Opinion Poll by Voxmeter, 21–27 February 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 25.9% 26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.0–30.2%
Det Konservative Folkeparti 6.6% 16.8% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.6–19.3% 14.0–20.1%
Venstre 23.4% 14.5% 13.2–16.1% 12.8–16.5% 12.5–16.9% 11.9–17.6%
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 6.9% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
Socialistisk Folkeparti 7.7% 8.2% 7.1–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Radikale Venstre 8.6% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.7–10.1%
Nye Borgerlige 2.4% 5.6% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
Dansk Folkeparti 8.7% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
Liberal Alliance 2.3% 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.4% 1.9–4.8%
Alternativet 3.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.6–2.5%
Kristendemokraterne 1.7% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
Frie Grønne 0.0% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne 48 49 45–50 44–51 43–52 41–54
Det Konservative Folkeparti 12 29 28–33 27–34 26–36 25–36
Venstre 43 27 24–27 23–29 22–30 21–31
Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne 13 17 15–18 14–20 13–20 12–20
Socialistisk Folkeparti 14 16 14–17 13–17 12–18 11–19
Radikale Venstre 16 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–19
Nye Borgerlige 4 11 8–12 8–12 8–13 7–14
Dansk Folkeparti 16 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
Liberal Alliance 4 5 5–7 5–7 4–8 0–8
Alternativet 5 0 0 0–4 0–4 0–4
Kristendemokraterne 0 0 0 0 0 0
Frie Grønne 0 0 0 0 0 0

Socialdemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialdemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.2% 100%  
41 0.6% 99.8%  
42 0.7% 99.2%  
43 1.2% 98.5%  
44 5% 97%  
45 8% 93%  
46 4% 85%  
47 19% 80%  
48 8% 61% Last Result
49 6% 53% Median
50 40% 46%  
51 2% 6%  
52 3% 4%  
53 0.5% 1.3%  
54 0.5% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.3%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Det Konservative Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 1.0% 99.6%  
26 2% 98.6%  
27 3% 97%  
28 38% 94%  
29 8% 56% Median
30 12% 48%  
31 21% 36%  
32 4% 15%  
33 4% 11%  
34 2% 6%  
35 1.3% 4%  
36 3% 3%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 2% 100%  
22 1.5% 98%  
23 3% 96%  
24 22% 93%  
25 7% 71%  
26 9% 64%  
27 46% 55% Median
28 4% 10%  
29 2% 6%  
30 0.8% 3%  
31 2% 2%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.5% 99.9%  
13 3% 99.4% Last Result
14 3% 96%  
15 26% 93%  
16 8% 68%  
17 39% 59% Median
18 11% 21%  
19 4% 10%  
20 5% 5%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Socialistisk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistisk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.6% 100%  
12 3% 99.4%  
13 5% 97%  
14 18% 92% Last Result
15 16% 74%  
16 40% 58% Median
17 14% 17%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.9% 1.1%  
20 0.2% 0.3%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Radikale Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Radikale Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.9%  
11 6% 99.2%  
12 41% 93%  
13 7% 52% Median
14 28% 45%  
15 8% 17%  
16 7% 9% Last Result
17 1.0% 2%  
18 0.3% 1.0%  
19 0.5% 0.7%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Nye Borgerlige

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nye Borgerlige page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 13% 98%  
9 12% 85%  
10 12% 73%  
11 21% 61% Median
12 35% 40%  
13 3% 5%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0%  

Dansk Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dansk Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 6% 98%  
7 22% 92%  
8 53% 71% Median
9 12% 18%  
10 4% 6%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Alliance

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Alliance page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.2% 100%  
1 0% 98.8%  
2 0% 98.8%  
3 0% 98.8%  
4 3% 98.8% Last Result
5 53% 95% Median
6 23% 42%  
7 15% 20%  
8 4% 4%  
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Alternativet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alternativet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 9% 10%  
5 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Kristendemokraterne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristendemokraterne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.3%  
2 0% 0.3%  
3 0% 0.3%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Frie Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Frie Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet 96 95 93% 90–96 89–98 87–99 87–100
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 91 95 87% 89–96 88–98 87–98 85–100
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 79 80 0.1% 77–83 75–84 75–86 72–87
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 79 80 0.1% 77–83 75–84 75–86 72–87
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet 80 82 0% 76–83 75–83 73–85 72–86
Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti 75 82 0% 76–83 75–83 73–84 72–85
Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre 78 78 0% 73–79 72–82 72–83 69–83
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne 75 68 0% 67–74 66–74 65–75 63–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance 75 68 0% 67–74 66–74 65–75 63–76
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance 59 61 0% 59–65 57–66 56–67 55–69
Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre 64 62 0% 58–64 57–66 56–67 55–68
Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre 55 55 0% 54–59 52–61 51–62 49–63
Venstre 43 27 0% 24–27 23–29 22–30 21–31

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.2% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 3% 99.5%  
88 0.9% 97%  
89 3% 96%  
90 3% 93% Majority
91 13% 90%  
92 6% 77%  
93 10% 71%  
94 7% 61%  
95 34% 54% Median
96 11% 19% Last Result
97 2% 8%  
98 4% 7%  
99 0.9% 3%  
100 1.4% 2%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.4% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.5%  
86 0.2% 99.4%  
87 3% 99.2%  
88 4% 96%  
89 6% 93%  
90 4% 87% Majority
91 13% 83% Last Result
92 3% 69%  
93 7% 66%  
94 7% 59%  
95 34% 52% Median
96 11% 18%  
97 1.3% 7%  
98 3% 5%  
99 0.9% 2%  
100 1.3% 2%  
101 0.1% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.4%  
74 1.2% 98.8%  
75 4% 98%  
76 2% 94%  
77 7% 91%  
78 5% 84%  
79 20% 79% Last Result
80 34% 60% Median
81 7% 25%  
82 6% 19%  
83 4% 12%  
84 4% 9%  
85 2% 5%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Nye Borgerlige – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.9%  
73 0.5% 99.4%  
74 1.2% 98.8%  
75 4% 98%  
76 2% 93%  
77 7% 91%  
78 5% 84%  
79 20% 79% Last Result
80 34% 59% Median
81 7% 25%  
82 6% 18%  
83 4% 12%  
84 4% 9%  
85 2% 5%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0.1% Majority
91 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Alternativet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.4% 99.7%  
73 2% 99.3%  
74 0.4% 97%  
75 2% 96%  
76 4% 94%  
77 13% 90%  
78 4% 77%  
79 5% 73%  
80 9% 68% Last Result
81 4% 59%  
82 14% 55% Median
83 37% 41%  
84 0.6% 4%  
85 2% 3%  
86 1.0% 1.4%  
87 0.1% 0.4%  
88 0.3% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.1%  
90 0% 0% Majority

Socialdemokraterne – Enhedslisten–De Rød-Grønne – Socialistisk Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.6%  
73 3% 99.0%  
74 0.8% 96%  
75 2% 95% Last Result
76 10% 93%  
77 13% 82%  
78 3% 70%  
79 6% 66%  
80 3% 61%  
81 4% 58%  
82 14% 54% Median
83 37% 39%  
84 0.4% 3%  
85 2% 2%  
86 0.2% 0.4%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Socialistisk Folkeparti – Radikale Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.7%  
70 0.6% 99.4%  
71 1.0% 98.8%  
72 5% 98%  
73 6% 93%  
74 8% 87%  
75 2% 79%  
76 14% 77%  
77 5% 63%  
78 47% 58% Last Result, Median
79 1.4% 10%  
80 2% 9%  
81 2% 7%  
82 2% 5%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance – Kristendemokraterne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 98%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 6% 96%  
67 5% 90%  
68 48% 85%  
69 6% 37% Median
70 3% 32%  
71 12% 29%  
72 3% 17%  
73 4% 15%  
74 8% 11%  
75 2% 3% Last Result
76 0.4% 0.9%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Dansk Folkeparti – Liberal Alliance

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 2% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 98%  
65 1.4% 98%  
66 6% 96%  
67 5% 90%  
68 48% 85%  
69 6% 37% Median
70 3% 31%  
71 12% 29%  
72 2% 17%  
73 4% 15%  
74 8% 11%  
75 2% 3% Last Result
76 0.4% 0.8%  
77 0.2% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre – Liberal Alliance

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.8% 99.8%  
56 3% 99.0%  
57 1.0% 96%  
58 3% 95%  
59 2% 92% Last Result
60 38% 90%  
61 18% 52% Median
62 10% 34%  
63 7% 23%  
64 2% 16%  
65 5% 14%  
66 5% 9%  
67 2% 4%  
68 0.7% 1.2%  
69 0.2% 0.5%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Socialdemokraterne – Radikale Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.5% 100%  
55 1.0% 99.5%  
56 3% 98.5%  
57 3% 95%  
58 4% 92%  
59 1.0% 88%  
60 9% 87%  
61 22% 78%  
62 37% 55% Median
63 5% 18%  
64 6% 14% Last Result
65 2% 8%  
66 3% 6%  
67 2% 3%  
68 0.5% 0.9%  
69 0.2% 0.4%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Det Konservative Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.8% 99.9%  
50 1.2% 99.0%  
51 1.0% 98%  
52 3% 97%  
53 4% 94%  
54 2% 90%  
55 57% 88% Last Result
56 7% 31% Median
57 6% 24%  
58 7% 18%  
59 2% 11%  
60 3% 8%  
61 2% 6%  
62 3% 3%  
63 0.3% 0.6%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 2% 100%  
22 1.5% 98%  
23 3% 96%  
24 22% 93%  
25 7% 71%  
26 9% 64%  
27 46% 55% Median
28 4% 10%  
29 2% 6%  
30 0.8% 3%  
31 2% 2%  
32 0.2% 0.3%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations