Opinion Poll by Epinion for DR, 9–16 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 24.8% 23.6–26.0% 23.3–26.4% 23.0–26.7% 22.4–27.3%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.8% 15.8–17.9% 15.5–18.2% 15.3–18.5% 14.8–19.0%
Venstre 23.4% 13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.9–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.5–9.0% 7.3–9.3% 7.1–9.5% 6.8–9.9%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 8.2% 7.5–9.0% 7.3–9.3% 7.1–9.5% 6.8–9.9%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 7.8% 7.1–8.6% 6.9–8.8% 6.7–9.0% 6.4–9.4%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 6.8% 6.2–7.6% 6.0–7.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.4%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.3% 5.7–7.0% 5.5–7.2% 5.3–7.4% 5.0–7.8%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 2.5% 2.1–3.0% 2.0–3.1% 1.9–3.3% 1.7–3.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.5% 1.2–1.9% 1.1–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 0.9–2.3%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.9% 0.7–1.2% 0.6–1.3% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6%
Alternativet 3.0% 0.6% 0.4–0.9% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.3–1.2%
Veganerpartiet 0.0% 0.4% 0.3–0.6% 0.2–0.7% 0.2–0.8% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 45 43–47 42–48 42–49 41–51
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 31 29–32 28–33 27–34 26–35
Venstre 43 24 22–25 21–26 21–26 20–28
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 12–18
Nye Borgerlige 4 14 12–16 12–16 12–17 12–18
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 14 13–15 13–16 12–16 12–17
Radikale Venstre 16 13 11–14 11–14 10–15 10–15
Dansk Folkeparti 16 12 10–14 10–14 9–14 9–14
Liberal Alliance 4 4 4–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alternativet 5 0 0 0 0 0
Veganerpartiet 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.4% 100%  
41 1.1% 99.5%  
42 3% 98%  
43 6% 95%  
44 19% 89%  
45 40% 70% Median
46 8% 30%  
47 15% 21%  
48 3% 6% Last Result
49 2% 4%  
50 0.3% 1.5%  
51 1.2% 1.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0.6% 100%  
27 4% 99.4%  
28 3% 95%  
29 12% 92%  
30 8% 80%  
31 33% 72% Median
32 30% 39%  
33 7% 10%  
34 1.2% 3%  
35 1.5% 2%  
36 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 2% 99.8%  
21 5% 98%  
22 6% 94%  
23 26% 88%  
24 23% 61% Median
25 31% 38%  
26 6% 7%  
27 0.7% 1.2%  
28 0.2% 0.5%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 8% 100%  
13 6% 92%  
14 47% 86% Last Result, Median
15 22% 39%  
16 14% 17%  
17 3% 3%  
18 0.4% 0.6%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 12% 100%  
13 5% 88%  
14 44% 84% Median
15 21% 40%  
16 14% 19%  
17 2% 5%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.2% 100%  
12 3% 99.8%  
13 34% 97% Last Result
14 19% 63% Median
15 38% 44%  
16 4% 6%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 3% 100%  
11 23% 97%  
12 16% 74%  
13 24% 58% Median
14 30% 34%  
15 4% 4%  
16 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 3% 100%  
10 11% 97%  
11 26% 86%  
12 13% 61% Median
13 29% 48%  
14 18% 18%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 0% 93%  
2 0% 93%  
3 0% 93%  
4 45% 93% Last Result, Median
5 39% 49%  
6 9% 9%  
7 0.6% 0.7%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 6% 6%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0% Last Result

Veganerpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Veganerpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 87 5% 82–89 82–90 82–91 80–93
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre 91 87 5% 82–89 82–90 82–91 80–93
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 87 2% 83–89 82–89 81–89 80–91
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 87 2% 82–89 81–89 81–89 79–91
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet 80 74 0% 71–76 70–77 69–79 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 75 74 0% 71–76 70–77 69–79 68–80
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 73 0% 69–75 69–76 69–77 66–78
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 67–74 67–74 66–75 65–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 67–74 67–74 66–75 64–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 60 0% 55–61 55–62 53–63 53–64
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 58 0% 55–60 55–62 54–62 53–62
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 56 0% 51–56 50–57 50–59 49–59
Venstre 43 24 0% 22–25 21–26 21–26 20–28

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 2% 100%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 12% 98%  
83 4% 86%  
84 7% 83%  
85 3% 75%  
86 20% 73% Median
87 8% 52%  
88 34% 44%  
89 6% 11%  
90 2% 5% Majority
91 2% 3%  
92 0.7% 1.4%  
93 0.3% 0.7%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0% Last Result

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 2% 100%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 12% 98%  
83 4% 86%  
84 7% 83%  
85 3% 75%  
86 20% 73% Median
87 8% 52%  
88 34% 44%  
89 6% 11%  
90 2% 5% Majority
91 2% 3% Last Result
92 0.7% 1.4%  
93 0.3% 0.7%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.8% Last Result
80 0.2% 99.5%  
81 4% 99.4%  
82 3% 96%  
83 12% 92%  
84 13% 81%  
85 11% 68% Median
86 3% 57%  
87 36% 54%  
88 2% 18%  
89 13% 16%  
90 0.5% 2% Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
80 0.3% 99.4%  
81 7% 99.1%  
82 4% 92%  
83 12% 89%  
84 13% 77%  
85 9% 63% Median
86 3% 54%  
87 35% 52%  
88 1.5% 16%  
89 13% 15%  
90 0.4% 2% Majority
91 2% 2%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.6% 100%  
69 2% 99.4%  
70 4% 97%  
71 15% 93%  
72 5% 78%  
73 11% 73% Median
74 37% 63%  
75 9% 26%  
76 9% 17%  
77 4% 8%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 1.4% 2% Last Result
81 0.4% 0.4%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.6% 100%  
69 2% 99.4%  
70 4% 97%  
71 15% 93%  
72 5% 78%  
73 11% 73% Median
74 37% 63%  
75 9% 26% Last Result
76 9% 17%  
77 4% 8%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.2% 3%  
80 1.4% 2%  
81 0.4% 0.4%  
82 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 2% 100%  
67 0.1% 98%  
68 0.5% 98%  
69 15% 98%  
70 6% 82%  
71 13% 77%  
72 6% 64% Median
73 38% 58%  
74 7% 20%  
75 7% 13%  
76 4% 7%  
77 0.5% 3%  
78 2% 2% Last Result
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.7%  
65 0.4% 99.6%  
66 2% 99.2%  
67 9% 97%  
68 7% 88%  
69 4% 82%  
70 3% 78%  
71 14% 75% Median
72 17% 61%  
73 27% 44%  
74 14% 17%  
75 2% 4% Last Result
76 1.1% 1.3%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.4% 99.5%  
66 2% 99.0%  
67 12% 97%  
68 8% 85%  
69 4% 77%  
70 3% 73%  
71 11% 70% Median
72 16% 59%  
73 26% 43%  
74 14% 17%  
75 2% 3% Last Result
76 0.9% 1.0%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 4% 99.8%  
54 0.5% 96%  
55 6% 96%  
56 8% 90%  
57 5% 81%  
58 5% 76%  
59 3% 71% Last Result, Median
60 45% 68%  
61 14% 23%  
62 4% 8%  
63 3% 4%  
64 0.7% 0.8%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 1.4% 99.8%  
54 3% 98%  
55 13% 95%  
56 10% 82%  
57 10% 72%  
58 14% 62% Median
59 34% 48%  
60 7% 14%  
61 2% 7%  
62 5% 5%  
63 0.3% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
65 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.9%  
50 7% 99.5%  
51 4% 93%  
52 6% 89%  
53 9% 83%  
54 3% 74%  
55 16% 71% Last Result, Median
56 46% 55%  
57 4% 9%  
58 2% 5%  
59 2% 3%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100%  
20 2% 99.8%  
21 5% 98%  
22 6% 94%  
23 26% 88%  
24 23% 61% Median
25 31% 38%  
26 6% 7%  
27 0.7% 1.2%  
28 0.2% 0.5%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations