Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 29 November–5 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.7% 24.0–27.6% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
Venstre 23.4% 16.4% 14.9–17.9% 14.5–18.4% 14.2–18.8% 13.5–19.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.3–18.2%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 10.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.5–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.4% 7.3–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.3–10.9%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 41–51 41–53 41–53 40–53
Venstre 43 30 26–32 26–33 25–34 24–35
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 25–30 23–31 22–32 22–33
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 19 17–21 16–22 15–22 14–24
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 13–17 13–18 13–18 12–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–16
Radikale Venstre 16 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 8–16
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–13
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.9% 99.8%  
41 10% 98.9%  
42 10% 89%  
43 4% 79%  
44 5% 75%  
45 4% 70%  
46 21% 66% Median
47 4% 44%  
48 11% 40% Last Result
49 4% 29%  
50 2% 25%  
51 14% 23%  
52 3% 10%  
53 7% 7%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.9%  
25 3% 99.4%  
26 17% 96%  
27 2% 79%  
28 6% 77%  
29 10% 71%  
30 15% 61% Median
31 33% 46%  
32 6% 12%  
33 3% 7%  
34 3% 4%  
35 0.3% 0.7%  
36 0.3% 0.4%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.2% 100%  
22 3% 99.8%  
23 2% 97%  
24 3% 95%  
25 3% 92%  
26 17% 89%  
27 15% 72%  
28 27% 57% Median
29 19% 30%  
30 5% 11%  
31 2% 6%  
32 2% 4%  
33 1.1% 1.3%  
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100% Last Result
14 2% 99.9%  
15 2% 98%  
16 5% 97%  
17 11% 92%  
18 30% 81%  
19 16% 51% Median
20 8% 35%  
21 22% 27%  
22 3% 5%  
23 1.3% 2%  
24 0.5% 0.6%  
25 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.4% 99.9%  
12 1.2% 99.5%  
13 9% 98%  
14 25% 89% Last Result
15 32% 64% Median
16 16% 32%  
17 10% 16%  
18 5% 7%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 8% 98%  
11 10% 90%  
12 41% 80% Median
13 29% 39%  
14 7% 9%  
15 0.9% 2%  
16 1.0% 1.1% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.7% 100%  
9 6% 99.3%  
10 10% 93%  
11 19% 83%  
12 28% 63% Median
13 25% 35%  
14 3% 10%  
15 6% 7%  
16 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9%  
7 6% 98%  
8 36% 91%  
9 28% 55% Median
10 19% 27%  
11 5% 7%  
12 1.5% 2%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100%  
1 0% 71%  
2 0% 71%  
3 0% 71%  
4 28% 70% Last Result, Median
5 30% 42%  
6 11% 12%  
7 1.2% 1.4%  
8 0.2% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 18%  
2 0% 18%  
3 0% 18%  
4 13% 18%  
5 5% 5%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Median
1 0% 1.2%  
2 0% 1.2%  
3 0% 1.2%  
4 1.1% 1.2%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 78% 87–96 86–97 86–98 84–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 93 77% 87–96 86–97 86–98 84–100
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 1.0% 78–87 78–88 76–89 75–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0.3% 78–86 77–87 76–88 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 82 0.1% 76–85 75–86 74–87 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 82 0.1% 76–85 75–86 74–86 72–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 73 0% 69–78 69–79 68–80 66–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 69–77 69–77 67–79 65–81
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 74 0% 69–78 67–79 67–79 65–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 57–64 56–65 55–66 53–68
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 53–63 53–64 52–65 50–66
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 57 0% 53–60 53–61 51–63 50–64
Venstre 43 30 0% 26–32 26–33 25–34 24–35

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.7% 99.7%  
85 0.2% 98.9%  
86 5% 98.7%  
87 5% 94%  
88 8% 90%  
89 4% 81%  
90 7% 78% Majority
91 7% 71%  
92 12% 64% Median
93 4% 52%  
94 4% 48%  
95 29% 44%  
96 6% 15% Last Result
97 7% 10%  
98 0.6% 3%  
99 1.5% 2%  
100 0.5% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.8% 99.7%  
85 0.2% 98.9%  
86 5% 98.7%  
87 5% 94%  
88 8% 89%  
89 4% 81%  
90 7% 77% Majority
91 7% 71% Last Result
92 12% 64% Median
93 5% 52%  
94 4% 47%  
95 29% 44%  
96 6% 15%  
97 7% 9%  
98 0.6% 3%  
99 1.4% 2%  
100 0.2% 0.6%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.7%  
75 0.7% 99.5%  
76 1.5% 98.8%  
77 2% 97%  
78 7% 95%  
79 6% 88% Last Result
80 29% 83%  
81 3% 54%  
82 5% 51%  
83 12% 46% Median
84 7% 34%  
85 9% 28%  
86 3% 19%  
87 7% 15%  
88 4% 8%  
89 3% 4%  
90 0.1% 1.0% Majority
91 0.7% 0.9%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.4% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.2%  
76 3% 98%  
77 2% 96%  
78 9% 94%  
79 7% 85% Last Result
80 29% 78%  
81 6% 49%  
82 3% 42%  
83 15% 39% Median
84 7% 24%  
85 7% 18%  
86 2% 11%  
87 5% 9%  
88 2% 3%  
89 1.1% 1.4%  
90 0.1% 0.3% Majority
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.3% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.7%  
73 0.4% 99.5%  
74 3% 99.1%  
75 4% 96%  
76 9% 92%  
77 6% 83%  
78 10% 77%  
79 4% 66%  
80 5% 62% Last Result, Median
81 5% 57%  
82 18% 52%  
83 20% 34%  
84 3% 14%  
85 2% 12%  
86 7% 10%  
87 0.8% 3%  
88 1.5% 2%  
89 0.2% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.3% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.7%  
73 0.4% 99.5%  
74 3% 99.1%  
75 4% 96% Last Result
76 9% 92%  
77 6% 83%  
78 11% 77%  
79 4% 66%  
80 5% 62% Median
81 5% 57%  
82 18% 52%  
83 20% 34%  
84 2% 13%  
85 2% 11%  
86 7% 9%  
87 0.5% 2%  
88 1.4% 2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.6%  
67 0.8% 99.1%  
68 2% 98%  
69 10% 97%  
70 5% 87%  
71 2% 82%  
72 28% 79%  
73 7% 51%  
74 12% 44% Median
75 4% 32% Last Result
76 7% 27%  
77 9% 21%  
78 3% 12%  
79 4% 9%  
80 3% 5%  
81 1.1% 2%  
82 0.2% 0.7%  
83 0.5% 0.5%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 99.7%  
66 1.0% 99.3%  
67 1.0% 98%  
68 2% 97%  
69 12% 95%  
70 6% 83%  
71 4% 77%  
72 29% 73%  
73 7% 45%  
74 16% 37% Median
75 4% 22% Last Result
76 8% 18%  
77 6% 10%  
78 0.7% 4%  
79 2% 3%  
80 0.3% 1.3%  
81 0.9% 0.9%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 1.1% 99.9%  
66 0.8% 98.8%  
67 3% 98%  
68 4% 95%  
69 8% 91%  
70 2% 82%  
71 3% 80%  
72 11% 77%  
73 9% 66% Median
74 22% 57%  
75 3% 35%  
76 6% 31%  
77 15% 25%  
78 1.4% 11% Last Result
79 8% 9%  
80 0.3% 1.0%  
81 0.4% 0.7%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.2% 99.7%  
53 0.6% 99.6%  
54 0.6% 99.0%  
55 1.3% 98%  
56 4% 97%  
57 9% 93%  
58 5% 84%  
59 18% 79% Last Result
60 18% 61%  
61 7% 43%  
62 12% 36% Median
63 7% 24%  
64 9% 17%  
65 4% 8%  
66 2% 4%  
67 0.8% 2%  
68 1.3% 1.4%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.8% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.2%  
52 4% 98.8%  
53 9% 95%  
54 4% 86%  
55 3% 83%  
56 9% 80%  
57 12% 71%  
58 5% 59% Median
59 20% 54%  
60 7% 34%  
61 2% 27%  
62 3% 25%  
63 13% 22%  
64 6% 9% Last Result
65 0.4% 3%  
66 2% 2%  
67 0.2% 0.4%  
68 0.2% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 0.5% 99.6%  
51 2% 99.2%  
52 2% 97%  
53 6% 95%  
54 15% 89%  
55 4% 74% Last Result
56 10% 70%  
57 11% 60%  
58 15% 49% Median
59 9% 34%  
60 19% 25%  
61 2% 6%  
62 1.4% 4%  
63 0.5% 3%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.5% 99.9%  
25 3% 99.4%  
26 17% 96%  
27 2% 79%  
28 6% 77%  
29 10% 71%  
30 15% 61% Median
31 33% 46%  
32 6% 12%  
33 3% 7%  
34 3% 4%  
35 0.3% 0.7%  
36 0.3% 0.4%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations