Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 14–20 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.6% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
Venstre 23.4% 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–17.0% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.0%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.7% 6.7–11.3%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.8–9.0% 5.4–9.6%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.5% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.2%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.7–2.8%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 46 42–50 42–51 41–51 40–51
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 29 25–31 25–32 25–33 24–34
Venstre 43 26 24–29 24–29 23–30 23–32
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–22
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 17 15–18 14–18 13–19 12–20
Radikale Venstre 16 13 11–14 11–15 10–16 10–18
Dansk Folkeparti 16 11 10–13 9–13 9–13 8–14
Nye Borgerlige 4 8 7–10 6–10 6–11 6–12
Liberal Alliance 4 6 5–7 5–8 5–8 4–9
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–5
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0–4

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.3% 99.9%  
40 1.0% 99.6%  
41 2% 98.5%  
42 19% 97%  
43 11% 78%  
44 8% 67%  
45 7% 59%  
46 7% 52% Median
47 28% 46%  
48 4% 17% Last Result
49 3% 14%  
50 3% 10%  
51 7% 7%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.3% 100%  
24 1.2% 99.7%  
25 9% 98%  
26 4% 90%  
27 11% 86%  
28 4% 76%  
29 24% 72% Median
30 8% 48%  
31 35% 40%  
32 2% 5%  
33 3% 4%  
34 0.2% 0.6%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 4% 99.6%  
24 28% 96%  
25 12% 67%  
26 6% 56% Median
27 6% 50%  
28 15% 43%  
29 25% 29%  
30 2% 4%  
31 1.2% 2%  
32 0.5% 1.0%  
33 0.4% 0.5%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 2% 99.9% Last Result
14 1.4% 98%  
15 9% 97%  
16 21% 88%  
17 36% 67% Median
18 15% 30%  
19 10% 15%  
20 4% 5%  
21 0.5% 1.1%  
22 0.5% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 2% 99.9%  
13 3% 98%  
14 5% 95% Last Result
15 15% 90%  
16 18% 75%  
17 26% 58% Median
18 27% 32%  
19 4% 5%  
20 0.8% 1.1%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 4% 99.8%  
11 12% 96%  
12 9% 84%  
13 40% 75% Median
14 25% 35%  
15 6% 9%  
16 2% 3% Last Result
17 0.6% 1.3%  
18 0.6% 0.7%  
19 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0.9% 99.8%  
9 5% 98.9%  
10 10% 94%  
11 38% 84% Median
12 32% 46%  
13 12% 13%  
14 1.5% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.3%  
16 0% 0.1% Last Result
17 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.1% 100%  
6 5% 99.9%  
7 10% 95%  
8 36% 85% Median
9 37% 50%  
10 10% 12%  
11 2% 3%  
12 0.8% 0.9%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100% Last Result
5 8% 98%  
6 51% 90% Median
7 30% 39%  
8 7% 9%  
9 1.2% 1.5%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0.1% 10%  
4 8% 10%  
5 1.4% 1.5% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 1.1%  
2 0% 1.1%  
3 0% 1.1%  
4 1.0% 1.1%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 93 73% 89–97 88–98 86–98 84–99
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 92 66% 88–96 87–98 86–98 84–98
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 81 0.5% 77–86 77–86 77–86 74–90
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance 79 81 0.4% 77–86 77–86 77–86 74–89
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 80 0% 75–83 75–85 74–85 72–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 79 0% 75–82 74–85 73–85 71–86
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 75 0% 71–78 69–80 69–80 67–81
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 72 0% 69–77 68–78 68–79 67–81
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 72 0% 69–77 68–78 68–79 67–80
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 58–65 56–67 56–67 56–69
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 59 0% 55–62 54–64 54–64 52–66
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 55 0% 52–59 50–59 50–60 50–62
Venstre 43 26 0% 24–29 24–29 23–30 23–32

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 1.1% 99.5%  
86 1.1% 98%  
87 1.2% 97%  
88 2% 96%  
89 21% 94%  
90 6% 73% Majority
91 9% 67%  
92 7% 58%  
93 8% 51% Median
94 3% 43%  
95 28% 39%  
96 1.0% 11% Last Result
97 2% 10%  
98 7% 8%  
99 0.3% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.2% 0.2%  
102 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.3% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.6%  
85 1.3% 99.2%  
86 2% 98%  
87 2% 96%  
88 6% 95%  
89 23% 89%  
90 6% 66% Majority
91 9% 60% Last Result
92 3% 51%  
93 7% 47% Median
94 3% 40%  
95 28% 38%  
96 0.7% 10%  
97 2% 9%  
98 7% 7%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.9% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.0%  
76 0.7% 98%  
77 8% 98%  
78 3% 90%  
79 2% 87% Last Result
80 29% 85% Median
81 6% 56%  
82 7% 50%  
83 8% 42%  
84 9% 35%  
85 4% 26%  
86 20% 22%  
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.5% 1.5%  
89 0.4% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.5% Majority
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Nye Borgerlige – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.1% 99.9%  
74 0.9% 99.9%  
75 0.5% 99.0%  
76 0.7% 98%  
77 8% 98%  
78 3% 90%  
79 2% 87% Last Result
80 29% 85% Median
81 7% 56%  
82 7% 49%  
83 8% 42%  
84 9% 34%  
85 3% 25%  
86 20% 22%  
87 0.8% 2%  
88 0.7% 1.4%  
89 0.4% 0.8%  
90 0.2% 0.4% Majority
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.5%  
73 2% 99.1%  
74 1.2% 98%  
75 18% 96%  
76 5% 79%  
77 6% 73%  
78 6% 68%  
79 9% 62%  
80 7% 53% Last Result, Median
81 7% 46%  
82 28% 39%  
83 2% 11%  
84 0.8% 9%  
85 8% 9%  
86 0.5% 0.9%  
87 0.3% 0.4%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.5% 99.7%  
72 0.5% 99.2%  
73 2% 98.8%  
74 2% 97%  
75 18% 94% Last Result
76 6% 76%  
77 9% 70%  
78 6% 61%  
79 9% 55%  
80 7% 47% Median
81 3% 40%  
82 27% 37%  
83 0.8% 9%  
84 0.5% 8%  
85 7% 8%  
86 0.4% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.7%  
68 1.4% 99.5%  
69 5% 98%  
70 3% 93%  
71 3% 91%  
72 6% 87%  
73 25% 81%  
74 6% 56%  
75 4% 51%  
76 4% 47% Median
77 5% 43%  
78 29% 38% Last Result
79 2% 9%  
80 6% 8%  
81 0.9% 1.2%  
82 0.1% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.5% 99.6%  
68 7% 99.0%  
69 2% 92%  
70 3% 89%  
71 6% 87%  
72 31% 81% Median
73 5% 49%  
74 7% 44%  
75 7% 37% Last Result
76 3% 31%  
77 22% 28%  
78 1.4% 6%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.8% 1.5%  
81 0.4% 0.6%  
82 0% 0.3%  
83 0.2% 0.2%  
84 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 99.8%  
67 0.6% 99.6%  
68 7% 99.0%  
69 2% 92%  
70 3% 89%  
71 6% 86%  
72 32% 81% Median
73 5% 49%  
74 7% 43%  
75 7% 36% Last Result
76 3% 30%  
77 22% 27%  
78 1.3% 6%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.8% 1.3%  
81 0.4% 0.5%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 7% 99.7%  
57 0.6% 93%  
58 3% 92%  
59 4% 89% Last Result
60 5% 85%  
61 35% 80% Median
62 5% 45%  
63 5% 40%  
64 8% 35%  
65 19% 28%  
66 4% 9%  
67 4% 6%  
68 0.4% 1.2%  
69 0.6% 0.8%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.6% 99.7%  
53 1.0% 99.2%  
54 6% 98%  
55 2% 92%  
56 25% 90%  
57 5% 65%  
58 6% 59%  
59 10% 54% Median
60 29% 44%  
61 2% 15%  
62 4% 14%  
63 1.3% 9%  
64 7% 8% Last Result
65 0.9% 1.4%  
66 0.3% 0.5%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.8%  
50 7% 99.6%  
51 3% 93%  
52 2% 90%  
53 3% 88%  
54 8% 85%  
55 34% 77% Last Result, Median
56 3% 43%  
57 4% 39%  
58 25% 36%  
59 7% 11%  
60 3% 4%  
61 0.5% 1.3%  
62 0.3% 0.8%  
63 0.1% 0.5%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 4% 99.6%  
24 28% 96%  
25 12% 67%  
26 6% 56% Median
27 6% 50%  
28 15% 43%  
29 25% 29%  
30 2% 4%  
31 1.2% 2%  
32 0.5% 1.0%  
33 0.4% 0.5%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations