Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 16–22 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.7–33.1%
Venstre 23.4% 14.5% 13.1–16.0% 12.7–16.4% 12.4–16.8% 11.8–17.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.4% 12.1–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–12.0%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 4.9–8.0% 4.5–8.5%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.5–4.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 50 47–56 47–57 47–57 44–61
Venstre 43 26 23–31 22–31 22–31 20–31
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 23 23–26 21–27 20–28 20–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–19 13–19 13–19 13–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–19 14–19 12–20 11–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–15 9–15 9–15 9–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 10–14 9–14 9–15 8–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 7–13 7–13 7–13 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 4–6 4–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 5 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.5%  
46 0.1% 99.4%  
47 16% 99.3%  
48 0.9% 83% Last Result
49 29% 82%  
50 7% 53% Median
51 14% 47%  
52 3% 33%  
53 2% 29%  
54 0.3% 27%  
55 10% 27%  
56 12% 18%  
57 4% 6%  
58 0.6% 2%  
59 0.1% 2%  
60 0% 2%  
61 1.2% 2%  
62 0.4% 0.4%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.7%  
21 0.8% 99.4%  
22 6% 98.6%  
23 7% 92%  
24 16% 85%  
25 2% 69%  
26 21% 67% Median
27 3% 46%  
28 2% 43%  
29 13% 41%  
30 4% 28%  
31 24% 24%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.2% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.8%  
20 4% 99.5%  
21 2% 96%  
22 3% 94%  
23 43% 90% Median
24 4% 48%  
25 18% 43%  
26 19% 25%  
27 0.8% 5%  
28 4% 4%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 24% 99.9%  
14 12% 76% Last Result
15 16% 63% Median
16 3% 48%  
17 5% 45%  
18 19% 41%  
19 21% 22%  
20 0.5% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 1.5% 100%  
12 2% 98.5%  
13 1.1% 97% Last Result
14 11% 96%  
15 20% 84%  
16 46% 64% Median
17 4% 18%  
18 2% 14%  
19 8% 12%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.1% 0.3%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 11% 99.8%  
10 19% 89%  
11 30% 70% Median
12 24% 40%  
13 3% 15%  
14 1.2% 13%  
15 11% 12%  
16 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.6% 100%  
9 9% 99.4%  
10 26% 91%  
11 39% 64% Median
12 9% 25%  
13 2% 16%  
14 11% 14%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100%  
7 12% 99.9%  
8 21% 88%  
9 8% 67%  
10 6% 59%  
11 34% 53% Median
12 3% 19%  
13 16% 17%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.5% 100%  
1 0% 98.5%  
2 0% 98.5%  
3 0% 98.5%  
4 28% 98.5% Last Result
5 56% 71% Median
6 11% 15%  
7 4% 4%  
8 0.1% 0.3%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 0% 66%  
2 0% 66%  
3 0% 66%  
4 8% 66%  
5 52% 58% Median
6 5% 6%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 73% 89–96 89–100 89–102 88–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 93 73% 89–96 89–100 89–102 88–102
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 83 5% 78–87 78–89 78–94 78–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 83 5% 78–87 78–89 78–94 78–94
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0% 79–86 75–86 73–86 73–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 74–82 73–82 73–84 70–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 73–80 72–83 72–83 71–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 70 0% 67–75 64–75 61–75 61–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 63–71 61–71 61–74 58–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 60 0% 59–64 57–65 57–67 54–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 52–59 49–59 49–62 48–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 51 0% 47–54 44–56 43–58 43–58
Venstre 43 26 0% 23–31 22–31 22–31 20–31

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.3% 99.9%  
88 1.4% 99.6%  
89 25% 98%  
90 2% 73% Majority
91 4% 72%  
92 8% 68% Median
93 16% 59%  
94 10% 44%  
95 20% 34%  
96 5% 13% Last Result
97 2% 9%  
98 1.1% 7%  
99 0.5% 6%  
100 0.4% 5%  
101 0.6% 5%  
102 4% 4%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0.3% 99.9%  
88 1.4% 99.6%  
89 25% 98%  
90 2% 73% Majority
91 4% 72% Last Result
92 8% 68% Median
93 16% 59%  
94 10% 44%  
95 20% 34%  
96 5% 13%  
97 2% 9%  
98 1.1% 7%  
99 0.5% 6%  
100 0.4% 5%  
101 0.6% 5%  
102 4% 4%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 24% 99.6%  
79 0.7% 76%  
80 2% 75% Last Result
81 2% 73% Median
82 18% 72%  
83 13% 54%  
84 9% 41%  
85 7% 31%  
86 12% 25%  
87 6% 12%  
88 0.3% 7%  
89 2% 7%  
90 0.4% 5% Majority
91 1.0% 5%  
92 0.1% 4%  
93 0% 3%  
94 3% 3%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.3% 99.9%  
78 24% 99.6%  
79 0.7% 76%  
80 2% 75%  
81 2% 73% Median
82 18% 72%  
83 13% 54%  
84 9% 41%  
85 7% 31%  
86 12% 25%  
87 6% 12%  
88 0.3% 7%  
89 2% 7%  
90 0.4% 5% Majority
91 1.0% 5%  
92 0.1% 4%  
93 0% 3%  
94 3% 3%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 4% 99.9%  
74 0.7% 96%  
75 0.5% 95%  
76 0.6% 95%  
77 1.2% 94%  
78 2% 93%  
79 13% 91% Last Result
80 20% 78%  
81 11% 58% Median
82 16% 47%  
83 0.8% 31%  
84 4% 30%  
85 0.1% 26%  
86 25% 26%  
87 0.7% 0.7%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.3% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.2% 99.6%  
71 0.1% 99.4%  
72 0.1% 99.3%  
73 4% 99.2%  
74 16% 95%  
75 17% 79%  
76 2% 62% Median
77 2% 60%  
78 4% 58%  
79 3% 54% Last Result
80 2% 52%  
81 33% 49%  
82 11% 16%  
83 0% 5%  
84 4% 5%  
85 0% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.7%  
87 0.7% 0.7%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.5% 99.9%  
72 6% 99.4%  
73 23% 93%  
74 0.4% 70%  
75 0.9% 70%  
76 3% 69% Median
77 11% 66%  
78 16% 55% Last Result
79 20% 39%  
80 9% 19%  
81 0.2% 10%  
82 3% 10%  
83 5% 7%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.3% 0.7%  
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 4% 99.7%  
62 0.2% 96%  
63 0.4% 96%  
64 2% 95%  
65 0.8% 93%  
66 1.0% 92%  
67 12% 91%  
68 4% 79%  
69 0.8% 75%  
70 30% 74% Median
71 14% 44%  
72 0.9% 30%  
73 0.2% 30%  
74 6% 29%  
75 23% 23% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 0.1% 99.5%  
60 0.3% 99.4%  
61 5% 99.0%  
62 2% 94%  
63 2% 92%  
64 7% 90%  
65 25% 83% Median
66 4% 58%  
67 11% 54%  
68 2% 43%  
69 0.8% 41%  
70 24% 40%  
71 11% 16%  
72 0.3% 5%  
73 0% 4%  
74 4% 4%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.5% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.4%  
56 0.1% 99.4%  
57 5% 99.3%  
58 2% 94%  
59 6% 93%  
60 46% 87%  
61 0.1% 41% Median
62 10% 41%  
63 20% 31%  
64 2% 11% Last Result
65 5% 8%  
66 0.7% 4%  
67 0.7% 3%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 1.3% 2%  
70 0% 0.4%  
71 0% 0.4%  
72 0.4% 0.4%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.1% 99.7%  
48 0.2% 99.5%  
49 5% 99.3%  
50 0.2% 94%  
51 2% 94%  
52 6% 92%  
53 2% 86%  
54 3% 84% Median
55 28% 81%  
56 24% 53%  
57 0.6% 29%  
58 0.1% 29%  
59 24% 29% Last Result
60 0.2% 5%  
61 0% 5%  
62 4% 5%  
63 0.7% 0.7%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.3% 100%  
42 0.1% 99.7%  
43 3% 99.7%  
44 2% 96%  
45 4% 94%  
46 0.2% 90%  
47 3% 90%  
48 4% 87%  
49 3% 83% Median
50 19% 80%  
51 20% 61%  
52 13% 41%  
53 0.5% 29%  
54 23% 28%  
55 0.1% 5% Last Result
56 0.2% 5%  
57 0.4% 5%  
58 4% 4%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.3% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.7%  
21 0.8% 99.4%  
22 6% 98.6%  
23 7% 92%  
24 16% 85%  
25 2% 69%  
26 21% 67% Median
27 3% 46%  
28 2% 43%  
29 13% 41%  
30 4% 28%  
31 24% 24%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations