Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 10–16 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.8% 24.1–27.7% 23.6–28.2% 23.2–28.6% 22.4–29.5%
Venstre 23.4% 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.3–18.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 14.6% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.5% 7.4–9.7% 7.1–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.7–7.4%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 44–50 43–52 41–52 40–53
Venstre 43 28 25–30 23–31 23–32 22–33
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 26 23–31 23–31 22–31 21–32
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 13–19 13–20 13–21 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–21
Radikale Venstre 16 14 11–15 11–16 11–17 10–17
Nye Borgerlige 4 10 9–13 9–13 8–13 7–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–12 8–12 7–12 7–14
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–7 5–8 4–8 4–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0–4 0–4
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 1.1% 99.6%  
41 1.2% 98.6%  
42 1.0% 97%  
43 5% 96%  
44 7% 91%  
45 27% 84%  
46 11% 57% Median
47 13% 46%  
48 3% 33% Last Result
49 19% 30%  
50 4% 11%  
51 2% 7%  
52 5% 5%  
53 0.5% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.2% 99.9%  
23 4% 98.7%  
24 4% 95%  
25 8% 91%  
26 14% 83%  
27 19% 69%  
28 23% 51% Median
29 12% 28%  
30 9% 16%  
31 4% 7%  
32 1.4% 3%  
33 1.3% 1.5%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 1.5% 99.9%  
22 3% 98%  
23 11% 96%  
24 9% 85%  
25 10% 76%  
26 25% 67% Median
27 13% 41%  
28 8% 29%  
29 6% 20%  
30 2% 14%  
31 11% 13%  
32 1.0% 1.2%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 12% 99.7% Last Result
14 8% 88%  
15 8% 80%  
16 33% 72% Median
17 9% 39%  
18 9% 30%  
19 12% 21%  
20 7% 9%  
21 0.8% 3%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.1% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.7% 100%  
12 5% 99.3%  
13 5% 94%  
14 18% 89% Last Result
15 12% 70%  
16 8% 58%  
17 34% 51% Median
18 9% 16%  
19 6% 8%  
20 0.4% 2%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 2% 99.9%  
11 9% 98%  
12 16% 90%  
13 23% 74%  
14 33% 50% Median
15 8% 17%  
16 6% 9% Last Result
17 3% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.5% 100%  
8 3% 99.5%  
9 16% 96%  
10 35% 80% Median
11 13% 45%  
12 10% 32%  
13 20% 21%  
14 0.7% 1.1%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.2% 100%  
7 4% 99.8%  
8 12% 96%  
9 23% 84%  
10 39% 61% Median
11 11% 22%  
12 10% 11%  
13 0.7% 1.4%  
14 0.7% 0.8%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0% 99.8%  
2 0% 99.8%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 4% 99.8% Last Result
5 37% 96%  
6 32% 58% Median
7 19% 26%  
8 6% 7%  
9 0.4% 0.7%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 8%  
2 0% 8%  
3 1.3% 8%  
4 6% 6%  
5 0.5% 0.6%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Median
1 0% 3%  
2 0% 3%  
3 0% 3%  
4 2% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 84% 89–95 87–96 86–97 84–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 93 83% 88–95 87–96 86–97 84–99
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0.2% 76–84 76–86 75–86 73–88
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0.1% 76–83 75–86 75–86 72–88
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 79 0% 75–83 73–83 73–85 71–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 79 0% 74–83 73–83 73–85 71–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 76 0% 72–80 71–81 70–81 68–83
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 69 0% 66–73 65–75 64–76 62–78
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 69 0% 65–73 65–74 63–74 62–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 57–63 56–65 54–67 52–67
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 56–63 55–64 54–64 52–68
Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti 55 54 0% 50–58 49–58 49–58 47–61
Venstre 43 28 0% 25–30 23–31 23–32 22–33

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.9%  
85 1.1% 99.5%  
86 1.2% 98%  
87 4% 97%  
88 3% 94%  
89 6% 90%  
90 7% 84% Majority
91 4% 77%  
92 14% 73%  
93 25% 59% Median
94 12% 34%  
95 14% 22%  
96 4% 9% Last Result
97 3% 5%  
98 0.5% 1.3%  
99 0.3% 0.8%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.8%  
85 1.2% 99.4%  
86 3% 98%  
87 4% 96%  
88 3% 92%  
89 6% 89%  
90 6% 83% Majority
91 4% 76% Last Result
92 14% 72%  
93 25% 58% Median
94 12% 34%  
95 14% 22%  
96 4% 8%  
97 3% 5%  
98 0.4% 1.2%  
99 0.3% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.5%  
74 0.6% 99.4%  
75 3% 98.8%  
76 7% 96%  
77 2% 89%  
78 17% 87%  
79 7% 70% Last Result
80 9% 62% Median
81 12% 54%  
82 18% 42%  
83 12% 24%  
84 3% 12%  
85 3% 9%  
86 4% 6%  
87 0.7% 2%  
88 1.1% 1.4%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.2% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.2% 99.4%  
74 0.9% 99.3%  
75 4% 98%  
76 7% 94%  
77 3% 87%  
78 16% 83%  
79 7% 67% Last Result
80 9% 60% Median
81 12% 51%  
82 18% 39%  
83 12% 21%  
84 3% 9%  
85 1.1% 6%  
86 3% 5%  
87 0.4% 2%  
88 1.1% 1.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0.6% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.2%  
73 7% 98.9%  
74 1.0% 92%  
75 3% 91%  
76 4% 88%  
77 7% 84%  
78 20% 77%  
79 20% 58% Median
80 8% 38% Last Result
81 8% 31%  
82 8% 23%  
83 10% 14%  
84 0.6% 4%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.7% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.2%  
73 7% 98.8%  
74 3% 92%  
75 3% 89% Last Result
76 4% 86%  
77 7% 82%  
78 18% 75%  
79 19% 57% Median
80 8% 38%  
81 8% 30%  
82 8% 22%  
83 10% 14%  
84 0.5% 4%  
85 3% 3%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0% 100%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.8% 99.7%  
69 0.9% 98.9%  
70 2% 98%  
71 3% 96%  
72 9% 93%  
73 6% 84%  
74 10% 78%  
75 13% 68%  
76 16% 56%  
77 10% 40% Median
78 4% 30% Last Result
79 9% 25%  
80 11% 16%  
81 4% 5%  
82 0.9% 1.4%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.8%  
63 1.3% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 5% 96%  
66 8% 91%  
67 6% 83%  
68 14% 77%  
69 19% 63%  
70 3% 44% Median
71 6% 41%  
72 8% 35%  
73 17% 26%  
74 4% 9%  
75 1.3% 6% Last Result
76 3% 4%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 1.2% 1.4%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.7% 99.7%  
63 2% 99.0%  
64 2% 97%  
65 6% 95%  
66 8% 89%  
67 6% 81%  
68 14% 75%  
69 18% 61%  
70 2% 42% Median
71 7% 40%  
72 10% 33%  
73 17% 23%  
74 4% 6%  
75 0.6% 2% Last Result
76 0.7% 2%  
77 0.2% 1.1%  
78 0.8% 0.9%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.9% 99.9%  
53 0.8% 99.0%  
54 1.0% 98%  
55 2% 97%  
56 2% 95%  
57 10% 94%  
58 12% 83%  
59 25% 71%  
60 7% 46% Median
61 4% 39%  
62 10% 35%  
63 16% 24%  
64 3% 8% Last Result
65 2% 5%  
66 0.5% 3%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.7% 99.8%  
53 0.7% 99.0%  
54 1.3% 98%  
55 4% 97%  
56 6% 93%  
57 5% 87%  
58 18% 82%  
59 21% 64% Last Result
60 3% 44% Median
61 9% 40%  
62 10% 31%  
63 15% 21%  
64 4% 7%  
65 0.5% 2%  
66 0.3% 2%  
67 0.4% 2%  
68 1.2% 1.2%  
69 0% 0%  

Venstre – Det Konservative Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 1.2% 99.6%  
48 0.6% 98%  
49 6% 98%  
50 5% 92%  
51 3% 87%  
52 9% 83%  
53 23% 74%  
54 12% 51% Median
55 17% 39% Last Result
56 3% 22%  
57 2% 19%  
58 15% 17%  
59 0.8% 2%  
60 0.2% 2%  
61 1.3% 1.4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 1.2% 99.9%  
23 4% 98.7%  
24 4% 95%  
25 8% 91%  
26 14% 83%  
27 19% 69%  
28 23% 51% Median
29 12% 28%  
30 9% 16%  
31 4% 7%  
32 1.4% 3%  
33 1.3% 1.5%  
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations