Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 4–11 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 29.0% 27.2–30.9% 26.7–31.4% 26.3–31.9% 25.5–32.8%
Venstre 23.4% 14.6% 13.3–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.6–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.3% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.1–5.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 53 49–54 47–56 47–57 46–58
Venstre 43 24 24–28 24–29 23–30 22–31
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 23–26 22–28 21–29 20–30
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 14–17 13–17 12–18 11–19
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–15 12–16 11–17 10–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 9–12 9–13 9–13 8–15
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–11 7–12 7–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–7 5–7 4–8 4–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 2% 99.6%  
47 3% 98%  
48 3% 95% Last Result
49 10% 92%  
50 3% 82%  
51 7% 79%  
52 7% 71%  
53 53% 65% Median
54 2% 11%  
55 3% 9%  
56 4% 6%  
57 1.0% 3%  
58 1.2% 2%  
59 0.2% 0.3%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.6%  
23 3% 98%  
24 51% 95% Median
25 15% 44%  
26 9% 29%  
27 7% 20%  
28 8% 14%  
29 2% 6%  
30 2% 3%  
31 1.3% 2%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 2% 99.4%  
22 6% 97%  
23 4% 92%  
24 16% 87%  
25 6% 71%  
26 56% 65% Median
27 4% 9%  
28 1.2% 5%  
29 3% 4%  
30 1.0% 1.2%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.2% 99.9%  
12 2% 98.8%  
13 4% 96% Last Result
14 53% 92% Median
15 9% 39%  
16 12% 30%  
17 13% 18%  
18 2% 4%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.4%  
21 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.6% 100%  
11 2% 99.3%  
12 6% 97%  
13 11% 91%  
14 62% 80% Last Result, Median
15 9% 18%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.6% 0.8%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.3% 100%  
11 3% 99.6%  
12 13% 96%  
13 13% 83%  
14 50% 70% Median
15 11% 19%  
16 7% 9%  
17 1.4% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.6%  
19 0.4% 0.4%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.3% 100%  
8 2% 99.7%  
9 52% 98% Median
10 14% 47%  
11 18% 32%  
12 8% 14%  
13 4% 6%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.4% 0.6%  
16 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.3% 100%  
7 5% 99.7%  
8 10% 95%  
9 9% 85%  
10 64% 77% Median
11 7% 12%  
12 4% 5%  
13 1.4% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 4% 99.8% Last Result
5 11% 96%  
6 62% 85% Median
7 18% 23%  
8 3% 4%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 4% 5%  
5 0.4% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 80% 87–94 86–95 85–96 83–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 91 80% 87–94 86–95 85–96 83–98
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 79 1.1% 79–85 79–86 77–87 74–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 79 0.9% 79–84 78–85 77–86 74–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 81 0.1% 78–84 76–85 75–86 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 81 0.1% 78–84 76–85 75–86 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 77 0% 72–78 70–80 70–82 68–82
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 65 0% 65–71 64–73 63–74 60–75
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 65–70 63–72 63–73 60–74
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 63 0% 58–64 57–66 56–67 55–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 56 0% 55–60 53–61 52–62 50–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 49–53 48–55 47–56 45–57
Venstre 43 24 0% 24–28 24–29 23–30 22–31

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.6% 99.8%  
84 0.4% 99.2%  
85 3% 98.8%  
86 4% 96%  
87 5% 92%  
88 3% 88%  
89 5% 85%  
90 8% 80% Majority
91 50% 72% Median
92 10% 22%  
93 1.3% 12%  
94 5% 10%  
95 1.2% 6%  
96 2% 4% Last Result
97 0.8% 2%  
98 0.7% 1.0%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.2% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.6% 99.8%  
84 0.4% 99.2%  
85 3% 98.8%  
86 4% 96%  
87 5% 92%  
88 3% 88%  
89 5% 85%  
90 8% 80% Majority
91 50% 72% Last Result, Median
92 10% 22%  
93 1.3% 12%  
94 5% 10%  
95 1.2% 6%  
96 2% 4%  
97 0.8% 2%  
98 0.7% 1.0%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.2% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.4%  
76 0.4% 98%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 1.1% 97%  
79 57% 96% Last Result, Median
80 4% 39%  
81 8% 35%  
82 4% 26%  
83 7% 22%  
84 5% 15%  
85 5% 11%  
86 3% 5%  
87 0.4% 3%  
88 0.9% 2%  
89 0.3% 1.4%  
90 0.9% 1.1% Majority
91 0% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.4% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.5%  
75 0.9% 99.1%  
76 0.7% 98%  
77 2% 98%  
78 1.2% 95%  
79 57% 94% Last Result, Median
80 5% 37%  
81 8% 32%  
82 5% 24%  
83 7% 20%  
84 4% 13%  
85 5% 9%  
86 2% 4%  
87 0.3% 2%  
88 0.8% 2%  
89 0.1% 1.0%  
90 0.8% 0.9% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.6%  
75 2% 99.0%  
76 3% 97%  
77 3% 94%  
78 4% 91%  
79 6% 87%  
80 8% 81% Last Result
81 48% 73% Median
82 6% 25%  
83 5% 19%  
84 9% 14%  
85 1.3% 5%  
86 3% 4%  
87 0.7% 1.4%  
88 0.4% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.6% 99.6%  
75 2% 99.0% Last Result
76 3% 97%  
77 3% 94%  
78 4% 91%  
79 6% 87%  
80 8% 81%  
81 48% 73% Median
82 6% 25%  
83 5% 19%  
84 9% 14%  
85 1.3% 5%  
86 3% 4%  
87 0.7% 1.4%  
88 0.4% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.2% 100%  
68 0.4% 99.7%  
69 2% 99.3%  
70 3% 98%  
71 3% 95%  
72 5% 92%  
73 8% 87%  
74 4% 79%  
75 8% 74%  
76 5% 66%  
77 50% 61% Median
78 2% 11% Last Result
79 2% 9%  
80 2% 7%  
81 1.4% 5%  
82 3% 4%  
83 0.2% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.2% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.7% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 99.2%  
62 0.5% 98.6%  
63 3% 98%  
64 1.3% 95%  
65 49% 94% Median
66 2% 45%  
67 13% 43%  
68 8% 30%  
69 5% 22%  
70 6% 17%  
71 2% 11%  
72 4% 9%  
73 3% 5%  
74 2% 3%  
75 0.4% 0.6% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.8% 99.9%  
61 0.7% 99.1%  
62 0.7% 98%  
63 3% 98%  
64 3% 95%  
65 49% 92% Median
66 2% 43%  
67 13% 40%  
68 7% 27%  
69 5% 20%  
70 6% 15%  
71 2% 9%  
72 3% 7%  
73 2% 4%  
74 1.5% 2%  
75 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.3% 99.9%  
55 0.5% 99.6%  
56 3% 99.1%  
57 3% 97%  
58 5% 94%  
59 11% 89%  
60 2% 78%  
61 11% 76%  
62 5% 65%  
63 48% 59% Median
64 0.9% 11% Last Result
65 3% 10%  
66 4% 7%  
67 1.4% 3%  
68 1.2% 2%  
69 0.5% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.5% 99.7%  
51 0.9% 99.2%  
52 2% 98%  
53 4% 96%  
54 2% 92%  
55 4% 90%  
56 58% 86% Median
57 4% 28%  
58 12% 24%  
59 2% 12% Last Result
60 4% 10%  
61 3% 6%  
62 1.0% 3%  
63 1.4% 2%  
64 0.8% 0.9%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.7%  
45 1.0% 99.5%  
46 1.0% 98.5%  
47 0.8% 98%  
48 4% 97%  
49 12% 92%  
50 52% 80% Median
51 10% 28%  
52 7% 18%  
53 2% 11%  
54 2% 9%  
55 3% 6% Last Result
56 2% 3%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.4% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.6%  
23 3% 98%  
24 51% 95% Median
25 15% 44%  
26 9% 29%  
27 7% 20%  
28 8% 14%  
29 2% 6%  
30 2% 3%  
31 1.3% 2%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations