Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 23–29 August 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.4% 26.7–30.3% 26.2–30.8% 25.7–31.3% 24.9–32.2%
Venstre 23.4% 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.4–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.3% 8.3–10.6% 8.0–11.0% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.2–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.1% 4.5–7.4% 4.1–7.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.6% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.6% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 47–53 46–53 45–55 43–56
Venstre 43 26 24–28 23–29 23–30 22–31
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 23–27 22–28 21–29 20–30
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 15–19 14–19 13–20 12–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 14–17 14–18 13–19 12–20
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 9–13 9–13 8–13 7–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 9–12 8–12 8–13 7–13
Radikale Venstre 16 10 9–12 9–12 8–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–7 4–8 4–8 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.7% 100%  
44 1.1% 99.3%  
45 1.3% 98%  
46 4% 97%  
47 23% 93%  
48 31% 69% Last Result, Median
49 5% 38%  
50 2% 33%  
51 8% 31%  
52 13% 23%  
53 7% 10%  
54 1.0% 4%  
55 1.1% 3%  
56 1.3% 2%  
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.5% 99.9%  
23 5% 99.4%  
24 8% 95%  
25 8% 86%  
26 43% 79% Median
27 19% 36%  
28 7% 16%  
29 6% 10%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.7% 0.9%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.5% 99.9%  
21 3% 99.4%  
22 5% 97%  
23 12% 92%  
24 9% 79%  
25 20% 71%  
26 27% 50% Median
27 13% 23%  
28 7% 10%  
29 2% 3%  
30 1.0% 1.3%  
31 0.4% 0.4%  
32 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.9% 100%  
13 2% 99.1% Last Result
14 5% 97%  
15 14% 93%  
16 21% 79%  
17 27% 58% Median
18 20% 31%  
19 8% 11%  
20 3% 3%  
21 0.5% 0.7%  
22 0.3% 0.3%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.3%  
14 28% 97% Last Result
15 16% 69%  
16 34% 53% Median
17 13% 19%  
18 4% 7%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.8% 1.0%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.6% 99.9%  
8 2% 99.4%  
9 14% 97%  
10 14% 83%  
11 25% 69% Median
12 33% 44%  
13 11% 11%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.8% 99.9%  
8 5% 99.1%  
9 15% 94%  
10 24% 80%  
11 36% 55% Median
12 16% 19%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.4% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 2% 100%  
8 2% 98%  
9 18% 96%  
10 43% 79% Median
11 17% 35%  
12 16% 19%  
13 2% 3%  
14 0.9% 0.9%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.1% 100%  
1 0% 98.9%  
2 0% 98.9%  
3 0% 98.9%  
4 6% 98.9% Last Result
5 45% 93% Median
6 25% 48%  
7 17% 23%  
8 6% 6%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 11%  
2 0% 11%  
3 0.3% 11%  
4 7% 10%  
5 2% 3%  
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 90 75% 88–96 87–97 87–98 85–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 90 75% 88–96 87–97 87–98 85–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0.5% 78–85 78–86 77–87 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 80 0.5% 78–85 78–86 77–87 75–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0% 75–82 74–83 74–84 71–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 74–82 74–83 72–83 71–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 72–80 72–81 71–81 70–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 65–72 64–72 62–73 61–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 64–71 63–72 62–72 59–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 56–64 56–64 56–65 55–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 57 0% 55–60 54–60 53–61 49–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 48–54 48–55 47–56 46–57
Venstre 43 26 0% 24–28 23–29 23–30 22–31

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.3% 100%  
85 0.5% 99.7%  
86 0.6% 99.1%  
87 6% 98%  
88 8% 92%  
89 9% 84%  
90 27% 75% Majority
91 5% 47% Median
92 8% 42%  
93 5% 34%  
94 8% 30%  
95 7% 21%  
96 6% 14% Last Result
97 6% 8%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 0.9% 2%  
100 0.7% 0.9%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.3% 100%  
85 0.5% 99.7%  
86 0.6% 99.1%  
87 6% 98%  
88 8% 92%  
89 9% 84%  
90 27% 75% Majority
91 5% 47% Last Result, Median
92 8% 42%  
93 5% 34%  
94 8% 30%  
95 7% 21%  
96 6% 14%  
97 6% 8%  
98 1.1% 3%  
99 0.9% 2%  
100 0.7% 0.9%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 1.0% 99.5%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 17% 97%  
79 2% 80%  
80 33% 78% Last Result
81 4% 45% Median
82 9% 41%  
83 8% 32%  
84 11% 24%  
85 5% 13%  
86 4% 7%  
87 1.5% 4%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.5% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.2% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.8%  
75 1.0% 99.5% Last Result
76 0.4% 98%  
77 1.4% 98%  
78 17% 97%  
79 2% 80%  
80 33% 78%  
81 4% 45% Median
82 9% 41%  
83 8% 32%  
84 11% 24%  
85 5% 13%  
86 4% 7%  
87 1.5% 4%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.9%  
90 0.3% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.5% 99.8%  
72 0.5% 99.3%  
73 0.8% 98.8%  
74 7% 98%  
75 4% 91%  
76 8% 87%  
77 6% 79%  
78 11% 73%  
79 4% 62% Last Result, Median
80 20% 57%  
81 17% 37%  
82 10% 20%  
83 6% 9%  
84 1.3% 3%  
85 1.0% 2%  
86 0.3% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.7%  
71 1.3% 99.5%  
72 0.9% 98%  
73 2% 97%  
74 8% 96%  
75 4% 88%  
76 9% 84%  
77 7% 75%  
78 11% 67%  
79 4% 56% Last Result, Median
80 19% 52%  
81 16% 33%  
82 10% 17%  
83 6% 7%  
84 0.3% 1.0%  
85 0.6% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 1.2% 99.6%  
71 3% 98%  
72 35% 95%  
73 17% 61%  
74 6% 44% Median
75 4% 38%  
76 2% 34%  
77 4% 32%  
78 5% 28% Last Result
79 8% 23%  
80 5% 14%  
81 7% 9%  
82 1.4% 2%  
83 0.8% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.2%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.2% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.7%  
61 0.4% 99.6%  
62 2% 99.1%  
63 2% 97%  
64 4% 95%  
65 8% 91%  
66 11% 83%  
67 10% 73%  
68 26% 63% Median
69 10% 37%  
70 3% 27%  
71 12% 24%  
72 9% 12%  
73 1.0% 3%  
74 0.9% 2%  
75 0.7% 1.5% Last Result
76 0.6% 0.8%  
77 0% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.1% 99.9%  
59 0.5% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.4%  
61 0.6% 98.9%  
62 2% 98%  
63 3% 96%  
64 5% 93%  
65 9% 89%  
66 11% 80%  
67 10% 68%  
68 27% 58% Median
69 9% 32%  
70 3% 23%  
71 11% 20%  
72 8% 9%  
73 0.4% 1.1%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 1.0% 99.6%  
56 11% 98.7%  
57 22% 88%  
58 26% 66% Median
59 4% 40%  
60 5% 36%  
61 3% 30%  
62 5% 28%  
63 6% 23%  
64 13% 16% Last Result
65 2% 4%  
66 0.4% 1.5%  
67 0.3% 1.1%  
68 0.7% 0.8%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.8%  
50 0.5% 99.4%  
51 0.3% 98.9%  
52 0.7% 98.6%  
53 2% 98%  
54 4% 96%  
55 9% 92%  
56 12% 82%  
57 35% 71% Median
58 9% 35%  
59 13% 26% Last Result
60 9% 13%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.8% 1.1%  
63 0.2% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 0.8% 99.6%  
47 2% 98.8%  
48 8% 97%  
49 11% 89%  
50 8% 78%  
51 10% 70%  
52 29% 60% Median
53 16% 31%  
54 8% 15%  
55 3% 7% Last Result
56 3% 4%  
57 0.5% 0.7%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.5% 99.9%  
23 5% 99.4%  
24 8% 95%  
25 8% 86%  
26 43% 79% Median
27 19% 36%  
28 7% 16%  
29 6% 10%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.7% 0.9%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations