Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 6–11 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.3% 22.8–26.0% 22.3–26.5% 21.9–26.9% 21.2–27.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.3% 15.0–17.8% 14.6–18.2% 14.3–18.6% 13.7–19.3%
Venstre 23.4% 15.8% 14.5–17.3% 14.1–17.7% 13.8–18.1% 13.2–18.8%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.3–11.2% 8.1–11.5% 7.6–12.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.7% 7.6–10.9% 7.1–11.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.3% 5.5–7.4% 5.3–7.7% 5.1–7.9% 4.7–8.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.8–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.6% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.8% 4.4–7.1% 4.0–7.5%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.9–3.4% 1.8–3.6% 1.5–4.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 2.1% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.1% 1.2–3.4%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.7–2.6%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 41–46 41–46 40–47 39–49
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 29 27–31 26–31 26–32 24–34
Venstre 43 29 27–30 26–30 25–30 25–33
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 16–18 15–19 15–20 14–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 16–19 15–19 13–19 12–20
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–12 10–13 10–14 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 10–11 9–12 8–13 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 8–12 8–12 8–13 7–13
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 0–6 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.7% 99.8%  
40 4% 99.1%  
41 6% 95%  
42 3% 89%  
43 6% 86%  
44 24% 80%  
45 3% 57%  
46 49% 54% Median
47 3% 5%  
48 1.0% 2% Last Result
49 1.0% 1.2%  
50 0.2% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.8%  
25 1.4% 99.4%  
26 6% 98%  
27 2% 92%  
28 2% 90%  
29 48% 88% Median
30 22% 40%  
31 15% 18%  
32 1.5% 3%  
33 0.9% 2%  
34 0.5% 0.9%  
35 0.3% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 3% 99.7%  
26 7% 97%  
27 28% 91%  
28 10% 63%  
29 8% 53% Median
30 43% 44%  
31 0.5% 2%  
32 0.6% 1.2%  
33 0.4% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100% Last Result
14 2% 99.8%  
15 3% 98%  
16 43% 95%  
17 23% 52% Median
18 22% 28%  
19 2% 6%  
20 3% 4%  
21 0.8% 1.0%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 2% 99.4%  
14 2% 97% Last Result
15 3% 95%  
16 32% 93%  
17 13% 60% Median
18 5% 48%  
19 41% 43%  
20 2% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 2% 99.9%  
10 32% 98%  
11 50% 66% Median
12 10% 16%  
13 2% 6%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.5% 0.6%  
16 0% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 3% 100%  
9 3% 97%  
10 20% 94%  
11 65% 74% Median
12 6% 10%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 1.2% 100%  
8 42% 98.7%  
9 6% 56%  
10 29% 50% Median
11 5% 21%  
12 11% 16%  
13 4% 5%  
14 0.5% 0.5%  
15 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100%  
1 0% 94%  
2 0% 94%  
3 0% 94%  
4 10% 94% Last Result
5 77% 85% Median
6 7% 7%  
7 0.3% 0.4%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 51% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 49%  
2 0% 49%  
3 0% 49%  
4 32% 49%  
5 16% 17%  
6 1.4% 1.4%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 95% 100% Median
1 0% 5%  
2 0% 5%  
3 0% 5%  
4 5% 5%  
5 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 56% 86–92 84–92 84–94 82–96
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 91 56% 84–92 84–92 83–92 81–95
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 84 9% 83–89 83–91 81–91 79–93
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 83 0.5% 81–86 80–86 79–86 77–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0% 76–81 74–81 74–83 71–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 79 0% 74–81 73–81 73–82 71–85
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 75 0% 74–79 71–79 71–80 69–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 67–76 67–76 66–77 64–77
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 74 0% 71–75 70–75 69–75 68–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 64 0% 60–64 58–64 57–65 56–67
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 58 0% 55–59 55–59 54–61 52–62
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 57 0% 51–57 51–58 50–60 50–60
Venstre 43 29 0% 27–30 26–30 25–30 25–33

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.4% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.6% 99.6%  
83 0.2% 99.0%  
84 6% 98.8%  
85 2% 93%  
86 4% 91%  
87 5% 87%  
88 5% 83%  
89 21% 78%  
90 4% 56% Majority
91 5% 53% Median
92 44% 47%  
93 0.7% 3%  
94 0.8% 3%  
95 1.4% 2%  
96 0.3% 0.6% Last Result
97 0% 0.2%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.4% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.6% 99.5%  
83 4% 98.9%  
84 6% 95%  
85 2% 90%  
86 4% 88%  
87 2% 84%  
88 5% 82%  
89 21% 77%  
90 4% 56% Majority
91 5% 51% Last Result, Median
92 44% 46%  
93 0.5% 2%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 1.2% 2%  
96 0.3% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
80 1.4% 99.4%  
81 0.8% 98%  
82 0.7% 97%  
83 44% 97%  
84 5% 53% Median
85 4% 47%  
86 21% 44%  
87 5% 22%  
88 5% 17%  
89 4% 13%  
90 2% 9% Majority
91 6% 7%  
92 0.2% 1.2%  
93 0.6% 1.0%  
94 0.1% 0.4%  
95 0.4% 0.4%  
96 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.6%  
78 0.8% 99.2%  
79 2% 98% Last Result
80 3% 96%  
81 4% 93%  
82 23% 89%  
83 43% 66%  
84 11% 23% Median
85 2% 12%  
86 8% 10%  
87 0.6% 2%  
88 0.4% 1.2%  
89 0.3% 0.8%  
90 0% 0.5% Majority
91 0.4% 0.4%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.4% 100%  
70 0% 99.6%  
71 0.6% 99.6%  
72 0.1% 99.0%  
73 0.8% 98.8%  
74 6% 98%  
75 2% 92%  
76 2% 90%  
77 4% 89%  
78 27% 84%  
79 6% 57%  
80 5% 51% Last Result, Median
81 42% 46%  
82 0.5% 3%  
83 1.2% 3%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.8%  
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.4% 100%  
70 0% 99.6%  
71 0.7% 99.6%  
72 0.1% 98.9%  
73 4% 98.8%  
74 6% 95%  
75 2% 89% Last Result
76 2% 86%  
77 1.1% 84%  
78 27% 83%  
79 6% 56%  
80 5% 50% Median
81 42% 45%  
82 0.7% 3%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.7% 1.3%  
85 0.4% 0.6%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 1.1% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 98.6%  
71 4% 98%  
72 2% 94%  
73 1.2% 92%  
74 6% 91% Median
75 43% 85% Last Result
76 19% 42%  
77 6% 23%  
78 6% 17%  
79 7% 10%  
80 0.6% 3%  
81 1.2% 2%  
82 0.7% 1.2%  
83 0.1% 0.5%  
84 0.1% 0.4%  
85 0% 0.4%  
86 0.4% 0.4%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 4% 99.3%  
67 7% 96%  
68 1.2% 89%  
69 5% 88%  
70 3% 83%  
71 22% 80%  
72 4% 58%  
73 4% 54%  
74 5% 50% Median
75 0.7% 45%  
76 41% 44%  
77 3% 3%  
78 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 2% 99.7%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 7% 93%  
72 26% 87%  
73 3% 61%  
74 13% 58% Median
75 43% 45% Last Result
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0.3% 1.4%  
78 0.5% 1.1%  
79 0.1% 0.6%  
80 0% 0.5%  
81 0% 0.4%  
82 0.4% 0.4%  
83 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0.3% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 99.6%  
57 4% 99.3%  
58 2% 96%  
59 2% 93% Last Result
60 6% 91%  
61 9% 85%  
62 20% 76%  
63 5% 56% Median
64 49% 52%  
65 0.9% 3%  
66 1.1% 2%  
67 0.4% 0.6%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.4% 100%  
52 0.6% 99.5%  
53 1.2% 99.0%  
54 2% 98%  
55 7% 95% Last Result
56 3% 89%  
57 27% 85%  
58 8% 58% Median
59 46% 50%  
60 0.5% 4%  
61 1.5% 3%  
62 1.2% 1.5%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.3% 99.9%  
50 4% 99.6%  
51 10% 96%  
52 0.9% 86%  
53 3% 85%  
54 5% 82%  
55 19% 77%  
56 5% 58%  
57 48% 53% Median
58 2% 5%  
59 0.4% 3%  
60 3% 3%  
61 0.3% 0.4%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0% Last Result

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 3% 99.7%  
26 7% 97%  
27 28% 91%  
28 10% 63%  
29 8% 53% Median
30 43% 44%  
31 0.5% 2%  
32 0.6% 1.2%  
33 0.4% 0.6%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations