Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 11–17 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.7% 26.1–29.5% 25.6–30.0% 25.2–30.5% 24.4–31.3%
Venstre 23.4% 13.3% 12.1–14.7% 11.7–15.1% 11.4–15.5% 10.9–16.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 12.8% 11.6–14.2% 11.2–14.6% 10.9–14.9% 10.4–15.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.3% 7.3–10.6% 6.8–11.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.2–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.5–10.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.5% 5.7–8.7% 5.3–9.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.5% 5.7–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.7% 4.9–6.7% 4.7–7.0% 4.5–7.3% 4.1–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.7–5.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–2.0% 0.8–2.1% 0.6–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 47–54 46–54 45–54 43–56
Venstre 43 24 22–25 22–26 21–28 19–30
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 22 21–24 21–25 20–25 19–26
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 14–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–16 13–17 12–18 12–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 9–14 9–14 9–14 8–15
Radikale Venstre 16 9 8–10 7–11 7–12 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 6 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0.1% 100%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.8%  
44 0.6% 99.3%  
45 3% 98.7%  
46 1.0% 96%  
47 17% 95%  
48 10% 78% Last Result
49 7% 68%  
50 3% 61%  
51 29% 58% Median
52 9% 29%  
53 7% 20%  
54 12% 13%  
55 0.9% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.7%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.9% 99.9%  
20 0.8% 99.0%  
21 2% 98%  
22 7% 96%  
23 20% 89%  
24 30% 69% Median
25 33% 40%  
26 3% 7%  
27 0.9% 4%  
28 0.6% 3%  
29 0.6% 2%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0.2% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.8%  
19 1.1% 99.5%  
20 3% 98%  
21 6% 96%  
22 51% 90% Median
23 24% 39%  
24 8% 16%  
25 7% 8%  
26 1.1% 1.5%  
27 0.2% 0.4%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.3% 99.9%  
13 5% 98.7% Last Result
14 8% 94%  
15 38% 86% Median
16 16% 47%  
17 20% 31%  
18 8% 11%  
19 2% 3%  
20 1.0% 1.1%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 3% 99.5%  
13 11% 97%  
14 12% 85% Last Result
15 50% 73% Median
16 15% 23%  
17 5% 8%  
18 2% 3%  
19 1.2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 5% 98%  
11 33% 93%  
12 10% 60% Median
13 34% 49%  
14 9% 16%  
15 5% 6%  
16 1.4% 1.5%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 2% 100%  
9 14% 98%  
10 5% 84%  
11 12% 79%  
12 28% 68% Median
13 7% 40%  
14 31% 32%  
15 0.9% 1.1%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 7% 100%  
8 11% 93%  
9 36% 82% Median
10 36% 46%  
11 5% 10%  
12 3% 5%  
13 1.5% 2%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100% Last Result
5 2% 99.8%  
6 55% 98% Median
7 22% 43%  
8 11% 21%  
9 9% 9%  
10 0.4% 0.6%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 9%  
2 0% 9%  
3 0% 9%  
4 8% 9%  
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 60% 87–95 85–95 84–95 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 91 60% 87–95 85–95 84–95 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 81 0% 77–86 76–86 76–86 74–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 81 0% 77–86 76–86 76–86 74–86
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 78 0% 74–81 74–82 74–84 72–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 74–80 74–81 74–83 72–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 76 0% 71–79 71–79 69–79 69–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 66 0% 61–69 61–70 61–72 60–73
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 65 0% 61–68 61–69 61–70 59–72
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 61 0% 56–63 56–63 55–64 54–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 53 0% 52–56 51–57 50–59 48–61
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 47 0% 44–48 43–49 43–51 41–53
Venstre 43 24 0% 22–25 22–26 21–28 19–30

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.5% 99.9%  
84 2% 99.4%  
85 2% 97%  
86 3% 95%  
87 3% 92%  
88 20% 89%  
89 8% 69%  
90 6% 60% Median, Majority
91 36% 55%  
92 2% 19%  
93 3% 17%  
94 0.8% 14%  
95 11% 13%  
96 1.2% 1.4% Last Result
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.5% 99.9%  
84 2% 99.4%  
85 2% 97%  
86 3% 95%  
87 3% 92%  
88 20% 89%  
89 8% 69%  
90 6% 60% Median, Majority
91 36% 55% Last Result
92 2% 19%  
93 3% 17%  
94 0.8% 14%  
95 11% 13%  
96 1.2% 1.4%  
97 0.1% 0.3%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 1.2% 99.4%  
76 6% 98%  
77 3% 92%  
78 2% 89%  
79 20% 87%  
80 10% 68% Last Result
81 34% 58% Median
82 2% 24%  
83 1.2% 21%  
84 8% 20%  
85 0.5% 12%  
86 11% 12%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.2% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 1.2% 99.4% Last Result
76 6% 98%  
77 3% 92%  
78 2% 89%  
79 20% 87%  
80 10% 68%  
81 34% 58% Median
82 2% 24%  
83 1.2% 21%  
84 8% 20%  
85 0.5% 12%  
86 11% 12%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 1.0% 99.4%  
74 12% 98%  
75 2% 86%  
76 4% 84% Median
77 10% 80%  
78 46% 70%  
79 7% 24% Last Result
80 5% 18%  
81 4% 13%  
82 4% 9%  
83 2% 5%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0.4% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 2% 99.3%  
74 12% 98%  
75 2% 85%  
76 5% 83% Median
77 11% 78%  
78 47% 66%  
79 7% 19% Last Result
80 6% 12%  
81 2% 6%  
82 2% 5%  
83 2% 3%  
84 0.3% 0.8%  
85 0.4% 0.5%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 2% 99.5%  
70 1.0% 97%  
71 20% 96%  
72 10% 76%  
73 6% 66%  
74 6% 60%  
75 3% 54% Median
76 32% 51%  
77 5% 19%  
78 2% 14% Last Result
79 11% 12%  
80 1.0% 1.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.7%  
60 1.4% 99.6%  
61 11% 98%  
62 4% 87%  
63 5% 83%  
64 6% 78% Median
65 20% 71%  
66 3% 51%  
67 31% 48%  
68 3% 17%  
69 6% 15%  
70 4% 8%  
71 0.3% 4%  
72 3% 4%  
73 0.4% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.9%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 1.4% 99.4%  
61 11% 98%  
62 4% 87%  
63 6% 82%  
64 7% 76% Median
65 20% 69%  
66 6% 48%  
67 30% 43%  
68 4% 12%  
69 6% 9%  
70 0.7% 3%  
71 0.2% 2%  
72 1.4% 2%  
73 0.4% 0.5%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0.3% 99.8%  
54 1.4% 99.5%  
55 0.9% 98%  
56 21% 97%  
57 3% 76%  
58 7% 72%  
59 10% 65%  
60 2% 55% Median
61 34% 53%  
62 3% 19%  
63 13% 16%  
64 2% 3% Last Result
65 0.9% 2%  
66 0.6% 0.7%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.6% 99.7%  
49 0.8% 99.0%  
50 1.2% 98%  
51 3% 97%  
52 19% 94% Median
53 51% 75%  
54 9% 24%  
55 3% 15%  
56 3% 12%  
57 5% 8%  
58 1.1% 4%  
59 2% 3% Last Result
60 0.1% 0.7%  
61 0.5% 0.6%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.9% 99.8%  
42 0.6% 98.9%  
43 3% 98%  
44 6% 95%  
45 14% 89%  
46 8% 75% Median
47 51% 67%  
48 9% 16%  
49 3% 8%  
50 1.4% 4%  
51 0.6% 3%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.1% 0.5%  
54 0.4% 0.4%  
55 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.9% 99.9%  
20 0.8% 99.0%  
21 2% 98%  
22 7% 96%  
23 20% 89%  
24 30% 69% Median
25 33% 40%  
26 3% 7%  
27 0.9% 4%  
28 0.6% 3%  
29 0.6% 2%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations