Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 25–31 October 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.8% 25.0–28.6% 24.5–29.2% 24.1–29.6% 23.3–30.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Venstre 23.4% 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.1% 6.1–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 48 44–52 43–52 42–52 41–54
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 27 24–29 23–30 23–31 21–31
Venstre 43 25 23–29 22–30 22–31 20–32
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 13 11–15 10–16 10–16 9–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 13 11–15 10–15 10–16 9–17
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 9–14 9–14 9–14 8–16
Radikale Venstre 16 11 9–13 8–13 8–13 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–7 4–8 4–8 4–10
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.2% 99.9%  
41 1.4% 99.7%  
42 1.1% 98%  
43 3% 97%  
44 8% 94%  
45 11% 86%  
46 7% 76%  
47 10% 68%  
48 21% 58% Last Result, Median
49 8% 37%  
50 7% 29%  
51 7% 22%  
52 13% 15%  
53 1.3% 2%  
54 0.1% 0.6%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.9%  
22 0.9% 99.4%  
23 8% 98.6%  
24 8% 91%  
25 14% 83%  
26 11% 70%  
27 36% 59% Median
28 10% 23%  
29 5% 13%  
30 5% 8%  
31 3% 3%  
32 0.3% 0.5%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 1.2% 99.4%  
22 5% 98%  
23 19% 93%  
24 10% 74%  
25 19% 64% Median
26 11% 46%  
27 9% 34%  
28 10% 25%  
29 9% 15%  
30 2% 6%  
31 3% 3%  
32 0.6% 0.8%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 9% 99.5%  
13 8% 91% Last Result
14 26% 83%  
15 22% 57% Median
16 11% 35%  
17 15% 24%  
18 6% 9%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.7% 1.0%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 2% 100%  
10 5% 98%  
11 13% 92%  
12 22% 80%  
13 24% 57% Median
14 23% 34% Last Result
15 5% 10%  
16 5% 6%  
17 0.6% 0.9%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.3% 100%  
9 0.9% 99.7%  
10 8% 98.8%  
11 10% 91%  
12 24% 81%  
13 24% 57% Median
14 21% 33%  
15 7% 11%  
16 3% 5%  
17 0.8% 1.1%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.9% 99.9%  
9 13% 99.0%  
10 15% 86%  
11 15% 71%  
12 33% 56% Median
13 8% 23%  
14 13% 15%  
15 0.7% 2%  
16 1.1% 1.4% Last Result
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.1% 100%  
8 7% 98.9%  
9 24% 92%  
10 14% 68%  
11 22% 54% Median
12 21% 32%  
13 10% 11%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 9% 99.8% Last Result
5 32% 91%  
6 31% 59% Median
7 21% 28%  
8 6% 7%  
9 0.8% 2%  
10 0.8% 0.9%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 12%  
2 0% 12%  
3 0.3% 12%  
4 10% 11%  
5 0.9% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 86 15% 82–90 81–90 80–91 78–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 86 15% 82–90 81–90 80–91 78–93
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 2% 79–87 79–88 78–89 76–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 82 1.1% 79–87 78–88 77–89 75–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 76 0% 71–79 71–79 70–80 68–82
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 76 0% 71–79 71–79 70–80 68–82
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 70 0% 67–74 66–76 65–77 63–78
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 66–74 65–75 65–76 62–78
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 72 0% 67–75 66–75 65–75 63–78
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 58 0% 54–63 53–64 52–65 51–66
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 54–61 53–62 52–64 51–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 52 0% 49–56 47–58 47–59 45–60
Venstre 43 25 0% 23–29 22–30 22–31 20–32

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.6% 99.8%  
79 0.7% 99.3%  
80 2% 98.6%  
81 6% 97%  
82 2% 91%  
83 7% 89%  
84 11% 82%  
85 11% 72%  
86 11% 61%  
87 9% 49% Median
88 20% 40%  
89 6% 21%  
90 11% 15% Majority
91 3% 4%  
92 0.4% 1.5%  
93 0.7% 1.1%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.6% 99.8%  
79 0.7% 99.3%  
80 2% 98.6%  
81 6% 97%  
82 2% 91%  
83 7% 89%  
84 11% 82%  
85 11% 72%  
86 11% 61%  
87 9% 49% Median
88 20% 40%  
89 6% 21%  
90 11% 15% Majority
91 3% 4% Last Result
92 0.4% 1.5%  
93 0.7% 1.1%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.3% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.6%  
77 1.2% 99.4%  
78 1.3% 98%  
79 10% 97% Last Result
80 20% 87%  
81 8% 67%  
82 9% 59%  
83 10% 50% Median
84 12% 39%  
85 5% 28%  
86 10% 23%  
87 6% 13%  
88 3% 7%  
89 2% 4%  
90 1.3% 2% Majority
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.8%  
76 0.4% 99.3%  
77 2% 98.9%  
78 4% 97%  
79 11% 93% Last Result
80 23% 83%  
81 9% 60%  
82 8% 52%  
83 10% 43% Median
84 9% 34%  
85 5% 24%  
86 8% 19%  
87 6% 11%  
88 2% 5%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.9% 1.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.8%  
69 2% 99.3%  
70 2% 98%  
71 6% 96%  
72 6% 90%  
73 8% 83%  
74 11% 76%  
75 9% 64%  
76 11% 55% Median
77 15% 44%  
78 7% 29%  
79 17% 22%  
80 3% 5% Last Result
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.0%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.8%  
69 2% 99.3%  
70 2% 98%  
71 6% 96%  
72 6% 90%  
73 8% 83%  
74 11% 76%  
75 9% 64% Last Result
76 11% 55% Median
77 15% 44%  
78 7% 29%  
79 17% 22%  
80 3% 5%  
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.0%  
83 0.3% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.7% 99.5%  
65 2% 98.7%  
66 6% 97%  
67 24% 91%  
68 8% 67%  
69 6% 59%  
70 12% 53% Median
71 10% 41%  
72 8% 31%  
73 7% 24%  
74 8% 16%  
75 3% 8% Last Result
76 3% 5%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.6% 0.8%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.2% 100%  
62 0.4% 99.7%  
63 0.5% 99.3%  
64 1.1% 98.8%  
65 4% 98%  
66 6% 94%  
67 25% 88%  
68 10% 62%  
69 5% 53%  
70 11% 47% Median
71 9% 36%  
72 7% 27%  
73 7% 20%  
74 7% 13%  
75 3% 6% Last Result
76 1.3% 3%  
77 1.3% 2%  
78 0.4% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.6% 99.8%  
64 1.1% 99.2%  
65 2% 98%  
66 2% 96%  
67 6% 94%  
68 8% 89%  
69 11% 80%  
70 7% 69%  
71 9% 62%  
72 13% 53% Median
73 15% 39%  
74 14% 25%  
75 8% 11%  
76 1.2% 2%  
77 0.6% 1.3%  
78 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.7%  
52 3% 99.3%  
53 6% 96%  
54 5% 90%  
55 17% 85%  
56 5% 69%  
57 11% 64%  
58 11% 53% Median
59 10% 42% Last Result
60 9% 32%  
61 6% 23%  
62 6% 17%  
63 5% 11%  
64 2% 6%  
65 3% 4%  
66 0.7% 0.9%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.6%  
52 2% 99.4%  
53 3% 97%  
54 8% 94%  
55 4% 86%  
56 10% 83%  
57 9% 73%  
58 6% 64%  
59 15% 58% Median
60 14% 43%  
61 21% 29%  
62 4% 8%  
63 1.4% 4%  
64 2% 3% Last Result
65 0.5% 0.7%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.2% 100%  
45 0.5% 99.8%  
46 0.5% 99.3%  
47 4% 98.7%  
48 5% 95%  
49 11% 90%  
50 15% 79%  
51 11% 63%  
52 12% 53% Median
53 9% 41%  
54 10% 32%  
55 8% 23% Last Result
56 6% 14%  
57 3% 9%  
58 2% 6%  
59 2% 4%  
60 1.2% 1.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 1.2% 99.4%  
22 5% 98%  
23 19% 93%  
24 10% 74%  
25 19% 64% Median
26 11% 46%  
27 9% 34%  
28 10% 25%  
29 9% 15%  
30 2% 6%  
31 3% 3%  
32 0.6% 0.8%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations