Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 30 November–8 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.3% 25.0–27.7% 24.6–28.1% 24.3–28.5% 23.7–29.1%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.0% 14.9–17.2% 14.6–17.5% 14.4–17.8% 13.8–18.4%
Venstre 23.4% 14.6% 13.6–15.8% 13.3–16.1% 13.0–16.4% 12.5–16.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.9% 8.1–9.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.7–10.4% 7.3–10.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 7.0–8.7% 6.8–9.0% 6.6–9.2% 6.3–9.6%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 7.5% 6.8–8.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.4–8.9% 6.0–9.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.5% 5.8–7.4% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.8% 5.1–8.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 4.8% 4.2–5.5% 4.0–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.6–6.3%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.9% 1.6–2.4% 1.4–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.2–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.8% 0.6–1.2% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 46–48 45–50 44–51 43–52
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 27–29 26–30 26–32 25–32
Venstre 43 27 25–30 25–30 25–30 23–31
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 16–17 15–17 14–18 13–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 13 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 13–14 12–15 12–15 12–17
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–14 10–14 10–15 10–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–12
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 4–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 4 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 1.4% 99.9%  
44 2% 98.6%  
45 3% 97%  
46 32% 93%  
47 16% 61% Median
48 35% 45% Last Result
49 4% 10%  
50 2% 6%  
51 3% 4%  
52 1.0% 1.3%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 1.3% 100%  
26 4% 98.7%  
27 15% 95%  
28 41% 80% Median
29 33% 39%  
30 3% 6%  
31 0.3% 3%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 1.0% 99.3%  
25 8% 98%  
26 3% 90%  
27 42% 87% Median
28 5% 45%  
29 5% 40%  
30 34% 35%  
31 1.1% 1.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.5% 100%  
14 3% 99.5% Last Result
15 2% 96%  
16 9% 94%  
17 81% 84% Median
18 3% 4%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 2% 99.9%  
12 29% 98%  
13 51% 69% Last Result, Median
14 6% 19%  
15 9% 13%  
16 1.1% 4%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.3% 100%  
12 5% 99.7%  
13 42% 95%  
14 45% 52% Median
15 5% 7%  
16 0.9% 2%  
17 0.9% 0.9%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 14% 99.8%  
11 68% 86% Median
12 3% 18%  
13 4% 15%  
14 6% 11%  
15 5% 5%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 3% 100%  
8 8% 97%  
9 46% 89% Median
10 29% 43%  
11 13% 14%  
12 1.4% 1.4%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0% 99.9%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 5% 99.9% Last Result
5 52% 95% Median
6 42% 43%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 49% 100% Last Result
1 0% 51%  
2 0% 51%  
3 0% 51%  
4 49% 51% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 19% 86–92 86–93 85–94 83–96
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 89 19% 86–92 86–93 85–94 83–96
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 86 5% 82–89 82–89 81–90 79–92
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 85 0.1% 82–86 81–86 80–87 77–88
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 78 0% 75–80 74–80 73–81 72–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 78 0% 75–80 74–80 73–81 72–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 75 0% 74–78 74–80 71–80 70–81
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 69–76 68–76 68–77 65–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 68–72 67–72 66–73 65–74
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 62 0% 59–63 59–63 57–64 57–65
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 57–61 57–62 55–64 54–64
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 56 0% 54–58 53–58 52–59 51–60
Venstre 43 27 0% 25–30 25–30 25–30 23–31

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 2% 99.9%  
84 0% 98%  
85 2% 98%  
86 25% 95%  
87 15% 70%  
88 2% 55% Median
89 33% 52%  
90 0.8% 19% Majority
91 4% 18%  
92 5% 14%  
93 7% 10%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.1% 1.0%  
96 0.8% 0.9% Last Result
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 2% 99.9%  
84 0% 98%  
85 2% 98%  
86 25% 95%  
87 15% 70%  
88 2% 55% Median
89 33% 52%  
90 0.8% 19% Majority
91 4% 18% Last Result
92 5% 14%  
93 7% 10%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.1% 1.0%  
96 0.8% 0.9%  
97 0.1% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.8% 99.9% Last Result
80 0.4% 99.1%  
81 2% 98.7%  
82 7% 97%  
83 5% 90%  
84 3% 85%  
85 0.8% 82%  
86 33% 81%  
87 2% 48% Median
88 15% 45%  
89 25% 30%  
90 2% 5% Majority
91 0% 2%  
92 2% 2%  
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.4% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.5%  
79 2% 99.2% Last Result
80 2% 98%  
81 2% 95%  
82 7% 94%  
83 6% 86% Median
84 16% 80%  
85 26% 64%  
86 36% 39%  
87 2% 3%  
88 1.1% 1.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 2% 99.9%  
73 3% 98%  
74 3% 95%  
75 26% 92%  
76 0.5% 67%  
77 15% 66% Median
78 39% 51%  
79 1.0% 12%  
80 6% 11% Last Result
81 3% 5%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 2% 99.9%  
73 3% 98%  
74 3% 95%  
75 26% 92% Last Result
76 0.5% 67%  
77 15% 66% Median
78 39% 51%  
79 1.0% 12%  
80 6% 11%  
81 3% 5%  
82 2% 2%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 2% 100%  
71 0.8% 98%  
72 0.2% 97%  
73 0.6% 97%  
74 44% 96%  
75 3% 53% Median
76 35% 49%  
77 2% 14%  
78 6% 12% Last Result
79 0.6% 6%  
80 4% 6%  
81 1.0% 1.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.8% 100%  
66 1.1% 99.2%  
67 0.3% 98%  
68 5% 98%  
69 4% 92%  
70 4% 88%  
71 2% 83%  
72 34% 81%  
73 5% 48% Median
74 0.9% 43%  
75 13% 42% Last Result
76 25% 29%  
77 2% 4%  
78 1.0% 2%  
79 1.2% 1.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 1.1% 99.6%  
66 3% 98%  
67 0.9% 95%  
68 5% 94%  
69 8% 89% Median
70 4% 80%  
71 13% 77%  
72 59% 63%  
73 2% 4%  
74 2% 2%  
75 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 2% 99.6%  
58 2% 97%  
59 8% 95% Last Result
60 15% 88% Median
61 7% 73%  
62 29% 65%  
63 33% 37%  
64 3% 3%  
65 0.3% 0.5%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 1.3% 100%  
55 2% 98.6%  
56 0.2% 97%  
57 40% 97%  
58 2% 57% Median
59 37% 55%  
60 5% 17%  
61 5% 13%  
62 3% 8%  
63 0.2% 4%  
64 4% 4% Last Result
65 0.3% 0.4%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 1.1% 99.7%  
52 1.5% 98.6%  
53 3% 97%  
54 21% 95%  
55 3% 74% Last Result, Median
56 29% 71%  
57 6% 42%  
58 33% 36%  
59 2% 3%  
60 1.1% 1.3%  
61 0.2% 0.3%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.2% 99.9%  
23 0.5% 99.8%  
24 1.0% 99.3%  
25 8% 98%  
26 3% 90%  
27 42% 87% Median
28 5% 45%  
29 5% 40%  
30 34% 35%  
31 1.1% 1.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations