17 0.9% 9%  
18 7% 8%  
19 1.0% 1.1%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 6% 99.9%  
10 68% 94% Median
11 2% 26%  
12 13% 25%  
13 2% 12%  
14 9% 10%  
15 0.2% 1.0%  
16 0.8% 0.8% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.3% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.6%  
11 4% 98.9%  
12 14% 95%  
13 22% 81%  
14 58% 59% Median
15 0.3% 1.1%  
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 9% 99.8%  
9 11% 91%  
10 76% 80% Median
11 1.1% 4%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Median
1 0% 21%  
2 0% 21%  
3 0% 21%  
4 9% 21% Last Result
5 11% 12%  
6 1.1% 1.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 31% 100% Last Result
1 0% 69%  
2 0% 69%  
3 0% 69%  
4 69% 69% Median
5 0.4% 0.8%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 84% 89–93 84–95 84–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 93 84% 89–93 84–95 84–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 0.2% 80–84 74–85 74–86 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 83 0.2% 80–84 74–85 74–86 74–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 77 0% 77–82 75–84 75–84 73–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 73 0% 73–82 73–84 73–84 71–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 72–79 71–80 71–81 71–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 63 0% 63–69 63–71 62–71 59–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 59 0% 59–69 59–71 59–71 58–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 58–61 57–61 57–64 53–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 49–57 49–57 49–57 46–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 49 0% 49–53 49–53 48–55 46–55
Venstre 43 23 0% 23–27 23–29 23–29 22–30

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 8% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 92%  
86 0.2% 91%  
87 0.1% 91%  
88 0.1% 91%  
89 7% 91%  
90 4% 84% Majority
91 2% 80%  
92 0.8% 78%  
93 70% 77% Median
94 0.9% 8%  
95 3% 7%  
96 4% 4% Last Result
97 0.2% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.5%  
99 0% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 8% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 92%  
86 0.2% 91%  
87 0.1% 91%  
88 0.1% 91%  
89 7% 91%  
90 4% 84% Majority
91 2% 80% Last Result
92 0.8% 78%  
93 70% 77% Median
94 0.9% 8%  
95 3% 7%  
96 4% 4%  
97 0.1% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.5%  
99 0% 0.4%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 8% 100%  
75 0% 92%  
76 0.2% 92%  
77 0% 91%  
78 0.2% 91%  
79 0.7% 91%  
80 3% 91% Last Result
81 9% 87%  
82 0.3% 78%  
83 61% 78% Median
84 12% 17%  
85 1.3% 6%  
86 4% 4%  
87 0.3% 0.9%  
88 0.1% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 8% 100%  
75 0% 92% Last Result
76 0.2% 92%  
77 0% 91%  
78 0.2% 91%  
79 0.7% 91%  
80 3% 90%  
81 9% 87%  
82 0.3% 78%  
83 61% 78% Median
84 12% 17%  
85 1.2% 5%  
86 4% 4%  
87 0.1% 0.7%  
88 0.1% 0.6%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.1% 99.6%  
73 0.3% 99.6%  
74 0.9% 99.3%  
75 5% 98%  
76 2% 93%  
77 59% 91% Median
78 2% 32%  
79 7% 30% Last Result
80 3% 23%  
81 0.7% 20%  
82 10% 19%  
83 0.2% 9%  
84 8% 9%  
85 0% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0% 99.7%  
71 1.3% 99.7%  
72 0.1% 98%  
73 58% 98% Median
74 1.0% 40%  
75 11% 39%  
76 6% 28%  
77 0.8% 23%  
78 2% 22%  
79 0.7% 20% Last Result
80 0.1% 20%  
81 0.8% 19%  
82 10% 19%  
83 0.1% 8%  
84 8% 8%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 7% 99.8%  
72 9% 93%  
73 0.5% 84%  
74 4% 83%  
75 0.5% 80%  
76 2% 79%  
77 12% 77%  
78 0.4% 65% Last Result
79 59% 65% Median
80 2% 6%  
81 4% 4%  
82 0.2% 0.5%  
83 0% 0.3%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.8% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.2%  
61 0.8% 98.9%  
62 1.1% 98%  
63 62% 97% Median
64 0.6% 35%  
65 3% 35%  
66 1.1% 32%  
67 8% 31%  
68 4% 23%  
69 10% 19%  
70 0.2% 9%  
71 8% 9%  
72 0.1% 0.5%  
73 0% 0.4%  
74 0.3% 0.3%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 1.1% 100%  
59 59% 98.9% Median
60 0.3% 40%  
61 1.1% 40%  
62 0.2% 39%  
63 10% 39%  
64 4% 28%  
65 3% 25%  
66 1.1% 22%  
67 1.3% 21%  
68 0.9% 20%  
69 10% 19%  
70 0.1% 8%  
71 8% 8%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.4% 99.9%  
54 0.5% 99.5%  
55 0% 98.9%  
56 0.1% 98.9%  
57 7% 98.9%  
58 10% 92%  
59 12% 81%  
60 2% 70%  
61 65% 67% Median
62 0.2% 3%  
63 0.1% 3%  
64 0.3% 3% Last Result
65 2% 2%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.7% 99.9%  
47 1.0% 99.2%  
48 0.3% 98%  
49 58% 98% Median
50 0.8% 40%  
51 0.4% 39%  
52 1.4% 38%  
53 12% 37%  
54 1.3% 25%  
55 4% 24%  
56 0.1% 20%  
57 19% 20%  
58 1.0% 1.2%  
59 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.9% 99.8%  
47 1.4% 98.9%  
48 0.3% 98%  
49 59% 97% Median
50 0.8% 38%  
51 0.8% 38%  
52 12% 37%  
53 20% 24%  
54 0.9% 5%  
55 3% 4% Last Result
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.4% 99.9%  
23 60% 98% Median
24 1.1% 39%  
25 1.2% 38%  
26 8% 36%  
27 22% 28%  
28 0.9% 7%  
29 5% 6%  
30 0.3% 0.8%  
31 0.3% 0.5%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations