Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 27 September–3 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.6% 25.8–29.5% 25.4–30.0% 24.9–30.5% 24.1–31.4%
Venstre 23.4% 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.1–16.8% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–18.0%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.5% 13.1–16.0% 12.7–16.4% 12.4–16.8% 11.8–17.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 46–51 46–51 45–51 42–54
Venstre 43 27 25–27 24–27 23–28 22–30
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 25–28 23–28 23–29 21–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–18 14–18 14–18 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 15–17 14–19 14–19 12–20
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 11–14 11–14 10–14 9–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–13
Radikale Venstre 16 8 7–11 6–11 6–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–7 4–7 4–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0.5% 99.9%  
43 0.2% 99.4%  
44 0.3% 99.2%  
45 2% 98.9%  
46 33% 97%  
47 26% 64% Median
48 4% 38% Last Result
49 6% 33%  
50 9% 28%  
51 17% 19%  
52 0.8% 2%  
53 0.6% 1.3%  
54 0.4% 0.7%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 1.0% 99.8%  
23 2% 98.8%  
24 3% 97%  
25 10% 95%  
26 30% 84%  
27 50% 55% Median
28 2% 5%  
29 1.5% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.9%  
31 0.1% 0.4%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 0.8% 99.4%  
23 4% 98.6%  
24 3% 95%  
25 53% 91% Median
26 12% 38%  
27 2% 27%  
28 21% 25%  
29 4% 4%  
30 0.2% 0.8%  
31 0.5% 0.6%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.1% 99.7% Last Result
14 19% 98.7%  
15 49% 80% Median
16 8% 31%  
17 13% 23%  
18 8% 10%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.5% 0.7%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 1.1% 99.3%  
14 8% 98% Last Result
15 70% 91% Median
16 5% 20%  
17 8% 16%  
18 2% 8%  
19 5% 6%  
20 1.5% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 1.2% 99.9%  
10 3% 98.7%  
11 25% 96%  
12 34% 71% Median
13 22% 36%  
14 12% 14%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.5% 99.9%  
8 12% 99.4%  
9 25% 88%  
10 49% 62% Median
11 9% 13%  
12 3% 5%  
13 1.2% 1.5%  
14 0.3% 0.3%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.2% 100%  
6 7% 99.8%  
7 32% 93%  
8 26% 61% Median
9 12% 34%  
10 2% 22%  
11 19% 20%  
12 0.9% 0.9%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 0% 99.0%  
2 0% 99.0%  
3 0% 99.0%  
4 9% 99.0% Last Result
5 48% 90% Median
6 12% 42%  
7 29% 29%  
8 0.5% 0.8%  
9 0.3% 0.3%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 44% 100% Last Result
1 0% 56%  
2 0% 56%  
3 0% 56%  
4 56% 56% Median
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 88 16% 83–91 83–91 83–94 83–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 88 16% 83–91 83–91 83–94 83–95
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 77 0% 76–82 76–84 76–85 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 77 0% 76–82 76–84 76–85 74–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 0% 78–85 77–85 75–85 73–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0% 77–82 76–82 75–84 71–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 72 0% 68–74 68–76 68–77 66–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 70 0% 66–73 65–73 63–73 62–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 65–69 64–70 62–72 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 55–60 54–60 53–61 51–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 56 0% 53–59 53–59 53–60 51–63
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 52 0% 51–55 49–55 48–55 46–57
Venstre 43 27 0% 25–27 24–27 23–28 22–30

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 28% 99.6%  
84 0.5% 72%  
85 3% 71% Median
86 3% 68%  
87 9% 66%  
88 34% 57%  
89 6% 22%  
90 5% 16% Majority
91 6% 11%  
92 1.5% 5%  
93 0.8% 3%  
94 0.6% 3%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 28% 99.6%  
84 0.5% 72%  
85 3% 71% Median
86 3% 68%  
87 9% 66%  
88 34% 57%  
89 6% 22%  
90 5% 16% Majority
91 6% 11% Last Result
92 1.5% 5%  
93 0.8% 3%  
94 0.6% 3%  
95 2% 2%  
96 0.2% 0.4%  
97 0.2% 0.3%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.2%  
76 27% 99.1%  
77 23% 72% Median
78 3% 49%  
79 1.4% 46%  
80 17% 44% Last Result
81 16% 27%  
82 3% 11%  
83 2% 8%  
84 3% 6%  
85 0.5% 3%  
86 1.2% 2%  
87 0.2% 0.9%  
88 0.5% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.8%  
75 0.1% 99.2% Last Result
76 27% 99.1%  
77 23% 72% Median
78 3% 49%  
79 1.4% 46%  
80 17% 44%  
81 16% 27%  
82 3% 11%  
83 2% 8%  
84 3% 6%  
85 0.5% 3%  
86 1.2% 2%  
87 0.2% 0.9%  
88 0.5% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.2% 99.8%  
73 0.2% 99.6%  
74 0.6% 99.4%  
75 2% 98.8%  
76 0.5% 97%  
77 3% 96%  
78 3% 93%  
79 2% 90% Last Result
80 5% 87%  
81 28% 82%  
82 23% 54%  
83 1.2% 32% Median
84 2% 31%  
85 27% 28%  
86 0.4% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.5% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.4%  
73 0.2% 99.0%  
74 0.7% 98.8%  
75 3% 98%  
76 0.5% 95%  
77 22% 95%  
78 11% 73%  
79 2% 62% Last Result, Median
80 5% 60%  
81 36% 55%  
82 15% 19%  
83 1.1% 4%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.1% 0.4%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.9% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.0%  
68 27% 98.6%  
69 4% 71%  
70 1.2% 67% Median
71 10% 66%  
72 11% 56%  
73 20% 45%  
74 18% 25%  
75 0.9% 8%  
76 3% 7%  
77 0.9% 3%  
78 2% 2% Last Result
79 0.4% 0.7%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 2% 99.6%  
63 0.9% 98%  
64 1.4% 97%  
65 2% 96%  
66 5% 93%  
67 10% 88%  
68 3% 78%  
69 24% 75%  
70 19% 51%  
71 1.3% 32% Median
72 1.1% 31%  
73 29% 30%  
74 0.3% 1.2%  
75 0.3% 0.9% Last Result
76 0.5% 0.6%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.4% 99.8%  
61 0.4% 99.4%  
62 2% 99.0%  
63 2% 97%  
64 3% 95%  
65 8% 92%  
66 23% 84%  
67 10% 61% Median
68 0.9% 51%  
69 45% 50%  
70 1.1% 6%  
71 0.8% 4%  
72 1.4% 4%  
73 2% 2%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
76 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.8%  
51 0.3% 99.6%  
52 1.1% 99.3%  
53 2% 98%  
54 3% 97%  
55 7% 94%  
56 19% 86%  
57 8% 67% Median
58 9% 59%  
59 30% 50% Last Result
60 15% 20%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.7% 1.3%  
63 0.4% 0.7%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.8% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.1%  
53 30% 98.8%  
54 1.3% 69%  
55 10% 67% Median
56 10% 57%  
57 4% 48%  
58 25% 44%  
59 15% 19%  
60 2% 4%  
61 0.9% 2%  
62 0.8% 2%  
63 0.4% 0.7%  
64 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.6% 99.9%  
47 1.0% 99.2%  
48 1.3% 98%  
49 5% 97%  
50 1.0% 92%  
51 29% 91%  
52 29% 61% Median
53 10% 32%  
54 2% 23%  
55 19% 21% Last Result
56 0.6% 2%  
57 0.9% 1.2%  
58 0.1% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.2%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 1.0% 99.8%  
23 2% 98.8%  
24 3% 97%  
25 10% 95%  
26 30% 84%  
27 50% 55% Median
28 2% 5%  
29 1.5% 2%  
30 0.5% 0.9%  
31 0.1% 0.4%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations