Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 18–24 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 27.1% 25.4–29.0% 24.9–29.5% 24.4–30.0% 23.6–30.9%
Venstre 23.4% 14.3% 12.9–15.8% 12.5–16.2% 12.2–16.6% 11.6–17.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 13.9% 12.5–15.3% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.1% 11.2–16.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 44–51 44–51 44–52 42–54
Venstre 43 26 23–30 22–30 21–30 19–30
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 24 22–27 22–27 21–28 20–29
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–18
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 12–15 11–16 11–17 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 13 11–14 10–14 9–14 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.8%  
42 0.2% 99.6%  
43 0.7% 99.4%  
44 10% 98.7%  
45 4% 89%  
46 3% 85%  
47 23% 82%  
48 20% 59% Last Result, Median
49 4% 40%  
50 7% 35%  
51 25% 28%  
52 1.1% 3%  
53 0.5% 1.5%  
54 0.7% 0.9%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.9% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.1%  
21 2% 98.8%  
22 2% 97%  
23 20% 95%  
24 3% 75%  
25 17% 72%  
26 24% 55% Median
27 4% 31%  
28 4% 27%  
29 2% 23%  
30 21% 21%  
31 0.1% 0.3%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.7% 99.9%  
21 3% 99.2%  
22 18% 96%  
23 24% 78%  
24 8% 54% Median
25 15% 45%  
26 6% 30%  
27 21% 24%  
28 1.4% 3%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.8%  
12 5% 99.4%  
13 45% 94% Last Result, Median
14 6% 49%  
15 11% 43%  
16 26% 32%  
17 3% 6%  
18 3% 3%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 5% 99.5%  
12 27% 94%  
13 25% 67% Median
14 8% 42% Last Result
15 25% 34%  
16 6% 9%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.7% 0.9%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.7% 100%  
10 24% 99.3%  
11 4% 75%  
12 44% 71% Median
13 15% 28%  
14 8% 13%  
15 3% 5%  
16 2% 2% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.2% 99.9%  
9 4% 99.7%  
10 4% 96%  
11 8% 92%  
12 30% 84%  
13 36% 54% Median
14 17% 18%  
15 0.7% 1.4%  
16 0.7% 0.8%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.4% 100%  
7 1.1% 99.6%  
8 27% 98%  
9 8% 71%  
10 47% 63% Median
11 9% 16%  
12 5% 7%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100% Last Result
5 1.2% 99.9%  
6 4% 98.7%  
7 41% 94%  
8 25% 53% Median
9 22% 28%  
10 5% 6%  
11 0.8% 0.8%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 3% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 6% 83–88 81–90 81–91 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 86 6% 83–88 81–90 81–91 80–93
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 83 0.2% 80–85 79–86 78–87 76–89
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 83 0.2% 80–85 79–86 77–87 76–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 76 0% 72–78 71–80 70–81 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 76 0% 72–78 71–80 70–81 70–84
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 71 0% 69–74 66–76 66–76 65–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 70 0% 68–73 67–75 66–75 64–77
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 70 0% 68–73 67–74 66–75 64–77
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 55–61 54–61 53–63 51–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 55–60 54–61 53–62 52–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 50 0% 48–53 47–53 45–54 45–57
Venstre 43 26 0% 23–30 22–30 21–30 19–30

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.8% 99.7%  
81 5% 98.8%  
82 2% 94%  
83 3% 92%  
84 22% 89% Median
85 3% 67%  
86 48% 64%  
87 4% 16%  
88 4% 12%  
89 2% 8%  
90 2% 6% Majority
91 3% 4%  
92 1.4% 2%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.8% 99.7%  
81 5% 98.8%  
82 2% 94%  
83 3% 92%  
84 22% 89% Median
85 3% 67%  
86 48% 64%  
87 4% 16%  
88 4% 12%  
89 2% 8%  
90 2% 6% Majority
91 3% 4% Last Result
92 1.4% 2%  
93 0.3% 0.5%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 1.4% 99.7%  
77 0.5% 98%  
78 1.1% 98%  
79 4% 97% Last Result
80 7% 93%  
81 3% 87%  
82 27% 84%  
83 38% 57% Median
84 6% 18%  
85 4% 13%  
86 5% 9%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.3% 2%  
89 1.4% 2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 2% 99.6%  
77 0.6% 98%  
78 1.3% 97%  
79 4% 96% Last Result
80 6% 92%  
81 3% 85%  
82 27% 82%  
83 38% 55% Median
84 6% 17%  
85 3% 12%  
86 5% 8%  
87 2% 3%  
88 0.3% 1.5%  
89 1.0% 1.2%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 96%  
72 5% 95%  
73 2% 90%  
74 18% 87% Median
75 4% 69%  
76 26% 65%  
77 6% 39%  
78 25% 33%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6% Last Result
81 2% 4%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.7%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.3% 99.9%  
70 4% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 96%  
72 5% 95%  
73 2% 90%  
74 18% 87% Median
75 4% 69% Last Result
76 26% 65%  
77 6% 39%  
78 25% 33%  
79 3% 9%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 4%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.6%  
84 0.3% 0.5%  
85 0% 0.2%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.6% 99.5%  
66 4% 99.0%  
67 2% 95%  
68 3% 93%  
69 6% 91%  
70 22% 85%  
71 22% 62% Median
72 2% 41%  
73 28% 39%  
74 4% 10%  
75 1.4% 7%  
76 3% 5%  
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.3% 0.8% Last Result
79 0.4% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 1.2% 99.6%  
65 0.5% 98%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 96%  
68 3% 93%  
69 28% 90%  
70 39% 62% Median
71 3% 24%  
72 6% 20%  
73 5% 15%  
74 5% 10%  
75 3% 5% Last Result
76 1.1% 2%  
77 0.9% 1.3%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 1.3% 99.5%  
65 0.6% 98%  
66 2% 98%  
67 3% 95%  
68 4% 92%  
69 28% 88%  
70 38% 60% Median
71 3% 22%  
72 5% 18%  
73 5% 13%  
74 4% 9%  
75 3% 5% Last Result
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.8% 1.2%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.9%  
52 0.8% 99.4%  
53 3% 98.6%  
54 1.1% 96%  
55 27% 95%  
56 8% 68%  
57 4% 60%  
58 22% 57% Median
59 2% 35%  
60 4% 33%  
61 25% 28%  
62 0.9% 3%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.1% 99.7%  
52 2% 99.6%  
53 2% 98%  
54 4% 97%  
55 4% 93%  
56 3% 89%  
57 28% 86%  
58 20% 58% Median
59 6% 39% Last Result
60 23% 32%  
61 5% 9%  
62 1.5% 4%  
63 1.3% 2%  
64 0.5% 1.0%  
65 0.4% 0.5%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 2% 99.6%  
46 2% 97%  
47 5% 95%  
48 17% 91%  
49 9% 74%  
50 30% 65% Median
51 2% 35%  
52 2% 33%  
53 28% 31%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.5% 1.4% Last Result
56 0.2% 0.9%  
57 0.3% 0.7%  
58 0.4% 0.4%  
59 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.9% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.1%  
21 2% 98.8%  
22 2% 97%  
23 20% 95%  
24 3% 75%  
25 17% 72%  
26 24% 55% Median
27 4% 31%  
28 4% 27%  
29 2% 23%  
30 21% 21%  
31 0.1% 0.3%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations