Opinion Poll by Gallup, 30 July–5 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.9% 26.5–29.3% 26.2–29.7% 25.8–30.1% 25.2–30.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.4% 13.4–15.5% 13.1–15.9% 12.8–16.2% 12.3–16.7%
Venstre 23.4% 13.5% 12.5–14.6% 12.2–14.9% 11.9–15.2% 11.5–15.7%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.6% 8.8–10.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.3–11.1% 7.9–11.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.7–8.9% 6.6–9.1% 6.2–9.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.0% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.1% 5.9–8.3% 5.5–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.1% 5.4–6.9% 5.2–7.1% 5.1–7.3% 4.8–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.1% 1.7–2.6% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.3–3.1%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2%
Stram Kurs 1.8% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2%
Borgerlisten 0.8% 0.2% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.0–0.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.1–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 51–52 50–52 48–53 44–54
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 27 25–27 25–27 24–27 23–29
Venstre 43 23 23–25 21–26 21–28 20–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 16 15–17 14–18 14–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–15 12–16 12–16 12–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 12 11–12 11–14 11–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 11–13 11–14 11–14 11–15
Radikale Venstre 16 10 10–12 9–14 8–14 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 4–5 0–5 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 4 4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Stram Kurs 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borgerlisten 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 1.0% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.0%  
46 0.1% 98.9%  
47 0.9% 98.8%  
48 0.4% 98% Last Result
49 0.7% 97%  
50 5% 97%  
51 1.3% 91%  
52 87% 90% Median
53 2% 3%  
54 0.5% 0.7%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.5%  
24 3% 99.5%  
25 7% 97%  
26 0.7% 90%  
27 88% 89% Median
28 0.5% 1.4%  
29 0.7% 0.9%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.7% 100%  
21 5% 99.3%  
22 1.1% 95%  
23 82% 94% Median
24 0.2% 12%  
25 2% 11%  
26 6% 10%  
27 1.0% 4%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 2% 100% Last Result
15 5% 97%  
16 84% 93% Median
17 6% 9%  
18 2% 3%  
19 1.4% 2%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100%  
12 8% 99.9%  
13 2% 92% Last Result
14 2% 91%  
15 82% 89% Median
16 6% 7%  
17 0.1% 0.6%  
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 9% 99.7%  
12 87% 91% Median
13 1.0% 4%  
14 1.2% 3%  
15 0.1% 2%  
16 1.4% 1.4% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.4% 100%  
11 82% 99.6% Median
12 1.4% 17%  
13 8% 16%  
14 7% 8%  
15 1.3% 1.4%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 5% 100%  
9 0.7% 95%  
10 82% 94% Median
11 2% 12%  
12 4% 10%  
13 0.7% 6%  
14 5% 5%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 9% 97% Last Result
5 88% 88% Median
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 0% 97%  
2 0% 97%  
3 0% 97%  
4 95% 97% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Stram Kurs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stram Kurs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Borgerlisten

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Borgerlisten page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 93% 92–93 89–95 89–95 85–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 93 93% 92–93 89–95 89–95 85–98
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 82 1.0% 82–83 80–86 80–86 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 0.1% 81–83 80–83 79–83 75–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 83 0.1% 81–83 80–83 79–83 75–86
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 78–79 76–82 76–82 76–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 78–79 77–79 75–80 72–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 71 0% 70–71 67–72 67–72 66–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 67 63–68 63–68 63–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 62 60–64 58–65 54–66
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 55 0% 55 52–56 51–56 51–57
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 50 0% 50–51 48–52 48–52 46–55
Venstre 43 23 0% 23–25 21–26 21–28 20–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 1.0% 100%  
86 0% 99.0%  
87 0% 99.0%  
88 0.8% 98.9%  
89 5% 98%  
90 0.1% 93% Majority
91 3% 93%  
92 0.6% 90%  
93 81% 89% Median
94 0.7% 8%  
95 5% 8%  
96 0.1% 2% Last Result
97 1.3% 2%  
98 0.5% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 1.0% 100%  
86 0% 99.0%  
87 0% 99.0%  
88 0.8% 98.9%  
89 5% 98%  
90 0.1% 93% Majority
91 3% 93% Last Result
92 0.6% 90%  
93 81% 89% Median
94 0.7% 8%  
95 5% 8%  
96 0.1% 2%  
97 1.3% 2%  
98 0.5% 0.7%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0.6% 99.8%  
78 1.3% 99.3%  
79 0% 98% Last Result
80 5% 98%  
81 0.7% 92%  
82 81% 92% Median
83 1.5% 11%  
84 3% 9%  
85 0.1% 6%  
86 5% 6%  
87 0% 1.1%  
88 0% 1.1%  
89 0% 1.0%  
90 1.0% 1.0% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.0% 100%  
76 0% 98.9%  
77 0.9% 98.9%  
78 0% 98%  
79 2% 98%  
80 0.5% 95% Last Result
81 10% 95%  
82 0.8% 85%  
83 83% 85% Median
84 0.1% 2%  
85 0.8% 1.4%  
86 0.4% 0.7%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 1.0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 98.9%  
77 0.9% 98.9%  
78 0% 98%  
79 2% 98%  
80 0.5% 95%  
81 10% 95%  
82 0.8% 85%  
83 83% 85% Median
84 0.1% 2%  
85 0.8% 1.4%  
86 0.4% 0.7%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0.1%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 5% 99.7%  
77 1.1% 95%  
78 83% 94% Median
79 2% 11% Last Result
80 3% 9%  
81 0.1% 6%  
82 5% 6%  
83 0.1% 1.2%  
84 0% 1.1%  
85 1.0% 1.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 1.0% 100%  
73 0% 99.0%  
74 1.3% 98.9%  
75 0.1% 98%  
76 0.1% 97%  
77 5% 97%  
78 82% 92% Last Result, Median
79 7% 11%  
80 1.3% 4%  
81 0.7% 2%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.7% 0.9%  
84 0% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0% 99.7%  
66 0.9% 99.7%  
67 6% 98.8%  
68 0.9% 92%  
69 2% 92%  
70 0.1% 90%  
71 84% 90% Median
72 5% 6%  
73 0.1% 1.1%  
74 0.1% 1.1%  
75 0% 1.0% Last Result
76 1.0% 1.0%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.1% 99.7%  
63 5% 99.6%  
64 1.3% 95%  
65 1.2% 94%  
66 0.9% 92%  
67 85% 92% Median
68 5% 6%  
69 0.1% 1.3%  
70 0% 1.2%  
71 1.0% 1.2%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 1.0% 100%  
55 0% 99.0%  
56 0.1% 99.0%  
57 0.1% 98.9%  
58 1.4% 98.8%  
59 0.4% 97%  
60 5% 97%  
61 0.2% 92%  
62 82% 92% Median
63 0.2% 9%  
64 5% 9% Last Result
65 3% 4%  
66 1.1% 1.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.8%  
49 0.1% 99.7%  
50 0.1% 99.6%  
51 2% 99.6%  
52 5% 97%  
53 1.1% 93%  
54 1.3% 92%  
55 81% 90% Median
56 8% 9%  
57 1.0% 1.2%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1% Last Result
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.7% 99.9%  
47 1.0% 99.2%  
48 5% 98%  
49 0.6% 93%  
50 81% 92% Median
51 6% 11%  
52 4% 5%  
53 0.1% 2%  
54 1.2% 2%  
55 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.7% 100%  
21 5% 99.3%  
22 1.1% 95%  
23 82% 94% Median
24 0.2% 12%  
25 2% 11%  
26 6% 10%  
27 1.0% 4%  
28 3% 3%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations