Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 20–23 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.3% 24.5–28.1% 24.1–28.6% 23.6–29.1% 22.8–29.9%
Venstre 23.4% 15.2% 13.8–16.7% 13.4–17.2% 13.1–17.6% 12.5–18.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.9–17.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.4–7.9% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.6% 2.0–3.3% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 47 46–52 44–52 43–52 41–53
Venstre 43 26 25–29 25–30 24–31 24–33
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 23–28 23–28 23–29 22–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 19 16–19 14–21 14–21 14–21
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 14–16 14–17 13–18 12–19
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–13 11–14 10–15 9–15
Radikale Venstre 16 11 11–13 11–14 10–14 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 12 10–12 10–13 9–13 8–14
Liberal Alliance 4 5 4–5 0–6 0–7 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 1.3% 99.8%  
42 0.5% 98.5%  
43 0.8% 98%  
44 4% 97%  
45 1.4% 94%  
46 9% 92%  
47 53% 84% Median
48 3% 31% Last Result
49 4% 28%  
50 6% 24%  
51 5% 18%  
52 11% 13%  
53 1.3% 1.4%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.6%  
25 7% 97%  
26 58% 90% Median
27 12% 31%  
28 6% 19%  
29 5% 13%  
30 4% 8%  
31 3% 4%  
32 1.0% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.7%  
34 0.1% 0.3%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 1.2% 99.9%  
23 14% 98.6%  
24 7% 85%  
25 4% 78%  
26 7% 74%  
27 9% 67%  
28 55% 58% Median
29 2% 4%  
30 1.3% 2%  
31 0.1% 0.5%  
32 0.2% 0.4%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
14 5% 99.6%  
15 4% 95%  
16 3% 91%  
17 8% 88%  
18 3% 79%  
19 70% 77% Median
20 0.7% 6%  
21 6% 6%  
22 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 1.3% 98%  
14 56% 96% Last Result, Median
15 5% 41%  
16 27% 36%  
17 5% 8%  
18 2% 4%  
19 1.0% 1.5%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 0.4% 99.8%  
10 2% 99.4%  
11 8% 97%  
12 15% 89%  
13 65% 74% Median
14 6% 9%  
15 3% 3%  
16 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.6% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.4%  
10 1.4% 98%  
11 67% 97% Median
12 12% 30%  
13 10% 18%  
14 6% 8%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.9% 100%  
9 2% 99.1%  
10 17% 97%  
11 9% 80%  
12 61% 70% Median
13 8% 10%  
14 1.1% 1.4%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 0% 91%  
2 0% 91%  
3 0% 91%  
4 18% 91% Last Result
5 66% 73% Median
6 2% 7%  
7 5% 5%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 4%  
2 0% 4%  
3 0% 4%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3%  
5 1.0% 1.0% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 91 93% 91–98 89–100 87–100 84–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 91 93% 91–98 89–100 87–100 84–100
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 84 1.4% 77–84 75–86 75–88 75–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0% 79–87 77–87 75–87 72–87
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 84 1.2% 77–84 75–86 75–87 75–91
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 80 0% 78–87 77–87 75–87 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 72 0% 72–79 72–79 70–81 68–81
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 67–73 63–75 63–76 63–79
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 67–72 63–74 63–76 63–79
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 58–63 56–64 55–65 53–65
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 54–59 51–61 51–64 51–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 50–55 50–57 49–59 48–60
Venstre 43 26 0% 25–29 25–30 24–31 24–33

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.9% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 98.9%  
86 0.5% 98.6%  
87 1.0% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 2% 95%  
90 2% 93% Majority
91 53% 91% Median
92 1.2% 38%  
93 9% 37%  
94 3% 28%  
95 5% 26%  
96 3% 20% Last Result
97 1.3% 18%  
98 11% 16%  
99 0.2% 6%  
100 5% 6%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.9% 99.8%  
85 0.4% 98.9%  
86 0.5% 98%  
87 1.1% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 2% 95%  
90 3% 93% Majority
91 53% 90% Last Result, Median
92 1.3% 37%  
93 10% 35%  
94 2% 26%  
95 5% 23%  
96 2% 18%  
97 0.4% 17%  
98 11% 16%  
99 0.1% 5%  
100 5% 5%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 5% 99.9%  
76 0.2% 94%  
77 11% 94%  
78 1.3% 84%  
79 3% 82% Last Result
80 5% 80%  
81 3% 74%  
82 9% 72%  
83 1.2% 63%  
84 53% 62% Median
85 2% 9%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.9% 3%  
89 0.5% 2%  
90 0.3% 1.4% Majority
91 0.9% 1.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 1.0% 100%  
73 0.6% 98.9%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 0.4% 98%  
76 1.1% 97%  
77 4% 96%  
78 2% 93%  
79 2% 90%  
80 54% 89% Last Result, Median
81 10% 35%  
82 2% 25%  
83 3% 23%  
84 2% 21%  
85 2% 18%  
86 0.1% 17%  
87 16% 16%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 6% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 94%  
77 11% 94%  
78 2% 82%  
79 2% 81% Last Result
80 5% 79%  
81 4% 73%  
82 9% 69%  
83 1.3% 61%  
84 53% 59% Median
85 0.8% 6%  
86 2% 6%  
87 2% 4%  
88 0.5% 2%  
89 0.4% 2%  
90 0.1% 1.2% Majority
91 0.9% 1.0%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 1.1% 99.9%  
73 0.6% 98.9%  
74 0.7% 98%  
75 0.9% 98% Last Result
76 1.2% 97%  
77 4% 96%  
78 2% 92%  
79 1.3% 90%  
80 55% 89% Median
81 11% 34%  
82 2% 23%  
83 3% 21%  
84 2% 18%  
85 0.2% 16%  
86 0.1% 16%  
87 16% 16%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.2% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 1.2% 99.6%  
69 0.6% 98%  
70 2% 98%  
71 0.8% 96%  
72 53% 95% Median
73 0.9% 42%  
74 9% 41%  
75 3% 32%  
76 4% 29%  
77 0.8% 26%  
78 2% 25% Last Result
79 18% 22%  
80 0.3% 4%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.3% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 5% 100%  
64 0.3% 95%  
65 0% 94%  
66 0.5% 94%  
67 14% 94%  
68 2% 80%  
69 5% 78%  
70 5% 73%  
71 5% 67%  
72 51% 62% Median
73 2% 11%  
74 3% 9%  
75 1.1% 6% Last Result
76 2% 5%  
77 0.4% 2%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 5% 100%  
64 0.4% 95%  
65 0.1% 94%  
66 0.6% 94%  
67 14% 93%  
68 2% 79%  
69 6% 77%  
70 6% 71%  
71 5% 65%  
72 53% 61% Median
73 2% 8%  
74 2% 6%  
75 0.9% 4% Last Result
76 1.1% 3%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 0.2% 2%  
79 1.2% 1.4%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0% 99.8%  
53 2% 99.7%  
54 0.5% 98%  
55 1.1% 98%  
56 2% 97%  
57 2% 94%  
58 59% 92% Median
59 2% 33%  
60 3% 31%  
61 2% 28%  
62 4% 26%  
63 17% 22%  
64 2% 5% Last Result
65 4% 4%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 5% 100%  
52 0.1% 95%  
53 0.7% 94%  
54 13% 94%  
55 1.4% 81%  
56 5% 80%  
57 1.3% 75%  
58 10% 74%  
59 54% 64% Last Result, Median
60 3% 10%  
61 2% 7%  
62 1.2% 4%  
63 0.5% 3%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.2% 0.4%  
66 0% 0.2%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 1.1% 99.9%  
49 2% 98.8%  
50 12% 97%  
51 7% 85%  
52 4% 79%  
53 9% 75%  
54 54% 65% Median
55 2% 11% Last Result
56 2% 9%  
57 3% 6%  
58 0.8% 3%  
59 1.5% 3%  
60 0.8% 1.1%  
61 0.1% 0.3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.6%  
25 7% 97%  
26 58% 90% Median
27 12% 31%  
28 6% 19%  
29 5% 13%  
30 4% 8%  
31 3% 4%  
32 1.0% 2%  
33 0.3% 0.7%  
34 0.1% 0.3%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations