Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.9% | 10.7–15.6% | 10.2–16.3% | 9.9–16.8% | 9.2–17.7% |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.9–14.0% |
| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
11.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
12.8% | 11.8–13.9% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.7–15.1% |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 15.0% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.1–17.1% | 12.8–17.5% | 12.1–18.3% |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
16.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 98.8% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 15% | 92% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 20% | 77% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 20% | 57% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 14% | 37% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 11% | 22% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 8% | 11% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–5 July 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 17–24 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10–17 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
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| 10–17 June 2024 | Kantar Emor ERR |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–11 June 2024 | Turu-uuringute AS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3–10 June 2024 | Norstat MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (ID).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |