Opinion Poll by Epinion, 14–21 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 28.0% 26.6–29.5% 26.2–29.9% 25.9–30.3% 25.2–31.0%
Venstre 23.4% 15.9% 14.8–17.1% 14.5–17.5% 14.2–17.8% 13.7–18.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.5% 12.5–14.7% 12.2–15.0% 11.9–15.3% 11.5–15.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.9% 5.2–6.7% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.5%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.9% 4.8–7.1% 4.5–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.9% 2.4–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.8% 2.0–4.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.2–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.4% 1.1–1.9% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.2% 0.3–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 51 47–53 47–54 47–55 46–56
Venstre 43 31 28–31 28–31 28–32 26–33
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 25 23–26 23–26 21–26 21–28
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 14–16 13–16 13–16 12–17
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–11 10–11 9–12 8–13
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 10–11 10–12 9–12 8–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 4–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.4% 100%  
46 0.7% 99.6%  
47 11% 98.9%  
48 1.4% 88% Last Result
49 3% 87%  
50 3% 84%  
51 61% 81% Median
52 3% 20%  
53 12% 17%  
54 0.4% 5%  
55 3% 5%  
56 2% 2%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.7%  
27 1.3% 99.4%  
28 10% 98%  
29 9% 88%  
30 16% 79%  
31 60% 63% Median
32 2% 3%  
33 0.6% 0.7%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 3% 99.9%  
22 2% 97%  
23 9% 95%  
24 18% 86%  
25 58% 69% Median
26 9% 10%  
27 1.0% 2%  
28 0.6% 0.8%  
29 0.1% 0.2%  
30 0% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 1.0% 99.9%  
13 5% 98.9% Last Result
14 67% 94% Median
15 12% 27%  
16 14% 15%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 2% 99.5%  
13 11% 98%  
14 16% 87% Last Result
15 60% 71% Median
16 2% 11%  
17 8% 9%  
18 0.8% 0.8%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.9% 100%  
9 2% 99.1%  
10 19% 97%  
11 75% 77% Median
12 2% 3%  
13 0.5% 0.6%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.8% 100%  
9 2% 99.2%  
10 66% 97% Median
11 25% 31%  
12 4% 6%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 2% 100%  
9 58% 98% Median
10 12% 40%  
11 24% 28%  
12 2% 4%  
13 1.4% 1.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 7% 99.7% Last Result
5 70% 92% Median
6 22% 22%  
7 0.8% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 5% 5%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.6% 100% Median
1 0% 1.4%  
2 0% 1.4%  
3 0% 1.4%  
4 1.3% 1.4%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 81% 88–94 88–95 87–95 85–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 91 80% 88–94 88–95 87–95 84–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0% 77–83 77–85 77–85 74–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 80 0% 77–83 77–85 77–85 74–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0% 79–82 76–84 76–84 76–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0% 78–82 76–84 76–84 76–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 77 0% 72–78 72–80 72–80 70–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 71 0% 69–71 66–73 66–73 66–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 71 0% 67–71 66–73 66–73 65–75
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 58–64 58–65 58–65 55–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 57–61 55–61 55–62 55–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 56 0% 51–56 51–56 50–57 50–58
Venstre 43 31 0% 28–31 28–31 28–32 26–33

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.3% 100%  
82 0% 99.7%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0.1% 99.6%  
85 0.9% 99.5%  
86 0.3% 98.7%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 12% 97%  
89 5% 85%  
90 0.9% 81% Majority
91 66% 80% Median
92 3% 14%  
93 0.7% 11%  
94 1.3% 10%  
95 8% 9%  
96 0.4% 0.9% Last Result
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.3% 0.3%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.3% 100%  
82 0% 99.7%  
83 0% 99.6%  
84 0.1% 99.6%  
85 1.0% 99.5%  
86 0.3% 98%  
87 1.4% 98%  
88 12% 97%  
89 5% 85%  
90 1.0% 80% Majority
91 65% 79% Last Result, Median
92 3% 13%  
93 0.5% 11%  
94 1.4% 10%  
95 8% 9%  
96 0.4% 0.6%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.3% 100%  
73 0% 99.7%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.4%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 11% 98%  
78 1.4% 87%  
79 5% 85%  
80 61% 80% Last Result, Median
81 6% 19%  
82 2% 13%  
83 2% 11%  
84 0.3% 9%  
85 8% 8%  
86 0.2% 0.5%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.4% 100%  
73 0% 99.6%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 1.0% 99.3% Last Result
76 0.6% 98%  
77 12% 98%  
78 1.5% 86%  
79 5% 85%  
80 61% 79% Median
81 6% 18%  
82 2% 12%  
83 2% 11%  
84 0.1% 8%  
85 8% 8%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 7% 99.7%  
77 0.4% 92%  
78 1.2% 92%  
79 3% 91% Last Result
80 63% 88% Median
81 1.4% 25%  
82 14% 24%  
83 3% 9%  
84 4% 6%  
85 0.9% 2%  
86 0.2% 1.3%  
87 0.7% 1.1%  
88 0% 0.4%  
89 0.3% 0.4%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.7%  
76 8% 99.6%  
77 0.6% 92%  
78 3% 91%  
79 3% 88% Last Result
80 63% 85% Median
81 1.3% 22%  
82 12% 21%  
83 3% 9%  
84 4% 5%  
85 1.2% 1.5%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.3% 100%  
68 0% 99.7%  
69 0.1% 99.7%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 1.2% 99.2%  
72 10% 98%  
73 4% 88%  
74 0.9% 84%  
75 3% 83%  
76 2% 80%  
77 62% 78% Median
78 6% 16% Last Result
79 2% 10%  
80 8% 8%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 6% 99.7%  
67 0.5% 93%  
68 3% 93%  
69 7% 90%  
70 5% 84%  
71 71% 79% Median
72 1.2% 8%  
73 5% 7%  
74 0.6% 2%  
75 0.2% 1.2% Last Result
76 0.1% 1.0%  
77 0.1% 0.9%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.3% 0.3%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 7% 99.5%  
67 3% 93%  
68 3% 90%  
69 6% 87%  
70 5% 80%  
71 68% 76% Median
72 1.0% 8%  
73 5% 6%  
74 0.8% 1.3%  
75 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.3% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.6%  
56 0.4% 99.4%  
57 0.7% 99.0%  
58 11% 98%  
59 2% 87%  
60 5% 86%  
61 5% 81%  
62 57% 76% Median
63 9% 19%  
64 5% 10% Last Result
65 4% 6%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 6% 99.9%  
56 3% 94%  
57 2% 90%  
58 2% 89%  
59 9% 86% Last Result
60 13% 77%  
61 59% 64% Median
62 4% 5%  
63 0.2% 0.9%  
64 0.6% 0.7%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 3% 99.8%  
51 7% 97%  
52 2% 90%  
53 6% 88%  
54 15% 82%  
55 3% 67% Last Result
56 59% 64% Median
57 3% 4%  
58 0.5% 0.9%  
59 0.3% 0.3%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.2% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.7%  
27 1.3% 99.4%  
28 10% 98%  
29 9% 88%  
30 16% 79%  
31 60% 63% Median
32 2% 3%  
33 0.6% 0.7%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations