Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 2–7 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.3% 28.5–32.2% 28.0–32.7% 27.5–33.2% 26.7–34.1%
Venstre 23.4% 14.5% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.8–15.3% 11.5–15.7% 10.9–16.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.8% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–7.0% 3.8–7.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 50–57 50–57 50–59 48–60
Venstre 43 25 25–27 24–29 23–29 22–32
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 23–26 22–27 20–28 20–30
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 18 15–21 15–21 14–21 14–22
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–17 13–18 13–19 12–21
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 10–12 10–13 9–14 8–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 9–12 9–13 8–14
Radikale Venstre 16 8 8–12 8–14 8–14 7–14
Kristendemokraterne 0 5 4–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
49 0.6% 99.4%  
50 45% 98.8%  
51 3% 54%  
52 3% 51% Median
53 7% 48%  
54 25% 41%  
55 2% 16%  
56 3% 14%  
57 8% 11%  
58 0.3% 3%  
59 2% 3%  
60 0.3% 0.6%  
61 0% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.1% 99.8%  
23 3% 98.7%  
24 2% 96%  
25 57% 93% Median
26 20% 36%  
27 9% 16%  
28 0.7% 7%  
29 5% 6%  
30 0.7% 2%  
31 0.2% 1.1%  
32 0.7% 1.0%  
33 0% 0.3%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.4% 100%  
20 3% 99.6%  
21 0.7% 96%  
22 1.2% 96%  
23 8% 94%  
24 3% 86%  
25 73% 84% Median
26 1.5% 11%  
27 6% 9%  
28 1.2% 3%  
29 0.8% 1.4%  
30 0.2% 0.6%  
31 0.4% 0.4%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 3% 99.9% Last Result
15 8% 97%  
16 3% 89%  
17 8% 86%  
18 51% 78% Median
19 1.3% 27%  
20 3% 25%  
21 21% 23%  
22 1.3% 1.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 1.1% 100%  
13 20% 98.9% Last Result
14 4% 79%  
15 52% 74% Median
16 9% 22%  
17 6% 13%  
18 3% 7%  
19 1.4% 4%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.7%  
22 0.4% 0.4%  
23 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9%  
9 3% 98%  
10 15% 95%  
11 21% 80%  
12 52% 58% Median
13 3% 6%  
14 3% 3%  
15 0.1% 0.3%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.8% 99.9%  
9 47% 99.1%  
10 30% 52% Median
11 3% 22%  
12 16% 19%  
13 1.3% 3%  
14 0.9% 1.4%  
15 0.5% 0.5%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 0.9% 99.8%  
8 57% 98.8% Median
9 7% 41%  
10 22% 35%  
11 2% 13%  
12 2% 11%  
13 2% 9%  
14 6% 7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 10% 100% Last Result
1 0% 90%  
2 0% 90%  
3 0% 90%  
4 11% 90%  
5 72% 79% Median
6 7% 7%  
7 0.5% 0.5%  
8 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0.2% 49%  
4 47% 49% Last Result
5 2% 2%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 95 99.8% 91–100 91–102 91–104 91–106
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 84 9% 83–89 83–91 82–94 82–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0.1% 76–85 76–86 75–88 73–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 75–80 72–80 70–84 69–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 70–75 70–77 67–79 65–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 64–70 62–70 60–71 57–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 58–67 58–67 58–68 57–70
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 63 0% 60–64 60–66 58–66 53–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 54 0% 49–54 48–54 48–56 43–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 48–52 48–54 46–54 43–58
Venstre 43 25 0% 25–27 24–29 23–29 22–32

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0.2% 99.8% Majority
91 47% 99.5% Last Result
92 1.0% 53%  
93 1.2% 52% Median
94 0.3% 50%  
95 7% 50%  
96 1.2% 44%  
97 5% 42%  
98 19% 37%  
99 4% 18%  
100 7% 13%  
101 2% 7%  
102 1.2% 5%  
103 0.8% 4%  
104 0.6% 3%  
105 0.8% 2%  
106 2% 2%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.1% 99.7%  
82 4% 99.6%  
83 45% 96%  
84 1.2% 51%  
85 0.4% 50% Median
86 8% 50%  
87 8% 41%  
88 19% 34%  
89 5% 15%  
90 1.4% 9% Majority
91 4% 8%  
92 0.3% 4%  
93 0.8% 4%  
94 1.0% 3%  
95 0.2% 2%  
96 0% 2%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.4% 99.8%  
74 0.3% 99.4%  
75 2% 99.1%  
76 44% 97%  
77 0.6% 52%  
78 0.9% 52% Last Result, Median
79 1.0% 51%  
80 13% 50%  
81 0.7% 37%  
82 1.2% 36%  
83 1.3% 35%  
84 7% 34%  
85 21% 27%  
86 3% 6%  
87 0% 3%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.6% 0.7%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 2% 99.8%  
70 0.9% 98%  
71 0.9% 97%  
72 2% 96%  
73 2% 95%  
74 2% 93%  
75 7% 91%  
76 4% 85%  
77 19% 81% Median
78 6% 62%  
79 1.3% 56% Last Result
80 51% 55%  
81 0.3% 4%  
82 0.6% 4%  
83 0.1% 3%  
84 3% 3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 2% 99.9%  
66 0.8% 98%  
67 0.5% 98%  
68 0.3% 97%  
69 0.2% 97%  
70 7% 96%  
71 1.1% 90%  
72 20% 89% Median
73 2% 69%  
74 13% 66%  
75 44% 53%  
76 4% 9%  
77 0.8% 5%  
78 0.4% 4%  
79 3% 4% Last Result
80 0.3% 0.8%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 2% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 98%  
59 0.2% 98%  
60 1.4% 98%  
61 1.1% 97%  
62 3% 96%  
63 0.6% 93%  
64 2% 92%  
65 7% 90% Median
66 25% 82%  
67 0.8% 57%  
68 45% 56%  
69 0.3% 11%  
70 7% 11%  
71 2% 4%  
72 0.6% 1.2%  
73 0.1% 0.6%  
74 0.5% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.2% 99.9%  
57 0.7% 99.7%  
58 45% 99.0%  
59 0.1% 54%  
60 0.4% 54% Median
61 3% 54%  
62 6% 51%  
63 0.8% 45%  
64 22% 44% Last Result
65 8% 22%  
66 2% 14%  
67 8% 11%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.8% 1.3%  
70 0.1% 0.6%  
71 0.3% 0.4%  
72 0% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.2%  
74 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 2% 100%  
54 0.1% 98%  
55 0% 98%  
56 0.2% 98%  
57 0.3% 98%  
58 1.2% 98%  
59 0.4% 97%  
60 8% 96% Median
61 19% 89%  
62 8% 69%  
63 45% 61%  
64 9% 16%  
65 0.8% 7%  
66 5% 6%  
67 0.3% 2%  
68 0.4% 1.2%  
69 0.5% 0.8%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 2% 100%  
44 0.1% 98%  
45 0.1% 98%  
46 0.3% 98%  
47 0.2% 98%  
48 7% 98%  
49 0.7% 90%  
50 1.4% 90% Median
51 21% 88%  
52 15% 67%  
53 0.7% 52%  
54 48% 51%  
55 0.3% 3%  
56 1.4% 3%  
57 0.5% 1.5%  
58 0.8% 1.0%  
59 0% 0.2% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 2% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 98%  
45 0.3% 98%  
46 0.8% 98%  
47 1.2% 97%  
48 8% 96%  
49 1.0% 88%  
50 46% 87% Median
51 21% 41%  
52 14% 20%  
53 0.1% 6%  
54 4% 6%  
55 0.2% 2% Last Result
56 0.6% 1.3%  
57 0.1% 0.7%  
58 0.5% 0.6%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.1% 99.8%  
23 3% 98.7%  
24 2% 96%  
25 57% 93% Median
26 20% 36%  
27 9% 16%  
28 0.7% 7%  
29 5% 6%  
30 0.7% 2%  
31 0.2% 1.1%  
32 0.7% 1.0%  
33 0% 0.3%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations