Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 9–15 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 30.6% 28.8–32.5% 28.3–33.0% 27.8–33.5% 27.0–34.4%
Venstre 23.4% 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 12.9% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.1% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.8% 5.8–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.3–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 54 51–57 50–58 50–59 48–61
Venstre 43 27 22–29 21–29 21–30 20–30
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 23 21–25 21–27 20–27 19–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–19 14–19 14–20 13–22
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–18 14–19 13–20 13–22
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 9–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 0 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0.6% 99.7% Last Result
49 0.9% 99.1%  
50 5% 98%  
51 5% 93%  
52 4% 89%  
53 9% 85%  
54 51% 76% Median
55 2% 25%  
56 11% 22%  
57 5% 12%  
58 4% 7%  
59 1.3% 3%  
60 0.3% 1.2%  
61 0.6% 1.0%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 2% 99.7%  
21 7% 98%  
22 3% 91%  
23 11% 87%  
24 18% 77%  
25 4% 59%  
26 4% 54%  
27 5% 50% Median
28 3% 45%  
29 38% 42%  
30 4% 4%  
31 0% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 100%  
19 1.4% 99.9%  
20 3% 98%  
21 10% 95%  
22 7% 86%  
23 45% 79% Median
24 12% 34%  
25 13% 22%  
26 4% 10%  
27 4% 5%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 1.2% 99.6%  
14 10% 98% Last Result
15 45% 88% Median
16 9% 43%  
17 9% 34%  
18 13% 26%  
19 10% 13%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.5% 1.3%  
22 0.7% 0.8%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.3% 100%  
13 5% 99.7% Last Result
14 7% 95%  
15 46% 88% Median
16 8% 43%  
17 10% 35%  
18 16% 25%  
19 4% 9%  
20 4% 5%  
21 0.2% 1.0%  
22 0.7% 0.8%  
23 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.5% 100%  
9 1.1% 99.5%  
10 4% 98%  
11 54% 94% Median
12 17% 40%  
13 11% 24%  
14 3% 13%  
15 9% 10%  
16 0.4% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.4%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 5% 99.9%  
9 22% 95%  
10 8% 73%  
11 17% 65% Median
12 43% 47%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.9% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 2% 99.6%  
9 11% 98%  
10 18% 87%  
11 13% 69%  
12 47% 55% Median
13 7% 8%  
14 1.2% 1.3%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Median
1 0% 40%  
2 0% 40%  
3 0.2% 40%  
4 22% 39% Last Result
5 10% 18%  
6 8% 8%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 0% 77%  
2 0% 77%  
3 0% 77%  
4 61% 77% Median
5 13% 16%  
6 2% 2%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 96 99.9% 95–100 94–104 93–104 92–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 96 99.9% 95–100 94–104 93–104 92–105
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 85 11% 84–90 84–93 83–93 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 85 11% 84–90 84–93 83–93 81–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 81 0.6% 77–85 77–85 77–86 74–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0% 74–79 71–80 71–81 68–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 75 0% 71–78 70–79 67–79 66–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 60–68 59–68 59–69 56–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 61–69 60–69 59–69 59–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 59–65 55–66 55–68 53–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 52 0% 48–54 46–55 45–57 43–58
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 45–52 43–52 42–52 42–54
Venstre 43 27 0% 22–29 21–29 21–30 20–30

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 2% 99.7%  
93 0.7% 98%  
94 2% 97%  
95 9% 95% Median
96 50% 85% Last Result
97 12% 36%  
98 2% 24%  
99 7% 21%  
100 5% 14%  
101 0.7% 10%  
102 0.8% 9%  
103 2% 8%  
104 6% 7%  
105 0.3% 0.8%  
106 0% 0.4%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9% Majority
91 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
92 2% 99.7%  
93 0.7% 98%  
94 2% 97%  
95 9% 95% Median
96 50% 85%  
97 12% 36%  
98 2% 24%  
99 7% 21%  
100 5% 14%  
101 0.7% 10%  
102 0.8% 9%  
103 2% 8%  
104 6% 7%  
105 0.3% 0.8%  
106 0% 0.4%  
107 0.3% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
81 0.9% 99.7%  
82 1.1% 98.8%  
83 1.4% 98%  
84 39% 96% Median
85 8% 58%  
86 10% 50%  
87 10% 40%  
88 16% 29%  
89 2% 13%  
90 2% 11% Majority
91 1.5% 9%  
92 2% 8%  
93 4% 5%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.3% 1.0%  
96 0.7% 0.8%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 0.9% 99.7%  
82 1.1% 98.8%  
83 1.4% 98%  
84 39% 96% Median
85 8% 58%  
86 10% 50%  
87 10% 40%  
88 16% 29%  
89 2% 13%  
90 2% 11% Majority
91 1.5% 9%  
92 2% 8%  
93 4% 5%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.3% 1.0%  
96 0.7% 0.8%  
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.6%  
75 0.5% 99.5%  
76 0.6% 99.0%  
77 10% 98%  
78 7% 88% Last Result
79 6% 81%  
80 4% 75% Median
81 44% 71%  
82 2% 27%  
83 3% 24%  
84 11% 22%  
85 7% 11%  
86 1.4% 4%  
87 0.6% 2%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.6% 1.2%  
90 0.2% 0.6% Majority
91 0.3% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.4%  
70 0.4% 99.2%  
71 6% 98.8%  
72 2% 93%  
73 1.1% 91%  
74 0.7% 90%  
75 5% 89%  
76 15% 84%  
77 2% 69% Median
78 12% 67%  
79 49% 55% Last Result
80 1.0% 5%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 1.5% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 2% 99.7%  
67 1.1% 98%  
68 0.5% 97%  
69 1.0% 96%  
70 4% 95%  
71 6% 92%  
72 11% 86%  
73 0.9% 75% Median
74 14% 74%  
75 42% 60%  
76 6% 18%  
77 1.3% 12%  
78 5% 10%  
79 3% 5% Last Result
80 0.6% 2%  
81 1.5% 2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Kristendemokraterne – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.5% 99.7%  
57 0.5% 99.3%  
58 0.4% 98.8%  
59 4% 98%  
60 7% 95%  
61 1.3% 88%  
62 1.2% 87%  
63 6% 85%  
64 4% 80%  
65 16% 76%  
66 8% 60% Median
67 7% 52%  
68 42% 45%  
69 1.1% 3%  
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.1% 0.7%  
72 0.4% 0.6%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.8%  
59 4% 99.5%  
60 3% 96%  
61 6% 92%  
62 7% 87%  
63 9% 80%  
64 3% 71% Last Result
65 10% 68% Median
66 40% 58%  
67 8% 19%  
68 0.6% 11%  
69 8% 10%  
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.3% 1.3%  
72 0.1% 1.0%  
73 0.6% 0.8%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.2% 100%  
53 0.6% 99.7%  
54 1.0% 99.1%  
55 4% 98%  
56 0.8% 94%  
57 1.1% 94%  
58 1.3% 92%  
59 9% 91%  
60 4% 82%  
61 8% 78%  
62 11% 70% Median
63 2% 59%  
64 41% 56%  
65 9% 15%  
66 4% 7%  
67 0.3% 3%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.3% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.4% 99.8%  
44 0.5% 99.3%  
45 1.4% 98.9%  
46 4% 97%  
47 0.7% 93%  
48 6% 92%  
49 13% 87%  
50 4% 74% Median
51 2% 70%  
52 50% 68%  
53 6% 18%  
54 4% 12%  
55 4% 8%  
56 1.1% 4%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.5% 0.8%  
59 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.4% 99.9%  
42 4% 99.5%  
43 0.9% 96%  
44 2% 95%  
45 6% 93%  
46 7% 87%  
47 3% 80%  
48 9% 77%  
49 16% 68%  
50 6% 52% Median
51 3% 47%  
52 42% 43%  
53 0.7% 1.4%  
54 0.5% 0.7%  
55 0% 0.2% Last Result
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 2% 99.7%  
21 7% 98%  
22 3% 91%  
23 11% 87%  
24 18% 77%  
25 4% 59%  
26 4% 54%  
27 5% 50% Median
28 3% 45%  
29 38% 42%  
30 4% 4%  
31 0% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations