Opinion Poll by Epinion, 21–29 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.6% 26.2–29.1% 25.8–29.5% 25.4–29.9% 24.8–30.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.5% 13.4–15.7% 13.1–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.3–16.9%
Venstre 23.4% 14.4% 13.3–15.6% 13.0–15.9% 12.7–16.2% 12.2–16.8%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.2% 8.3–10.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.9–10.8% 7.5–11.3%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.3% 6.2–9.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.2% 5.5–7.1% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.5% 4.8–7.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.6% 4.9–6.4% 4.7–6.7% 4.6–6.9% 4.3–7.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 1.3% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 46–52 45–52 45–52 44–52
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 25–29 24–29 24–29 24–29
Venstre 43 26 24–29 23–29 23–30 23–30
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 15–17 15–17 15–18 14–19
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–13
Radikale Venstre 16 10 10–12 9–12 9–12 9–12
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 10–12 9–12 9–12 9–12
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–7 5–7 4–7 4–7
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 1.0% 100%  
45 6% 99.0%  
46 25% 93%  
47 12% 69%  
48 3% 57% Last Result
49 14% 54% Median
50 21% 40%  
51 0.2% 19%  
52 18% 19%  
53 0.1% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.2% 100%  
24 6% 99.7%  
25 31% 94%  
26 4% 63%  
27 6% 60%  
28 33% 54% Median
29 20% 20%  
30 0.2% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 5% 99.9%  
24 24% 95%  
25 18% 71%  
26 5% 52% Median
27 31% 48%  
28 6% 17%  
29 6% 11%  
30 5% 5%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 2% 99.8% Last Result
15 23% 98%  
16 9% 75%  
17 62% 66% Median
18 3% 4%  
19 0.9% 1.1%  
20 0.1% 0.2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 2% 100%  
12 14% 98%  
13 24% 84% Last Result
14 49% 60% Median
15 7% 11%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 3% 99.9%  
10 29% 97%  
11 57% 68% Median
12 10% 12%  
13 1.2% 2%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.4% 100%  
9 5% 99.6%  
10 57% 95% Median
11 20% 38%  
12 18% 18%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 8% 99.8%  
10 48% 92% Median
11 30% 44%  
12 14% 14%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 3% 99.9% Last Result
5 48% 97% Median
6 37% 49%  
7 12% 12%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 2%  
2 0% 2%  
3 0% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 39% 86–92 86–92 86–92 85–94
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 89 39% 86–92 86–92 86–92 85–94
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0% 78–84 77–84 77–84 74–84
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 78–84 77–84 77–84 74–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 76–81 75–81 75–82 74–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 76–81 75–81 75–82 74–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 76 0% 73–79 72–79 72–79 71–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 68–73 65–74 65–74 63–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 68–73 65–74 65–74 63–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 60 0% 56–64 55–64 55–64 53–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 57–62 54–63 53–63 53–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 53 0% 52–57 50–57 47–57 47–57
Venstre 43 26 0% 24–29 23–29 23–30 23–30

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.3% 99.9%  
85 0.8% 99.6%  
86 10% 98.8%  
87 30% 89%  
88 4% 59%  
89 15% 54%  
90 0.7% 39% Median, Majority
91 19% 38%  
92 18% 19%  
93 1.1% 2%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.3% 99.9%  
85 0.8% 99.6%  
86 10% 98.8%  
87 30% 89%  
88 4% 59%  
89 15% 54%  
90 0.7% 39% Median, Majority
91 19% 38% Last Result
92 18% 19%  
93 1.1% 2%  
94 0.3% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.3%  
96 0.1% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.7%  
75 1.0% 99.2%  
76 0.2% 98%  
77 4% 98%  
78 18% 94%  
79 21% 76% Last Result
80 36% 55% Median
81 2% 19%  
82 6% 17%  
83 0.3% 10%  
84 10% 10%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.5% 99.7%  
75 1.0% 99.2%  
76 0.2% 98%  
77 4% 98%  
78 18% 94%  
79 21% 76% Last Result
80 36% 55% Median
81 2% 19%  
82 6% 17%  
83 0.3% 10%  
84 10% 10%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 1.3% 99.9%  
75 4% 98.7%  
76 10% 95%  
77 27% 85%  
78 12% 57%  
79 4% 46%  
80 20% 41% Last Result, Median
81 19% 21%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.5% 1.4%  
84 0.7% 0.9%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 1.3% 99.9%  
75 4% 98.7% Last Result
76 10% 95%  
77 27% 85%  
78 12% 57%  
79 4% 46%  
80 20% 41% Median
81 19% 21%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.5% 1.4%  
84 0.7% 0.9%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 1.3% 99.7%  
72 7% 98%  
73 27% 92%  
74 12% 65%  
75 3% 53%  
76 1.1% 50% Median
77 30% 49%  
78 0.7% 19% Last Result
79 18% 18%  
80 0.1% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.6% 99.9%  
64 0.8% 99.4%  
65 4% 98.6%  
66 0.8% 95%  
67 0.5% 94%  
68 29% 93%  
69 40% 64%  
70 4% 24% Median
71 5% 21%  
72 5% 16%  
73 1.3% 11%  
74 9% 10%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.6% 99.9%  
64 0.8% 99.4%  
65 4% 98.6%  
66 0.8% 95%  
67 0.5% 94%  
68 29% 93%  
69 40% 64%  
70 4% 24% Median
71 5% 21%  
72 5% 16%  
73 1.3% 11%  
74 9% 10%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.6% 100%  
54 0.3% 99.3%  
55 5% 99.0%  
56 27% 94%  
57 2% 66%  
58 10% 64%  
59 4% 54% Median
60 31% 50%  
61 0.2% 19%  
62 0.8% 19%  
63 0.3% 18%  
64 18% 18% Last Result
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 4% 99.8%  
54 1.4% 96%  
55 0.2% 95%  
56 2% 94%  
57 10% 92%  
58 58% 82%  
59 1.2% 25% Last Result, Median
60 7% 23%  
61 0.5% 17%  
62 10% 16%  
63 6% 6%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 4% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 96%  
49 0.1% 96%  
50 1.3% 96%  
51 0.5% 94%  
52 37% 94%  
53 38% 57%  
54 1.1% 18% Median
55 6% 17% Last Result
56 1.1% 11%  
57 10% 10%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 5% 99.9%  
24 24% 95%  
25 18% 71%  
26 5% 52% Median
27 31% 48%  
28 6% 17%  
29 6% 11%  
30 5% 5%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations