Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 7–12 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.8% 23.1–26.6% 22.6–27.2% 22.3–27.6% 21.5–28.5%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.6% 15.1–18.1% 14.7–18.6% 14.4–19.0% 13.7–19.8%
Venstre 23.4% 14.1% 12.7–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.0–16.4% 11.4–17.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.1%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.4% 1.0–2.0% 0.9–2.2% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.7%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 43 41–47 41–48 40–49 38–50
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 30 27–32 26–34 26–34 25–36
Venstre 43 25 22–27 22–27 21–29 20–29
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 14–19 14–20 14–20 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 13 10–15 10–15 9–15 9–16
Dansk Folkeparti 16 10 8–11 8–12 8–12 8–13
Nye Borgerlige 4 9 7–10 7–11 7–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 6 4–8 4–8 4–9 4–9
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.3% 100%  
38 0.9% 99.6%  
39 0.5% 98.8%  
40 3% 98%  
41 6% 95%  
42 23% 90%  
43 19% 67% Median
44 4% 47%  
45 15% 43%  
46 6% 28%  
47 14% 22%  
48 5% 8% Last Result
49 2% 3%  
50 0.1% 0.5%  
51 0.2% 0.4%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 1.3% 99.9%  
26 6% 98.6%  
27 6% 93%  
28 15% 87%  
29 11% 72%  
30 19% 61% Median
31 14% 42%  
32 19% 28%  
33 4% 10%  
34 4% 5%  
35 1.2% 2%  
36 0.5% 0.5%  
37 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.8% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.1%  
22 9% 97%  
23 19% 88%  
24 10% 69%  
25 30% 59% Median
26 4% 29%  
27 20% 25%  
28 1.1% 5%  
29 3% 4%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9% Last Result
14 9% 98%  
15 4% 89%  
16 32% 85%  
17 30% 54% Median
18 13% 24%  
19 4% 10%  
20 6% 7%  
21 0.4% 1.1%  
22 0.4% 0.6%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.3% 100%  
12 1.5% 99.7%  
13 2% 98%  
14 24% 97% Last Result
15 8% 73%  
16 14% 64%  
17 26% 51% Median
18 18% 25%  
19 6% 6%  
20 0.5% 0.8%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 3% 99.9%  
10 9% 97%  
11 8% 89%  
12 24% 81%  
13 8% 57% Median
14 35% 49%  
15 12% 14%  
16 1.3% 2% Last Result
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 11% 99.6%  
9 20% 89%  
10 39% 69% Median
11 20% 30%  
12 7% 10%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.2%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0.6% 99.9%  
7 18% 99.3%  
8 31% 81%  
9 35% 50% Median
10 5% 15%  
11 7% 10%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 16% 99.7% Last Result
5 23% 84%  
6 27% 61% Median
7 24% 34%  
8 7% 11%  
9 3% 3%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 75% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 25%  
2 0% 25%  
3 0% 25%  
4 23% 25%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Median
1 0% 7%  
2 0% 7%  
3 0% 7%  
4 6% 6%  
5 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 90 52% 87–95 86–95 85–95 82–97
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 89 46% 87–95 86–95 85–95 82–96
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0.1% 75–84 75–84 75–86 74–89
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 78 0% 75–84 74–84 74–85 72–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 78 0% 73–80 73–81 71–82 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 77 0% 73–80 73–80 71–81 69–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 69–79 68–79 68–79 65–79
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 66–76 66–76 66–76 64–80
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 71 0% 66–76 66–76 66–76 62–80
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 56–66 55–66 54–66 53–67
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 57 0% 53–62 53–62 52–62 50–63
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 55 0% 51–59 49–60 48–60 48–62
Venstre 43 25 0% 22–27 22–27 21–29 20–29

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 1.2% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 98.5%  
84 0.5% 98%  
85 2% 98%  
86 3% 96%  
87 24% 92%  
88 7% 68%  
89 10% 61%  
90 6% 52% Median, Majority
91 14% 46%  
92 8% 32%  
93 8% 24%  
94 3% 16%  
95 12% 13%  
96 0.9% 1.4% Last Result
97 0.1% 0.5%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.1% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 1.3% 99.7%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 0.5% 98%  
85 2% 98%  
86 3% 96%  
87 24% 92%  
88 12% 68%  
89 10% 56%  
90 6% 46% Median, Majority
91 15% 41% Last Result
92 3% 26%  
93 8% 23%  
94 3% 15%  
95 11% 12%  
96 0.6% 1.0%  
97 0.1% 0.4%  
98 0.2% 0.3%  
99 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.3% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 0.7% 99.6%  
75 12% 98.9%  
76 2% 87%  
77 3% 85%  
78 20% 83%  
79 8% 63% Last Result
80 7% 56% Median
81 8% 48%  
82 12% 41%  
83 5% 28%  
84 19% 23%  
85 1.3% 4%  
86 1.3% 3%  
87 0.4% 2%  
88 0.2% 2%  
89 1.2% 1.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.8%  
73 0.2% 99.2%  
74 5% 99.0%  
75 15% 94%  
76 6% 79%  
77 3% 73%  
78 24% 71%  
79 5% 47% Last Result
80 5% 42% Median
81 8% 37%  
82 4% 29%  
83 5% 26%  
84 18% 21%  
85 0.4% 3%  
86 0.8% 2%  
87 0.2% 2%  
88 0.2% 1.3%  
89 1.1% 1.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 1.2% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 98.6%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 0.8% 97%  
73 19% 96%  
74 1.2% 77%  
75 5% 76%  
76 8% 71%  
77 12% 63% Median
78 6% 51%  
79 23% 45%  
80 16% 22% Last Result
81 2% 6%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.2% 1.0%  
85 0.5% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 1.2% 99.8%  
70 0.2% 98.6%  
71 1.2% 98%  
72 0.9% 97%  
73 19% 96%  
74 1.3% 77%  
75 5% 76% Last Result
76 12% 70%  
77 12% 58% Median
78 6% 46%  
79 24% 40%  
80 11% 16%  
81 2% 4%  
82 1.4% 2%  
83 0.2% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.8%  
85 0.4% 0.6%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.8%  
65 0.4% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.3%  
67 0.4% 99.0%  
68 6% 98.7%  
69 6% 93%  
70 18% 88%  
71 4% 70%  
72 8% 66%  
73 14% 58% Median
74 12% 43%  
75 15% 31%  
76 2% 16%  
77 0.5% 14%  
78 1.0% 14% Last Result
79 12% 13%  
80 0.3% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.1% 99.5%  
66 12% 99.4%  
67 2% 88%  
68 3% 85%  
69 9% 82%  
70 10% 73%  
71 10% 62% Median
72 14% 52%  
73 6% 38%  
74 2% 33%  
75 12% 30% Last Result
76 16% 18%  
77 0.6% 2%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.2% 1.4%  
80 1.0% 1.2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.5% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.5%  
64 0.5% 99.3%  
65 0.4% 98.8%  
66 18% 98%  
67 3% 80%  
68 8% 77%  
69 10% 69%  
70 5% 59%  
71 17% 54% Median
72 9% 37%  
73 5% 28%  
74 2% 23%  
75 4% 21% Last Result
76 15% 17%  
77 0.2% 2%  
78 0.3% 1.5%  
79 0.1% 1.2%  
80 1.0% 1.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.6% 100%  
54 4% 99.4%  
55 1.5% 95%  
56 4% 94%  
57 13% 89%  
58 7% 76%  
59 6% 69% Last Result
60 8% 62%  
61 20% 54% Median
62 2% 35%  
63 9% 33%  
64 5% 23%  
65 2% 19%  
66 15% 17%  
67 1.4% 2%  
68 0% 0.3%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.8%  
50 0.4% 99.8%  
51 1.1% 99.4%  
52 2% 98%  
53 6% 96%  
54 8% 90%  
55 8% 82%  
56 22% 75% Median
57 27% 52%  
58 4% 25%  
59 2% 21%  
60 5% 19%  
61 1.2% 14%  
62 11% 13%  
63 1.3% 1.4%  
64 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 4% 99.8%  
49 1.4% 95%  
50 0.9% 94%  
51 5% 93%  
52 7% 88%  
53 19% 80%  
54 9% 61%  
55 20% 52% Last Result, Median
56 5% 32%  
57 3% 27%  
58 2% 24%  
59 15% 21%  
60 4% 6%  
61 0.5% 2%  
62 1.2% 1.3%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.8% 99.9%  
21 2% 99.1%  
22 9% 97%  
23 19% 88%  
24 10% 69%  
25 30% 59% Median
26 4% 29%  
27 20% 25%  
28 1.1% 5%  
29 3% 4%  
30 0.3% 0.4%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations