Opinion Poll by YouGov for B.T., 13–16 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 31.5% 29.8–33.2% 29.4–33.7% 29.0–34.1% 28.2–34.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.6% 13.4–15.9% 13.0–16.3% 12.7–16.6% 12.2–17.3%
Venstre 23.4% 9.8% 8.8–11.0% 8.5–11.3% 8.3–11.6% 7.8–12.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 9.7% 8.7–10.9% 8.4–11.2% 8.2–11.5% 7.7–12.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 6.9–8.9% 6.7–9.2% 6.4–9.4% 6.0–10.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.6% 6.8–8.7% 6.5–9.0% 6.3–9.3% 5.9–9.8%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.2% 6.3–8.2% 6.1–8.5% 5.9–8.7% 5.5–9.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.5% 3.8–5.3% 3.6–5.5% 3.4–5.8% 3.2–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.2% 2.6–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.3% 2.1–4.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.6% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.3% 1.0–2.5% 0.9–2.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.5%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.7–1.9% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 56 56–57 56–57 55–57 52–58
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 27 26–27 26–27 26–28 22–32
Venstre 43 17 16–17 16–17 16–17 15–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 15 15–18 15–18 15–18 13–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 11–17 11–17 11–17 11–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–15 13–15 13–15 13–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 11–13 11–13 11–15 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–11
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Alternativet 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.6%  
53 0.1% 99.3%  
54 0.7% 99.2%  
55 1.5% 98%  
56 82% 97% Median
57 14% 15%  
58 0.8% 1.2%  
59 0.3% 0.5%  
60 0% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.9% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.0%  
24 0.7% 99.0%  
25 0.3% 98%  
26 41% 98%  
27 55% 57% Median
28 1.2% 3%  
29 0% 1.4%  
30 0.3% 1.4%  
31 0.1% 1.1%  
32 1.0% 1.0%  
33 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 1.1% 99.8%  
16 41% 98.8%  
17 56% 57% Median
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.5%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.6% 100%  
14 0.3% 99.4%  
15 56% 99.1% Median
16 0.9% 43%  
17 0.9% 42%  
18 41% 41%  
19 0.1% 0.3%  
20 0% 0.2%  
21 0% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 14% 100%  
12 1.1% 86%  
13 3% 85% Last Result
14 0.1% 82%  
15 41% 82% Median
16 0.4% 42%  
17 41% 41%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 16% 99.6%  
14 2% 83% Last Result
15 81% 82% Median
16 0% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.3%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 80% 99.8% Median
12 0.3% 19%  
13 15% 19%  
14 0.5% 4%  
15 1.2% 3%  
16 0.6% 2% Last Result
17 0.2% 1.3%  
18 0% 1.1%  
19 1.1% 1.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 2% 99.8%  
8 41% 98%  
9 16% 56% Median
10 0.6% 41%  
11 40% 40%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100% Last Result
5 16% 99.4%  
6 82% 84% Median
7 1.3% 2%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Median
1 0% 16%  
2 0% 16%  
3 0% 16%  
4 16% 16%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0.2% 56%  
4 56% 56% Median
5 0.1% 0.2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.6%  
2 0% 0.6%  
3 0% 0.6%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 96 99.7% 94–97 94–97 92–97 90–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 96 99.6% 90–97 90–97 90–97 90–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 86 0.2% 85–88 85–88 84–88 81–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 86 0.2% 81–88 81–88 81–88 81–88
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 0% 78–81 78–81 78–83 77–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 79 0% 79–82 79–82 77–82 74–82
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 77 0% 75–78 75–78 75–82 75–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 64 0% 60–66 60–66 60–68 59–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 66 0% 64–67 64–67 64–67 61–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 60 0% 60–62 60–62 60–65 59–70
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 49 0% 49 49 49–51 44–54
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 43 0% 43–44 43–44 43–45 37–48
Venstre 43 17 0% 16–17 16–17 16–17 15–18

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 2% 99.7% Majority
91 0.1% 98%  
92 0.7% 98%  
93 0.1% 97%  
94 15% 97%  
95 1.4% 83% Median
96 41% 81% Last Result
97 40% 41%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.2% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 16% 99.6% Majority
91 1.4% 84% Last Result
92 0.9% 82%  
93 0.3% 82%  
94 0.5% 81%  
95 0% 81% Median
96 40% 81%  
97 40% 40%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.6% 99.8%  
82 0.1% 99.2%  
83 1.1% 99.0%  
84 1.2% 98%  
85 14% 97%  
86 41% 83% Median
87 0.1% 42%  
88 41% 42%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 15% 99.7%  
82 1.2% 85%  
83 1.3% 84%  
84 2% 83%  
85 0.1% 81%  
86 40% 81% Median
87 0% 41%  
88 40% 41%  
89 0.3% 0.5%  
90 0% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.5% 99.8%  
78 40% 99.2%  
79 41% 59% Last Result
80 1.4% 18% Median
81 14% 17%  
82 0.1% 3%  
83 0.7% 3%  
84 0.1% 2%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.4% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.3%  
76 0.1% 99.3%  
77 3% 99.2%  
78 0.8% 96% Last Result
79 55% 96%  
80 0.1% 41% Median
81 0.1% 40%  
82 40% 40%  
83 0% 0.4%  
84 0.3% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 40% 99.8%  
76 1.5% 59% Median
77 14% 58%  
78 40% 44%  
79 0.2% 3% Last Result
80 0.3% 3%  
81 0.1% 3%  
82 0.1% 3%  
83 0.5% 2%  
84 0.2% 2%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.8%  
60 40% 99.2%  
61 0% 59%  
62 0% 59%  
63 1.1% 59%  
64 41% 58%  
65 0.2% 17% Median
66 14% 17%  
67 0.6% 3%  
68 0.7% 3%  
69 0.6% 2%  
70 1.2% 1.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.5%  
62 0.3% 99.4%  
63 1.3% 99.0%  
64 43% 98% Last Result
65 0.7% 55% Median
66 14% 54%  
67 40% 40%  
68 0% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 1.4% 99.8%  
60 81% 98%  
61 0.1% 18% Median
62 14% 18%  
63 0.9% 4%  
64 0.3% 3%  
65 0.4% 3%  
66 0.1% 2%  
67 0% 2%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0.6% 2%  
70 1.1% 1.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.8% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.2%  
46 0.7% 99.0%  
47 0.1% 98%  
48 0.4% 98%  
49 94% 98%  
50 0.7% 4% Median
51 1.3% 3%  
52 0.3% 2%  
53 0.8% 1.3%  
54 0.4% 0.5%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.8% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.2%  
39 0.2% 99.1%  
40 0.1% 98.9%  
41 0.1% 98.8%  
42 0.6% 98.7%  
43 81% 98%  
44 14% 17% Median
45 2% 4%  
46 0.6% 2%  
47 0% 1.1%  
48 1.0% 1.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 1.1% 99.8%  
16 41% 98.8%  
17 56% 57% Median
18 1.4% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.5%  
20 0.2% 0.4%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations