Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 13–19 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.7% 25.9–29.5% 25.4–30.1% 25.0–30.5% 24.2–31.4%
Venstre 23.4% 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.7% 10.9–16.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.0–11.7% 7.5–12.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.7% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.1% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 46–52 44–52 44–53 43–54
Venstre 43 24 22–26 22–26 21–27 20–29
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 24 22–26 21–27 21–27 20–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 15–19 15–20 14–21 14–22
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 15–19 15–20 14–21 14–22
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–12 8–13 8–13 7–14
Radikale Venstre 16 8 7–9 7–9 6–10 6–11
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–6 0–7 0–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.7% 99.7%  
44 4% 98.9%  
45 4% 95%  
46 6% 91%  
47 3% 86%  
48 30% 83% Last Result
49 7% 53% Median
50 12% 46%  
51 7% 34%  
52 25% 27%  
53 1.3% 3%  
54 0.9% 1.4%  
55 0.4% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 0.4% 99.6%  
21 2% 99.2%  
22 9% 97%  
23 32% 89%  
24 8% 56% Median
25 26% 49%  
26 18% 22%  
27 2% 4%  
28 0.7% 2%  
29 1.1% 1.3%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 1.1% 99.7%  
21 4% 98.6%  
22 15% 95%  
23 11% 80%  
24 50% 68% Median
25 8% 18%  
26 6% 11%  
27 3% 5%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0.3% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.4% 100%  
14 3% 99.6% Last Result
15 15% 97%  
16 34% 82% Median
17 14% 48%  
18 24% 34%  
19 5% 11%  
20 3% 6%  
21 0.8% 3%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.4% 100% Last Result
14 3% 99.5%  
15 12% 96%  
16 9% 84%  
17 49% 75% Median
18 11% 26%  
19 7% 16%  
20 5% 8%  
21 3% 3%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 1.4% 99.9%  
9 5% 98.5%  
10 8% 94%  
11 40% 86% Median
12 32% 46%  
13 7% 14%  
14 6% 7%  
15 0.8% 1.0%  
16 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.7% 100%  
8 6% 99.3%  
9 15% 93%  
10 46% 78% Median
11 14% 32%  
12 13% 18%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.4% 0.9%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.4% 100%  
6 3% 99.5%  
7 21% 96%  
8 30% 75% Median
9 40% 45%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0.4% 0.5%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 6% 94% Last Result
5 66% 88% Median
6 12% 22%  
7 8% 10%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 14%  
2 0% 14%  
3 0% 14%  
4 14% 14%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 73% 87–95 86–95 85–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 91 73% 87–95 86–95 85–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 84 0.5% 78–86 78–87 77–88 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 84 0.5% 78–86 78–87 77–88 76–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 75 0% 72–79 72–80 71–81 69–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 74 0% 72–79 71–79 71–80 68–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 74 0% 70–77 69–77 68–79 67–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 62–68 61–69 61–70 59–72
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 64 0% 62–67 60–68 60–70 58–71
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 57 0% 54–61 53–61 52–61 51–62
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 50–56 49–57 49–58 48–60
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 48 0% 45–51 44–51 44–52 43–54
Venstre 43 24 0% 22–26 22–26 21–27 20–29

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.5% 99.8%  
85 2% 99.3%  
86 3% 97%  
87 10% 94%  
88 4% 84%  
89 8% 80%  
90 8% 73% Median, Majority
91 19% 65%  
92 3% 45%  
93 6% 42%  
94 24% 35%  
95 8% 11%  
96 2% 3% Last Result
97 0.5% 0.9%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.5% 99.8%  
85 2% 99.3%  
86 3% 97%  
87 10% 94%  
88 4% 84%  
89 8% 80%  
90 8% 73% Median, Majority
91 19% 65% Last Result
92 3% 45%  
93 6% 42%  
94 24% 35%  
95 8% 11%  
96 2% 3%  
97 0.5% 0.9%  
98 0.2% 0.5%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.6% 99.9%  
77 2% 99.4%  
78 11% 97%  
79 2% 87%  
80 7% 85% Last Result
81 3% 78%  
82 5% 74% Median
83 19% 69%  
84 9% 50%  
85 29% 42%  
86 4% 13%  
87 5% 9%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.8% 1.3%  
90 0.2% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100% Last Result
76 0.6% 99.9%  
77 2% 99.4%  
78 11% 97%  
79 2% 87%  
80 7% 85%  
81 3% 78%  
82 5% 74% Median
83 19% 69%  
84 9% 50%  
85 29% 42%  
86 4% 13%  
87 5% 9%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.8% 1.3%  
90 0.2% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.3% 99.8%  
69 0.2% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 99.3%  
71 2% 98%  
72 11% 97%  
73 23% 86%  
74 4% 63% Median
75 11% 59%  
76 17% 48%  
77 7% 30%  
78 7% 23%  
79 11% 16% Last Result
80 2% 5%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.7% 0.9%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 0.5% 99.4%  
70 1.1% 98.9%  
71 5% 98%  
72 11% 92%  
73 26% 81%  
74 6% 55% Median
75 9% 49%  
76 17% 39%  
77 5% 22%  
78 5% 18%  
79 9% 13% Last Result
80 2% 4%  
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.6% 0.7%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 1.2% 99.8%  
68 2% 98.6%  
69 2% 97%  
70 5% 95%  
71 4% 89%  
72 13% 85%  
73 11% 73% Median
74 17% 62%  
75 6% 45%  
76 12% 39%  
77 22% 27%  
78 1.3% 5% Last Result
79 2% 3%  
80 0.7% 1.2%  
81 0.2% 0.5%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.4% 99.5%  
60 1.3% 99.1%  
61 4% 98%  
62 4% 94%  
63 26% 89%  
64 10% 63% Median
65 6% 53%  
66 19% 47%  
67 14% 28%  
68 5% 14%  
69 4% 9%  
70 4% 5%  
71 0.7% 1.3%  
72 0.4% 0.6%  
73 0.2% 0.3%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.3% 99.7%  
59 0.8% 99.4%  
60 4% 98.7%  
61 4% 95%  
62 6% 90%  
63 29% 85%  
64 9% 55% Median
65 9% 47%  
66 19% 38%  
67 10% 19%  
68 4% 8%  
69 2% 5%  
70 2% 3%  
71 0.5% 0.9%  
72 0.3% 0.5%  
73 0.2% 0.2%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.5%  
52 3% 98%  
53 5% 95%  
54 3% 90%  
55 11% 87%  
56 16% 77%  
57 18% 61% Median
58 9% 43%  
59 6% 33%  
60 1.4% 27%  
61 25% 26%  
62 0.6% 1.1%  
63 0.3% 0.5%  
64 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.6%  
49 7% 99.3%  
50 7% 92%  
51 3% 86%  
52 31% 83%  
53 11% 51% Median
54 19% 41%  
55 10% 21%  
56 4% 11%  
57 4% 7%  
58 3% 4%  
59 0.6% 1.2% Last Result
60 0.3% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 0.6% 99.6%  
44 5% 99.0%  
45 6% 94%  
46 6% 88%  
47 30% 82%  
48 6% 51% Median
49 24% 45%  
50 9% 21%  
51 8% 12%  
52 2% 4%  
53 0.9% 2%  
54 0.6% 0.8%  
55 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.9%  
20 0.4% 99.6%  
21 2% 99.2%  
22 9% 97%  
23 32% 89%  
24 8% 56% Median
25 26% 49%  
26 18% 22%  
27 2% 4%  
28 0.7% 2%  
29 1.1% 1.3%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations