Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 21–27 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.9% 27.1–30.8% 26.6–31.3% 26.2–31.8% 25.3–32.7%
Venstre 23.4% 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.3–18.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.2% 11.9–14.6% 11.5–15.0% 11.2–15.4% 10.6–16.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 4.9–8.0% 4.5–8.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 48–58 47–60 46–60 45–60
Venstre 43 28 25–30 25–30 23–31 22–33
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 21–27 21–27 19–27 19–29
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 14–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–17 14–18 13–19 12–21
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 9–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–13 9–13 9–14 8–16
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–11 7–12 7–13 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 1.3% 99.8%  
46 3% 98.6%  
47 1.4% 96%  
48 7% 95% Last Result
49 2% 88%  
50 16% 86%  
51 11% 69%  
52 35% 59% Median
53 6% 24%  
54 1.5% 18%  
55 5% 17%  
56 1.1% 11%  
57 0.2% 10%  
58 1.0% 10%  
59 2% 9%  
60 7% 7%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.9% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.0%  
24 2% 97%  
25 19% 95%  
26 8% 76%  
27 16% 69%  
28 14% 52% Median
29 25% 38%  
30 8% 13%  
31 2% 4%  
32 0.8% 2%  
33 1.1% 1.3%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 3% 99.8%  
20 1.4% 97%  
21 13% 96%  
22 6% 83%  
23 5% 77%  
24 13% 72%  
25 9% 59%  
26 35% 50% Median
27 13% 15%  
28 1.0% 2%  
29 0.8% 0.8%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9%  
14 13% 98% Last Result
15 9% 86%  
16 11% 77%  
17 18% 66% Median
18 3% 48%  
19 36% 44%  
20 6% 8%  
21 1.1% 2%  
22 1.3% 1.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.1% Last Result
14 25% 96%  
15 21% 70% Median
16 10% 50%  
17 31% 40%  
18 6% 9%  
19 1.1% 3%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.7% 0.8%  
22 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.9% 99.9%  
9 9% 99.0%  
10 12% 90%  
11 12% 78%  
12 49% 67% Median
13 11% 17%  
14 5% 6%  
15 1.1% 1.4%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.6% 100%  
9 7% 99.4%  
10 10% 92%  
11 51% 82% Median
12 21% 31%  
13 7% 10%  
14 2% 4%  
15 1.2% 2%  
16 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 9% 99.9%  
8 5% 91%  
9 41% 87% Median
10 24% 46%  
11 13% 21%  
12 5% 8%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.3% 0.4%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 55% 100% Median
1 0% 45%  
2 0% 45%  
3 0.4% 45%  
4 27% 44% Last Result
5 17% 18%  
6 0.9% 1.1%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 33%  
2 0% 33%  
3 0% 33%  
4 23% 33%  
5 9% 10%  
6 0.4% 0.5%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 94 93% 90–100 89–101 89–101 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 94 93% 90–100 89–101 89–101 86–103
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 86 14% 80–91 78–91 78–91 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 86 14% 80–91 78–91 78–91 77–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0.2% 75–83 74–87 73–87 71–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 74–84 72–85 71–85 68–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 72–80 71–80 70–82 66–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 66 0% 62–72 59–73 58–73 56–74
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 66 0% 60–69 58–69 58–71 56–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 59–67 57–70 56–70 56–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 50–58 49–58 47–59 45–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 47–55 46–55 46–56 45–59
Venstre 43 28 0% 25–30 25–30 23–31 22–33

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.4% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.5%  
88 0.9% 99.2%  
89 5% 98%  
90 17% 93% Majority
91 2% 77%  
92 6% 75%  
93 19% 69% Median
94 2% 51%  
95 3% 49%  
96 2% 45% Last Result
97 27% 43%  
98 2% 16%  
99 3% 14%  
100 3% 12%  
101 8% 9%  
102 0.1% 1.4%  
103 0.9% 1.3%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.4% 99.9%  
87 0.3% 99.5%  
88 0.9% 99.2%  
89 5% 98%  
90 17% 93% Majority
91 2% 77% Last Result
92 6% 75%  
93 19% 69% Median
94 2% 51%  
95 3% 49%  
96 2% 45%  
97 27% 43%  
98 2% 16%  
99 3% 14%  
100 3% 12%  
101 8% 9%  
102 0.1% 1.4%  
103 0.9% 1.3%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 1.0% 99.7%  
78 5% 98.7%  
79 2% 93%  
80 10% 92% Last Result
81 11% 82%  
82 4% 71%  
83 4% 68%  
84 7% 63% Median
85 5% 56%  
86 11% 51%  
87 0.8% 40%  
88 25% 39%  
89 0.7% 15%  
90 3% 14% Majority
91 8% 11%  
92 1.2% 2%  
93 0.8% 1.1%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100% Last Result
76 0% 99.8%  
77 1.0% 99.7%  
78 5% 98.7%  
79 2% 93%  
80 10% 92%  
81 11% 82%  
82 4% 71%  
83 4% 68%  
84 7% 63% Median
85 5% 56%  
86 11% 51%  
87 0.8% 40%  
88 25% 39%  
89 0.7% 15%  
90 3% 14% Majority
91 8% 11%  
92 1.2% 2%  
93 0.8% 1.1%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.2%  
97 0.2% 0.2%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.8%  
71 0.5% 99.8%  
72 1.0% 99.3%  
73 1.2% 98%  
74 6% 97%  
75 14% 91%  
76 5% 77%  
77 3% 72%  
78 13% 69% Last Result, Median
79 9% 55%  
80 28% 47%  
81 4% 19%  
82 3% 15%  
83 2% 12%  
84 1.0% 9%  
85 0.5% 8%  
86 0.6% 8%  
87 7% 7%  
88 0.4% 0.5%  
89 0% 0.2%  
90 0.2% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.5% 100%  
67 0% 99.5%  
68 0.3% 99.5%  
69 0.2% 99.2%  
70 1.0% 98.9%  
71 1.5% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 4% 94%  
74 8% 90%  
75 3% 82%  
76 5% 80%  
77 3% 75% Median
78 37% 72%  
79 7% 35% Last Result
80 7% 28%  
81 3% 21%  
82 7% 18%  
83 0.6% 11%  
84 0.3% 10%  
85 10% 10%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.7% 100%  
67 0% 99.3%  
68 0.5% 99.3%  
69 0.8% 98.8%  
70 0.9% 98%  
71 3% 97%  
72 6% 94%  
73 6% 88%  
74 8% 82%  
75 7% 74%  
76 2% 67%  
77 3% 65% Median
78 42% 62%  
79 2% 20% Last Result
80 14% 18%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.0% 3%  
83 0.3% 2%  
84 0.1% 1.3%  
85 1.2% 1.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.6% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.4%  
58 3% 99.0%  
59 1.2% 96%  
60 1.4% 95%  
61 0.3% 93%  
62 9% 93%  
63 4% 84%  
64 4% 80%  
65 2% 75% Median
66 29% 73%  
67 6% 44%  
68 9% 38%  
69 10% 29%  
70 0.8% 19%  
71 4% 18%  
72 6% 14%  
73 8% 8%  
74 0.4% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0% 99.8%  
56 0.7% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.1%  
58 4% 98.7%  
59 2% 94%  
60 5% 92%  
61 1.4% 88%  
62 13% 86%  
63 4% 73%  
64 3% 69%  
65 3% 65% Median
66 25% 63%  
67 8% 38%  
68 17% 30%  
69 9% 13%  
70 0.7% 3%  
71 0.5% 3%  
72 2% 2%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.2% 99.8%  
56 2% 99.6%  
57 3% 97%  
58 2% 94%  
59 23% 92%  
60 3% 69%  
61 40% 66% Median
62 4% 26%  
63 0.9% 22%  
64 4% 21% Last Result
65 4% 17%  
66 2% 12%  
67 0.7% 10%  
68 1.4% 10%  
69 1.2% 8%  
70 7% 7%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0.3% 0.3%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.8% 99.9%  
46 0.8% 99.1%  
47 3% 98%  
48 0.2% 95%  
49 4% 95%  
50 12% 91%  
51 6% 80%  
52 4% 74%  
53 7% 70%  
54 6% 64% Median
55 28% 58%  
56 10% 30%  
57 9% 20%  
58 8% 11%  
59 0.6% 3% Last Result
60 0.6% 2%  
61 0.4% 2%  
62 0.1% 1.3%  
63 1.1% 1.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 1.1% 99.7%  
46 4% 98.6%  
47 9% 94%  
48 2% 85%  
49 4% 83%  
50 10% 79%  
51 5% 69%  
52 16% 63%  
53 6% 47%  
54 13% 41% Median
55 26% 29% Last Result
56 0.8% 3%  
57 0.8% 2%  
58 0.3% 2%  
59 1.2% 1.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.9% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.0%  
24 2% 97%  
25 19% 95%  
26 8% 76%  
27 16% 69%  
28 14% 52% Median
29 25% 38%  
30 8% 13%  
31 2% 4%  
32 0.8% 2%  
33 1.1% 1.3%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations