Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 3–8 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.0% 23.4–26.9% 22.9–27.4% 22.5–27.8% 21.7–28.7%
Venstre 23.4% 16.5% 15.0–18.1% 14.6–18.5% 14.3–18.9% 13.6–19.7%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.5%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.8–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.8% 1.4–2.5% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.8% 1.0–3.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 44–48 43–48 42–48 39–51
Venstre 43 30 28–32 27–33 27–33 24–36
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 28 25–29 24–29 24–31 22–32
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 14–17 14–19 13–19 13–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 15 14–17 14–18 14–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 12 11–15 10–15 10–16 10–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–13 9–13 9–15 8–15
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–12 9–13 9–13 8–15
Liberal Alliance 4 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0–4
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0.1% 99.9%  
39 0.7% 99.8%  
40 0.7% 99.1%  
41 0.8% 98%  
42 2% 98%  
43 2% 95%  
44 12% 93%  
45 13% 81%  
46 52% 67% Median
47 4% 16%  
48 10% 11% Last Result
49 0.3% 1.2%  
50 0.3% 0.8%  
51 0.4% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.6% 99.9%  
25 0.6% 99.3%  
26 0.6% 98.7%  
27 3% 98%  
28 6% 95%  
29 8% 89%  
30 54% 81% Median
31 13% 26%  
32 6% 14%  
33 6% 8%  
34 0.8% 2%  
35 0.3% 1.2%  
36 0.9% 0.9%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.4% 99.9%  
23 1.1% 99.5%  
24 4% 98%  
25 10% 95%  
26 9% 84%  
27 13% 75%  
28 13% 62% Median
29 44% 49%  
30 1.5% 5%  
31 2% 3%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 4% 99.6% Last Result
14 17% 96%  
15 5% 78%  
16 53% 74% Median
17 13% 21%  
18 1.3% 8%  
19 6% 6%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.7% 99.9%  
13 2% 99.2%  
14 16% 98% Last Result
15 53% 82% Median
16 18% 29%  
17 6% 12%  
18 3% 6%  
19 2% 3%  
20 0.6% 1.1%  
21 0.4% 0.4%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.3% 100%  
10 5% 99.7%  
11 7% 95%  
12 56% 87% Median
13 19% 31%  
14 2% 12%  
15 8% 10%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.4%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.7% 100%  
9 6% 99.3%  
10 4% 93%  
11 10% 89%  
12 54% 79% Median
13 21% 26%  
14 1.1% 5%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9%  
9 10% 98%  
10 51% 88% Median
11 19% 36%  
12 11% 17%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.3% 0.9%  
15 0.4% 0.5%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 17% 100%  
1 0% 83%  
2 0% 83%  
3 0% 83%  
4 12% 83% Last Result
5 61% 71% Median
6 9% 10%  
7 0.6% 0.9%  
8 0.3% 0.3%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 23%  
2 0% 23%  
3 0% 23%  
4 22% 23%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Median
1 0% 1.5%  
2 0% 1.5%  
3 0% 1.5%  
4 1.4% 1.4%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 22% 87–91 86–94 85–96 84–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 89 22% 87–91 85–94 85–96 83–97
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 86 5% 81–88 81–89 79–90 78–91
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 86 0.4% 80–87 78–87 78–88 75–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 77 0% 75–79 74–81 73–83 70–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 77 0% 75–78 74–80 73–82 70–85
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 76 0% 71–77 70–79 68–80 66–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 71–76 69–77 69–79 67–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 76 0% 69–76 67–77 67–77 63–80
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 64 0% 58–64 55–64 55–65 52–70
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 55–60 54–61 53–62 51–64
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 59 0% 55–59 55–59 52–61 51–65
Venstre 43 30 0% 28–32 27–33 27–33 24–36

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0% 99.7%  
83 0.2% 99.7%  
84 0.7% 99.5%  
85 4% 98.8%  
86 1.0% 95%  
87 5% 94%  
88 17% 89%  
89 50% 72% Median
90 8% 22% Majority
91 5% 15%  
92 0.4% 9%  
93 1.4% 9%  
94 4% 7%  
95 0.2% 4%  
96 2% 4% Last Result
97 0.9% 1.2%  
98 0% 0.3%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.2% 0.2%  
101 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.2% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.7%  
83 0.2% 99.6%  
84 0.8% 99.4%  
85 4% 98.7%  
86 1.0% 95%  
87 5% 94%  
88 17% 89%  
89 49% 71% Median
90 8% 22% Majority
91 5% 14% Last Result
92 1.0% 9%  
93 1.4% 8%  
94 4% 7%  
95 0.1% 3%  
96 2% 3%  
97 0.9% 1.1%  
98 0% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0.9% 99.7%  
79 2% 98.8% Last Result
80 0.2% 96%  
81 10% 96%  
82 6% 86%  
83 0.4% 80%  
84 5% 80%  
85 2% 75% Median
86 45% 73%  
87 17% 28%  
88 5% 11%  
89 0.8% 6%  
90 4% 5% Majority
91 0.7% 1.2%  
92 0.1% 0.4%  
93 0% 0.3%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.5% 100%  
76 0.2% 99.4%  
77 0.2% 99.2%  
78 6% 99.1%  
79 2% 93% Last Result
80 2% 91%  
81 10% 88%  
82 1.2% 79%  
83 8% 77%  
84 5% 69%  
85 2% 64% Median
86 48% 62%  
87 10% 14%  
88 3% 4%  
89 0.7% 1.1%  
90 0.1% 0.4% Majority
91 0.3% 0.3%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.4% 99.9%  
71 0.5% 99.5%  
72 0.4% 99.0%  
73 2% 98.6%  
74 7% 97%  
75 6% 90%  
76 16% 84%  
77 56% 68% Median
78 2% 13%  
79 4% 10%  
80 0.5% 6% Last Result
81 1.3% 5%  
82 1.5% 4%  
83 0.7% 3%  
84 1.3% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.7%  
86 0% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.5% 99.9%  
71 0.6% 99.4%  
72 0.6% 98.8%  
73 2% 98%  
74 7% 97%  
75 6% 90% Last Result
76 16% 84%  
77 56% 68% Median
78 2% 12%  
79 4% 10%  
80 1.1% 6%  
81 1.3% 5%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 0.7% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.1%  
85 0.4% 0.6%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.3% 99.8%  
67 1.3% 99.4%  
68 2% 98%  
69 0.5% 96%  
70 0.8% 96%  
71 8% 95%  
72 10% 87%  
73 0.7% 77%  
74 2% 76%  
75 11% 74% Last Result, Median
76 52% 64%  
77 5% 12%  
78 1.0% 7%  
79 4% 6%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.1% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 0.8% 99.5%  
69 4% 98.7%  
70 2% 94%  
71 4% 92%  
72 4% 88%  
73 54% 84% Median
74 18% 30%  
75 1.3% 12%  
76 1.3% 11%  
77 5% 10%  
78 2% 4% Last Result
79 1.1% 3%  
80 1.1% 1.5%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.4% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.5%  
65 0.2% 99.5%  
66 0.5% 99.2%  
67 6% 98.8%  
68 2% 93%  
69 0.6% 91%  
70 1.2% 90%  
71 6% 89%  
72 17% 83%  
73 0.7% 66%  
74 3% 65%  
75 12% 62% Last Result, Median
76 44% 50%  
77 5% 6%  
78 0.1% 1.1%  
79 0.3% 1.0%  
80 0.7% 0.7%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.4% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.5%  
53 0% 99.4%  
54 0.1% 99.4%  
55 5% 99.3%  
56 2% 94%  
57 2% 92%  
58 1.5% 91%  
59 10% 89% Last Result
60 6% 79%  
61 7% 73%  
62 13% 66%  
63 2% 54% Median
64 48% 52%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.2% 2%  
67 0.8% 2%  
68 0.1% 0.8%  
69 0% 0.7%  
70 0.7% 0.7%  
71 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.8% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.1%  
53 3% 99.0%  
54 1.4% 96%  
55 6% 95%  
56 1.2% 89%  
57 7% 87%  
58 55% 81% Median
59 8% 25%  
60 11% 17%  
61 4% 6%  
62 0.9% 3%  
63 1.1% 2%  
64 0.4% 0.8% Last Result
65 0.4% 0.4%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 2% 99.8%  
52 1.2% 98%  
53 0.7% 97%  
54 0.6% 96%  
55 6% 95% Last Result
56 19% 89%  
57 3% 70%  
58 5% 67% Median
59 58% 62%  
60 1.1% 4%  
61 0.4% 3%  
62 0.1% 2%  
63 1.1% 2%  
64 0.2% 0.9%  
65 0.6% 0.7%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.6% 99.9%  
25 0.6% 99.3%  
26 0.6% 98.7%  
27 3% 98%  
28 6% 95%  
29 8% 89%  
30 54% 81% Median
31 13% 26%  
32 6% 14%  
33 6% 8%  
34 0.8% 2%  
35 0.3% 1.2%  
36 0.9% 0.9%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations