Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 19–26 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.6% 27.2–30.1% 26.8–30.5% 26.5–30.9% 25.8–31.6%
Venstre 23.4% 15.2% 14.1–16.4% 13.8–16.7% 13.5–17.0% 13.0–17.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.6% 12.6–14.8% 12.3–15.1% 12.0–15.4% 11.5–15.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 9.3% 8.4–10.3% 8.2–10.5% 8.0–10.8% 7.6–11.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.2% 6.2–9.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.1% 6.3–8.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.4% 5.7–7.3% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.7% 5.0–8.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.5% 4.8–6.3% 4.6–6.5% 4.5–6.7% 4.2–7.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.3% 1.9–2.9% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.5–3.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.6% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 52 49–55 49–55 49–56 47–58
Venstre 43 27 27–29 25–30 25–30 24–31
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 23–26 23–28 22–28 22–28
Nye Borgerlige 4 16 16–18 15–19 15–19 14–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–15 12–16 12–16 11–17
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 12 12–14 12–14 11–15 10–15
Radikale Venstre 16 13 11–13 11–14 10–14 9–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 9–11 9–12 8–12 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.8%  
48 0.4% 99.3% Last Result
49 10% 99.0%  
50 2% 89%  
51 14% 87%  
52 53% 73% Median
53 5% 19%  
54 3% 15%  
55 7% 12%  
56 3% 5%  
57 0.2% 1.2%  
58 0.9% 1.0%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.7%  
25 7% 99.4%  
26 2% 92%  
27 64% 90% Median
28 15% 26%  
29 4% 11%  
30 6% 7%  
31 0.8% 1.2%  
32 0.2% 0.4%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.9%  
22 4% 99.5%  
23 6% 96%  
24 12% 90%  
25 14% 78%  
26 54% 64% Median
27 5% 10%  
28 5% 5%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 2% 100%  
15 4% 98%  
16 57% 95% Median
17 23% 38%  
18 10% 15%  
19 5% 5%  
20 0.6% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.6% 100%  
12 6% 99.4%  
13 9% 93%  
14 10% 84% Last Result
15 68% 74% Median
16 5% 6%  
17 1.5% 2%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.8% 100%  
11 3% 99.2%  
12 59% 96% Median
13 16% 37% Last Result
14 17% 21%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.6% 100%  
10 3% 99.4%  
11 16% 96%  
12 18% 80%  
13 53% 62% Median
14 8% 9%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 3% 99.8%  
9 63% 97% Median
10 19% 33%  
11 9% 14%  
12 4% 6%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 16% 91% Last Result
5 67% 75% Median
6 8% 8%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.7%  
2 0% 0.7%  
3 0% 0.7%  
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 92 90% 89–93 88–95 87–96 86–98
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 92 90% 89–93 88–95 87–96 86–98
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 83 0.1% 81–85 80–87 79–88 77–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 83 0.1% 81–85 80–87 79–88 77–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 79 0% 77–82 77–83 75–83 74–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 79 0% 77–82 77–83 75–83 74–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 80 0% 77–80 74–82 74–83 73–84
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 67 0% 64–69 63–70 63–71 61–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 67 0% 64–69 63–70 63–71 61–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 65 0% 62–66 61–67 61–68 59–71
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 54–58 54–60 52–61 51–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 53 0% 50–55 48–56 48–57 48–58
Venstre 43 27 0% 27–29 25–30 25–30 24–31

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 2% 99.9%  
87 1.3% 98%  
88 5% 97%  
89 2% 92%  
90 10% 90% Majority
91 6% 80%  
92 61% 74% Median
93 5% 13%  
94 0.7% 8%  
95 5% 8%  
96 2% 3% Last Result
97 0.5% 1.1%  
98 0.6% 0.6%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.1% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 2% 99.8%  
87 1.4% 98%  
88 5% 97%  
89 2% 92%  
90 10% 90% Majority
91 6% 80% Last Result
92 61% 74% Median
93 5% 13%  
94 0.7% 8%  
95 5% 7%  
96 2% 3%  
97 0.4% 1.0%  
98 0.6% 0.6%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.6% 99.9%  
78 0.6% 99.3%  
79 2% 98.7% Last Result
80 5% 97%  
81 3% 92%  
82 5% 89%  
83 61% 84% Median
84 6% 23%  
85 8% 17%  
86 2% 10%  
87 5% 8%  
88 1.2% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.1% 100%  
77 0.7% 99.9%  
78 0.6% 99.2%  
79 2% 98.6% Last Result
80 5% 96%  
81 3% 92%  
82 5% 89%  
83 61% 84% Median
84 6% 23%  
85 8% 17%  
86 2% 10%  
87 4% 7%  
88 1.2% 3%  
89 2% 2%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 2% 99.8%  
75 0.9% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 6% 96%  
78 12% 90%  
79 53% 77% Median
80 7% 24% Last Result
81 6% 17%  
82 4% 11%  
83 5% 7%  
84 1.1% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 2% 99.7%  
75 1.0% 98% Last Result
76 2% 97%  
77 6% 95%  
78 12% 89%  
79 53% 77% Median
80 7% 24%  
81 6% 17%  
82 4% 11%  
83 5% 7%  
84 1.1% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 5% 99.4%  
75 2% 95%  
76 2% 93%  
77 14% 91%  
78 12% 78% Last Result
79 2% 66%  
80 55% 64% Median
81 0.7% 8%  
82 4% 7%  
83 2% 3%  
84 1.3% 1.4%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.7%  
62 0.5% 99.3%  
63 7% 98.8%  
64 3% 92%  
65 14% 89%  
66 1.4% 75%  
67 54% 73% Median
68 5% 19%  
69 7% 14%  
70 4% 7%  
71 2% 3%  
72 1.2% 1.5%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0.1% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.7%  
62 0.7% 99.2%  
63 7% 98.5%  
64 3% 92%  
65 14% 88%  
66 1.2% 74%  
67 54% 73% Median
68 5% 19%  
69 7% 13%  
70 4% 7%  
71 2% 3%  
72 1.2% 1.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.4% 99.8%  
60 1.4% 99.4%  
61 3% 98%  
62 10% 95%  
63 13% 85%  
64 4% 73% Last Result
65 58% 68% Median
66 0.9% 11%  
67 7% 10%  
68 0.3% 3%  
69 1.0% 2%  
70 0.6% 1.3%  
71 0.7% 0.7%  
72 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.8%  
51 0.8% 99.8%  
52 2% 98.9%  
53 1.0% 97%  
54 10% 96%  
55 4% 86%  
56 9% 82%  
57 8% 73%  
58 58% 66% Median
59 0.9% 8% Last Result
60 4% 7%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.8% 1.1%  
63 0.3% 0.3%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 5% 99.8%  
49 1.5% 94%  
50 4% 93%  
51 8% 88%  
52 7% 80%  
53 59% 74% Median
54 2% 15%  
55 5% 13% Last Result
56 4% 8%  
57 3% 4%  
58 0.3% 0.5%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.7%  
25 7% 99.4%  
26 2% 92%  
27 64% 90% Median
28 15% 26%  
29 4% 11%  
30 6% 7%  
31 0.8% 1.2%  
32 0.2% 0.4%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations