Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 24–30 January 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.9% 23.2–26.7% 22.8–27.2% 22.4–27.7% 21.6–28.6%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.4% 14.9–17.9% 14.5–18.4% 14.2–18.8% 13.5–19.5%
Venstre 23.4% 14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.1% 12.2–16.5% 11.6–17.2%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.2–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.7% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.0%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 44 42–47 41–48 40–50 38–52
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 29 27–32 26–33 25–34 24–35
Venstre 43 27 23–28 23–29 21–29 21–31
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–17 13–17 13–18 12–20
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 16 13–17 13–18 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 15 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 13 11–15 10–15 10–16 9–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 8–15
Liberal Alliance 4 4 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–6
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.4% 100%  
38 0.5% 99.6%  
39 1.2% 99.1%  
40 2% 98%  
41 2% 96%  
42 10% 94%  
43 21% 84%  
44 24% 64% Median
45 13% 40%  
46 8% 27%  
47 13% 19%  
48 1.4% 6% Last Result
49 1.3% 5%  
50 2% 3%  
51 1.0% 1.5%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.7%  
25 3% 99.5%  
26 3% 97%  
27 7% 94%  
28 34% 87%  
29 12% 53% Median
30 12% 41%  
31 11% 29%  
32 11% 19%  
33 5% 7%  
34 0.8% 3%  
35 2% 2%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.6%  
22 1.3% 97%  
23 8% 96%  
24 16% 88%  
25 8% 71%  
26 9% 63%  
27 27% 54% Median
28 17% 26%  
29 7% 9%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0.6% 0.7%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 2% 99.6%  
13 16% 98%  
14 34% 82% Last Result, Median
15 17% 48%  
16 12% 31%  
17 14% 19%  
18 3% 5%  
19 0.9% 2%  
20 0.9% 1.1%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.8%  
12 3% 98.8%  
13 8% 96% Last Result
14 7% 88%  
15 23% 81%  
16 34% 58% Median
17 19% 24%  
18 5% 5%  
19 0.3% 0.5%  
20 0.2% 0.2%  
21 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 1.0% 100%  
11 6% 98.9%  
12 14% 93%  
13 16% 79%  
14 10% 64%  
15 27% 54% Median
16 21% 28% Last Result
17 5% 6%  
18 0.8% 0.9%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 8% 99.5%  
11 8% 92%  
12 18% 84%  
13 35% 65% Median
14 9% 30%  
15 17% 21%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.5% 1.2%  
18 0.6% 0.6%  
19 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 2% 99.9%  
9 22% 98%  
10 25% 76%  
11 18% 51% Median
12 24% 34%  
13 8% 10%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.5% 0.8%  
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 42% 100%  
1 0% 58%  
2 0% 58%  
3 0.3% 58%  
4 42% 58% Last Result, Median
5 11% 16%  
6 4% 4%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 15%  
2 0% 15%  
3 0.2% 15%  
4 12% 15%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 89 35% 85–92 84–93 83–94 80–97
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 89 35% 85–92 84–93 83–94 80–97
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 82 3% 79–86 78–88 77–90 75–91
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 82 0.5% 78–86 76–87 75–88 74–90
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 70–77 69–79 69–80 67–82
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 74 0% 72–78 70–79 68–80 67–83
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 72–78 70–79 68–80 67–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 67–75 67–76 66–78 64–81
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 67–74 66–76 65–77 63–78
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 55–62 54–63 54–64 52–66
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 59 0% 52–61 52–62 52–63 51–65
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 55 0% 52–60 51–60 50–60 49–61
Venstre 43 27 0% 23–28 23–29 21–29 21–31

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.5% 100%  
81 0.2% 99.5%  
82 0.4% 99.2%  
83 3% 98.8%  
84 5% 96%  
85 4% 91%  
86 5% 87%  
87 8% 81%  
88 4% 73%  
89 34% 70% Median
90 7% 35% Majority
91 3% 28%  
92 17% 25%  
93 4% 8%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.7% 2%  
96 0.8% 1.3% Last Result
97 0.3% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0.5% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.5%  
82 0.4% 99.2%  
83 3% 98.8%  
84 5% 95%  
85 4% 90%  
86 5% 87%  
87 8% 81%  
88 4% 73%  
89 34% 69% Median
90 7% 35% Majority
91 3% 28% Last Result
92 17% 25%  
93 4% 8%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.6% 2%  
96 0.8% 1.3%  
97 0.3% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.2% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.5% 99.7%  
76 0.5% 99.1%  
77 1.5% 98.6%  
78 3% 97%  
79 13% 94% Last Result
80 3% 81%  
81 16% 79%  
82 27% 63%  
83 11% 36%  
84 7% 25% Median
85 4% 18%  
86 5% 14%  
87 3% 9%  
88 3% 6%  
89 1.0% 4%  
90 1.0% 3% Majority
91 1.4% 2%  
92 0.1% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 2% 99.3%  
76 2% 97%  
77 2% 95%  
78 4% 93%  
79 13% 89% Last Result
80 3% 76%  
81 18% 73%  
82 26% 55%  
83 9% 29%  
84 6% 20% Median
85 2% 13%  
86 5% 12%  
87 3% 6%  
88 2% 4%  
89 0.6% 1.2%  
90 0.4% 0.5% Majority
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.2% 100%  
65 0% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.6% 99.7%  
68 0.6% 99.0%  
69 4% 98%  
70 10% 95%  
71 8% 84%  
72 4% 77%  
73 31% 73% Median
74 12% 42%  
75 11% 29%  
76 6% 18%  
77 3% 12%  
78 4% 9% Last Result
79 3% 5%  
80 2% 3%  
81 0.3% 1.1%  
82 0.7% 0.8%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.7%  
68 3% 99.3%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 1.3% 96%  
71 3% 94%  
72 6% 92%  
73 24% 85%  
74 12% 61% Median
75 7% 49%  
76 13% 42%  
77 13% 29%  
78 7% 16%  
79 6% 9%  
80 0.6% 3% Last Result
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.3% 100%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0.3% 99.6%  
68 3% 99.3%  
69 0.8% 96%  
70 1.3% 95%  
71 3% 94%  
72 6% 92%  
73 24% 85%  
74 12% 61% Median
75 7% 49% Last Result
76 13% 42%  
77 13% 29%  
78 7% 16%  
79 6% 8%  
80 0.6% 3%  
81 1.3% 2%  
82 0.6% 1.1%  
83 0.2% 0.5%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 1.0% 99.6%  
65 0.5% 98.6%  
66 2% 98%  
67 10% 96%  
68 1.3% 86%  
69 4% 84%  
70 11% 81%  
71 7% 70%  
72 35% 63%  
73 13% 28% Median
74 2% 15%  
75 4% 13% Last Result
76 4% 9%  
77 2% 5%  
78 1.0% 3%  
79 0.4% 2%  
80 0.4% 2%  
81 1.3% 1.4%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.7%  
63 0.6% 99.5%  
64 1.3% 98.9%  
65 1.3% 98%  
66 5% 96%  
67 11% 92%  
68 4% 81%  
69 4% 77%  
70 9% 73%  
71 9% 64%  
72 33% 56%  
73 13% 23% Median
74 2% 10%  
75 2% 8% Last Result
76 3% 7%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.6% 0.8%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 1.3% 99.8%  
53 0.8% 98.5%  
54 5% 98%  
55 5% 92%  
56 12% 87%  
57 13% 75%  
58 4% 63%  
59 24% 58% Median
60 11% 34%  
61 4% 23%  
62 10% 19%  
63 6% 9%  
64 2% 3% Last Result
65 1.0% 2%  
66 0.4% 0.6%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.9%  
51 1.0% 99.6%  
52 11% 98.7%  
53 1.1% 88%  
54 4% 87%  
55 2% 82%  
56 5% 80%  
57 4% 75%  
58 15% 70%  
59 24% 55% Last Result
60 20% 31% Median
61 4% 12%  
62 4% 7%  
63 1.4% 3%  
64 0.6% 2%  
65 0.7% 1.0%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.8%  
49 0.5% 99.5%  
50 2% 99.0%  
51 3% 97%  
52 15% 94%  
53 8% 80%  
54 6% 72%  
55 27% 66% Last Result
56 8% 40% Median
57 5% 32%  
58 10% 27%  
59 2% 17%  
60 14% 15%  
61 0.5% 0.9%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.1% 0.3%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.3% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.6%  
22 1.3% 97%  
23 8% 96%  
24 16% 88%  
25 8% 71%  
26 9% 63%  
27 27% 54% Median
28 17% 26%  
29 7% 9%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0.6% 0.7%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations