Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 15–21 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.8% 24.3–27.5% 23.9–27.9% 23.5–28.3% 22.8–29.1%
Venstre 23.4% 17.5% 16.2–19.0% 15.8–19.4% 15.5–19.7% 14.9–20.4%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.7% 13.5–16.1% 13.2–16.5% 12.9–16.8% 12.3–17.5%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.7% 7.8–9.8% 7.5–10.2% 7.3–10.4% 6.8–11.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.5–9.5% 7.2–9.8% 7.0–10.1% 6.6–10.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.3–7.6% 5.1–7.8% 4.7–8.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.8% 5.1–6.8% 4.8–7.1% 4.7–7.3% 4.3–7.8%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.8–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.0% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.5% 1.2–2.1% 1.1–2.2% 1.0–2.4% 0.8–2.7%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 45 43–49 43–49 43–51 41–52
Venstre 43 32 31–33 29–35 28–36 26–36
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 25–28 25–29 24–30 23–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–18 13–18 13–19 12–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–17 14–17 13–17 12–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 9–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
Radikale Venstre 16 10 8–11 8–11 7–12 6–13
Liberal Alliance 4 6 4–6 4–7 0–7 0–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0.6% 99.9%  
42 1.5% 99.3%  
43 23% 98%  
44 5% 75%  
45 32% 69% Median
46 9% 37%  
47 9% 28%  
48 7% 19% Last Result
49 7% 12%  
50 1.4% 5%  
51 3% 3%  
52 0.4% 0.8%  
53 0.4% 0.4%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.6% 99.8%  
27 0.7% 99.3%  
28 2% 98.6%  
29 2% 97%  
30 2% 95%  
31 33% 92%  
32 37% 59% Median
33 13% 22%  
34 3% 9%  
35 3% 6%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.2% 0.5%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 2% 99.6%  
24 2% 98%  
25 11% 96%  
26 54% 85% Median
27 13% 31%  
28 10% 18%  
29 5% 9%  
30 2% 3%  
31 0.7% 0.9%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 1.1% 100%  
13 5% 98.9% Last Result
14 28% 94%  
15 8% 66%  
16 12% 57% Median
17 34% 45%  
18 7% 12%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.4% 2%  
21 1.0% 1.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 0.6% 99.8%  
13 3% 99.2%  
14 19% 96% Last Result
15 38% 77% Median
16 6% 39%  
17 30% 33%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.3% 0.4%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 1.4% 100%  
9 5% 98.6%  
10 12% 94%  
11 9% 82%  
12 55% 73% Median
13 13% 18%  
14 5% 6%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 2% 99.8%  
9 32% 98%  
10 31% 66% Median
11 20% 35%  
12 9% 15%  
13 4% 6%  
14 1.0% 1.4%  
15 0.4% 0.4%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.6% 100%  
7 2% 99.4%  
8 15% 97%  
9 18% 83%  
10 36% 65% Median
11 26% 29%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 0% 95%  
2 0% 95%  
3 0% 95%  
4 6% 95% Last Result
5 24% 89%  
6 59% 65% Median
7 5% 6%  
8 1.0% 1.2%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 41%  
2 0% 41%  
3 0% 41%  
4 35% 41%  
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Median
1 0% 29%  
2 0% 29%  
3 0% 29%  
4 29% 29%  
5 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 88 32% 85–90 83–91 83–92 82–94
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 87 15% 85–90 84–91 83–92 81–93
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 87 30% 82–90 82–91 82–92 81–93
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 85 4% 84–88 82–89 81–91 79–92
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 78 0% 76–81 74–82 73–83 71–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 77 0% 73–78 73–82 72–82 70–83
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 78 0% 72–81 72–81 72–82 71–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 73 0% 73–77 72–78 71–79 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 71 0% 68–73 68–74 67–76 66–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 63 0% 62–66 61–68 60–69 57–69
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 58 0% 57–62 55–62 54–63 51–64
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 56 0% 53–58 53–59 52–61 51–62
Venstre 43 32 0% 31–33 29–35 28–36 26–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.2% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.8%  
82 0.4% 99.6%  
83 4% 99.2%  
84 3% 95%  
85 7% 91%  
86 25% 84% Median
87 9% 60%  
88 9% 51%  
89 10% 42%  
90 25% 32% Majority
91 2% 7%  
92 3% 5%  
93 0.5% 2%  
94 1.0% 1.2%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
80 0.1% 99.8%  
81 1.1% 99.8%  
82 0.5% 98.7%  
83 3% 98%  
84 2% 95%  
85 25% 93%  
86 10% 68% Median
87 9% 57%  
88 9% 49%  
89 25% 40%  
90 7% 15% Majority
91 3% 8%  
92 4% 5%  
93 0.4% 0.7%  
94 0.2% 0.4%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.9%  
81 0.3% 99.6%  
82 23% 99.4%  
83 6% 76%  
84 4% 71%  
85 9% 67%  
86 2% 58% Median
87 8% 56%  
88 9% 47%  
89 8% 39%  
90 25% 30% Majority
91 2% 5% Last Result
92 3% 3%  
93 0.1% 0.5%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.6% 99.8% Last Result
80 1.3% 99.2%  
81 1.2% 98%  
82 2% 97%  
83 3% 94%  
84 4% 92%  
85 49% 88%  
86 16% 39% Median
87 8% 23%  
88 10% 15%  
89 2% 5%  
90 0.9% 4% Majority
91 1.0% 3%  
92 1.5% 2%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.5% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.4%  
73 3% 99.3%  
74 2% 96%  
75 2% 94%  
76 26% 92% Median
77 7% 66%  
78 15% 59%  
79 27% 44%  
80 5% 17% Last Result
81 7% 13%  
82 1.5% 5%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.2% 1.3%  
85 0.8% 1.0%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 99.6%  
71 1.1% 99.4%  
72 2% 98%  
73 39% 96%  
74 2% 57% Median
75 2% 55% Last Result
76 3% 53%  
77 32% 50%  
78 10% 18%  
79 0.6% 8%  
80 0.7% 7%  
81 1.0% 7%  
82 5% 6%  
83 0.6% 0.7%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.5% 99.8%  
72 22% 99.3%  
73 3% 77%  
74 3% 74%  
75 3% 71% Last Result
76 7% 68% Median
77 7% 61%  
78 14% 54%  
79 27% 40%  
80 2% 13%  
81 8% 11%  
82 1.0% 4%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.4% 99.9%  
68 0.9% 99.5%  
69 0.6% 98.6%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 2% 98%  
72 3% 96%  
73 63% 93%  
74 8% 30% Median
75 2% 22% Last Result
76 3% 20%  
77 11% 17%  
78 4% 6%  
79 1.0% 3%  
80 0.1% 2%  
81 0.2% 1.5%  
82 1.3% 1.3%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.5%  
67 2% 99.0%  
68 28% 97%  
69 4% 69%  
70 10% 65% Median
71 14% 54%  
72 7% 41%  
73 28% 34%  
74 1.4% 6%  
75 2% 5%  
76 2% 3%  
77 0.1% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 1.1% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 98.8%  
59 0.7% 98% Last Result
60 1.1% 98%  
61 3% 96%  
62 17% 94%  
63 27% 77%  
64 26% 49% Median
65 11% 23%  
66 5% 13%  
67 2% 8%  
68 2% 6%  
69 4% 4%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.5% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.4%  
53 1.1% 99.3%  
54 2% 98%  
55 2% 96% Last Result
56 3% 94%  
57 34% 91%  
58 27% 57% Median
59 4% 31%  
60 14% 27%  
61 2% 13%  
62 8% 11%  
63 0.2% 3%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.2% 100%  
50 0.2% 99.8%  
51 2% 99.6%  
52 1.1% 98%  
53 30% 97%  
54 7% 67%  
55 4% 60% Median
56 34% 56%  
57 8% 22%  
58 8% 13%  
59 1.2% 5%  
60 1.3% 4%  
61 2% 3%  
62 0.7% 0.9%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.6% 99.8%  
27 0.7% 99.3%  
28 2% 98.6%  
29 2% 97%  
30 2% 95%  
31 33% 92%  
32 37% 59% Median
33 13% 22%  
34 3% 9%  
35 3% 6%  
36 2% 3%  
37 0.2% 0.5%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations