Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 22–28 November 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.0% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
Venstre 23.4% 17.0% 15.6–18.6% 15.2–19.1% 14.8–19.5% 14.1–20.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.1% 13.7–16.7% 13.4–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.0–7.6% 4.8–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.5% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.4% 0.2–0.8% 0.2–0.9% 0.2–1.0% 0.1–1.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 46–48 46–48 46–48 43–51
Venstre 43 31 31–34 30–34 30–34 27–35
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 26–29 26–29 26–29 24–30
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 16–17 16–17 16–19 14–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 15–16 15–18 13–18 12–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–11 10–11 10–13 10–14
Radikale Venstre 16 12 8–12 8–12 8–12 7–12
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 8–13
Liberal Alliance 4 7 5–7 5–7 5–7 5–8
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.7%  
44 0.8% 99.2%  
45 0.3% 98%  
46 53% 98% Median
47 7% 45%  
48 36% 38% Last Result
49 0.3% 2%  
50 0.3% 2%  
51 0.8% 1.3%  
52 0.1% 0.4%  
53 0% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.2% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 99.5%  
28 0.8% 98.7%  
29 0.4% 98%  
30 6% 98%  
31 52% 92% Median
32 0.2% 39%  
33 1.5% 39%  
34 37% 38%  
35 0.8% 0.8%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0.8% 99.9%  
25 0.8% 99.1%  
26 55% 98% Median
27 6% 43%  
28 0.7% 38%  
29 36% 37%  
30 0.6% 1.0%  
31 0.1% 0.3%  
32 0.2% 0.2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0% 100% Last Result
14 0.5% 100%  
15 0.3% 99.4%  
16 58% 99.1% Median
17 36% 41%  
18 2% 5%  
19 0.5% 3%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.3% 1.0%  
22 0.7% 0.7%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.1% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.8%  
13 2% 98%  
14 1.3% 97% Last Result
15 37% 95%  
16 52% 58% Median
17 0.1% 6%  
18 5% 5%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.3% 99.9%  
10 37% 99.6%  
11 58% 62% Median
12 0.3% 4%  
13 1.4% 3%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.6% 100%  
8 36% 99.4%  
9 1.5% 63%  
10 7% 62%  
11 0.7% 54%  
12 53% 54% Median
13 0.2% 0.4%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 2% 99.7%  
9 37% 98%  
10 53% 60% Median
11 6% 7%  
12 0.6% 1.2%  
13 0.6% 0.6%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.5% 100% Last Result
5 43% 99.5%  
6 1.4% 57%  
7 55% 55% Median
8 0.3% 0.7%  
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 90 60% 88–90 88–91 86–91 84–98
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 90 60% 88–90 88–91 86–91 84–98
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 85 0.5% 85–87 84–87 84–89 77–90
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 85 0.5% 85–87 84–87 84–89 77–90
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 78 0% 78–80 78–81 77–81 74–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 78 0% 78–80 78–81 77–81 74–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 75 0% 75–78 73–78 73–79 69–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 75 0% 75–78 73–78 73–79 69–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 74 0% 71–74 71–75 69–75 67–76
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 64 0% 64–68 62–68 62–68 58–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 57 0% 57–63 57–63 57–63 53–63
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 56–58 56–58 56–58 53–62
Venstre 43 31 0% 31–34 30–34 30–34 27–35

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.2% 100%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.5%  
86 2% 99.4%  
87 0.8% 97%  
88 36% 96%  
89 1.0% 61%  
90 52% 60% Median, Majority
91 6% 7%  
92 0% 2%  
93 0.4% 2%  
94 0.3% 1.1%  
95 0.1% 0.8%  
96 0% 0.7% Last Result
97 0.1% 0.7%  
98 0.6% 0.6%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.2% 100%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0.2% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.5%  
86 2% 99.4%  
87 0.8% 97%  
88 36% 96%  
89 1.0% 61%  
90 52% 60% Median, Majority
91 6% 7% Last Result
92 0% 1.5%  
93 0.4% 1.4%  
94 0.3% 1.0%  
95 0% 0.7%  
96 0% 0.7%  
97 0.1% 0.7%  
98 0.6% 0.6%  
99 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.6% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.4%  
79 0% 99.3% Last Result
80 0.1% 99.3%  
81 0.5% 99.2%  
82 0.4% 98.7%  
83 0.2% 98%  
84 6% 98%  
85 52% 92% Median
86 0.9% 40%  
87 36% 39%  
88 0.7% 3%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0% 0.5% Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.6% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.4%  
79 0% 99.3% Last Result
80 0.1% 99.2%  
81 0.5% 99.1%  
82 0.4% 98.6%  
83 0.2% 98%  
84 6% 98%  
85 52% 92% Median
86 0.9% 40%  
87 36% 39%  
88 0.7% 3%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0% 0.5% Majority
91 0.4% 0.5%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.7%  
74 0.3% 99.7%  
75 0.4% 99.3%  
76 1.0% 99.0%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 53% 97% Median
79 0.9% 44%  
80 36% 43% Last Result
81 6% 7%  
82 0.6% 2%  
83 0.1% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.9%  
85 0.1% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.6%  
88 0.5% 0.5%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.7%  
74 0.3% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.3% Last Result
76 1.1% 99.0%  
77 1.0% 98%  
78 53% 97% Median
79 0.9% 44%  
80 36% 43%  
81 6% 7%  
82 0.6% 1.5%  
83 0.1% 0.9%  
84 0.1% 0.8%  
85 0.1% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.6%  
87 0.1% 0.6%  
88 0.5% 0.5%  
89 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.6% 99.9%  
70 0.6% 99.3%  
71 0.3% 98.7%  
72 0.1% 98%  
73 6% 98%  
74 0.4% 93%  
75 52% 92% Last Result, Median
76 1.1% 40%  
77 0.3% 39%  
78 36% 39%  
79 0.9% 3%  
80 0.7% 2%  
81 1.0% 1.3%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.6% 99.9%  
70 0.6% 99.3%  
71 0.3% 98.7%  
72 0.1% 98%  
73 6% 98%  
74 0.4% 93%  
75 52% 92% Last Result, Median
76 1.1% 40%  
77 0.3% 39%  
78 36% 39%  
79 0.9% 3%  
80 0.7% 2%  
81 1.0% 1.2%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.2% 100%  
63 0% 99.8%  
64 0% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.4%  
69 1.1% 98%  
70 0.3% 97%  
71 37% 96%  
72 0.4% 60%  
73 0.7% 59%  
74 52% 59% Median
75 5% 6%  
76 0.6% 1.0%  
77 0% 0.4%  
78 0% 0.4% Last Result
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.2% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 0.6% 99.6%  
59 0.4% 99.1% Last Result
60 0.3% 98.7%  
61 0.3% 98%  
62 5% 98%  
63 0.3% 93%  
64 52% 92% Median
65 0.4% 40%  
66 2% 40%  
67 1.0% 37%  
68 36% 36%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.3% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.6%  
53 0.8% 99.6%  
54 0.3% 98.8%  
55 0.2% 98% Last Result
56 0.2% 98%  
57 58% 98% Median
58 0.5% 40%  
59 2% 40%  
60 1.3% 38%  
61 0.3% 36%  
62 0.2% 36%  
63 36% 36%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.2% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.8%  
52 0.2% 99.7%  
53 0.1% 99.5%  
54 0.6% 99.4%  
55 0.5% 98.8%  
56 38% 98%  
57 5% 60%  
58 52% 54% Median
59 0.8% 2%  
60 0.1% 1.4%  
61 0.7% 1.3%  
62 0.1% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.4%  
64 0% 0.4% Last Result
65 0.1% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0.4% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 99.5%  
28 0.8% 98.7%  
29 0.4% 98%  
30 6% 98%  
31 52% 92% Median
32 0.2% 39%  
33 1.5% 39%  
34 37% 38%  
35 0.8% 0.8%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations