Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) EÜVP Rohelised SDE Ref Kesk Kaljulaid Isamaa EP E200 ERK EKRE EVA Koos
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 0–1%
0
1–3%
0
11–17%
1
14–21%
1–2
12–17%
1
N/A
N/A
20–28%
2–3
4–8%
0
2–5%
0
1–2%
0
12–18%
1–2
N/A
N/A
1–3%
0
9–15 December 2024 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
N/A
N/A
2–4%
0
13–17%
1–2
14–18%
1–2
13–17%
1
N/A
N/A
23–28%
2–3
3–6%
0
2–4%
0
1–2%
0
14–18%
1–2
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
21–30 November 2024 Turu-uuringute AS 0–1%
0
1–2%
0
11–15%
1
17–22%
2
11–15%
1
N/A
N/A
19–25%
2
5–9%
0
3–5%
0
1–2%
0
12–16%
1
N/A
N/A
1–3%
0
14–21 November 2024 Kantar Emor
ERR
N/A
N/A
1–2%
0
12–16%
1
16–19%
1–2
13–17%
1
N/A
N/A
22–26%
2–3
5–8%
0
3–5%
0
1–2%
0
12–16%
1
N/A
N/A
2–3%
0
9 June 2024 General Election 0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 0.3% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.0–1.0%
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.5% 0.9–2.7% 0.8–3.0% 0.7–3.2% 0.5–3.7%
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) 0.0% 14.0% 12.3–15.8% 11.9–16.3% 11.4–16.7% 10.7–17.6%
Eesti Reformierakond (RE) 0.0% 17.4% 15.2–19.8% 14.7–20.5% 14.2–21.0% 13.5–22.1%
Eesti Keskerakond (RE) 0.0% 14.3% 12.4–15.9% 11.9–16.3% 11.5–16.7% 10.7–17.4%
Raimond Kaljulaid (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Erakond Isamaa (EPP) 0.0% 24.0% 21.3–26.4% 20.6–27.0% 20.1–27.6% 19.1–28.6%
Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP) 0.0% 6.2% 4.2–7.6% 3.9–8.0% 3.7–8.4% 3.3–9.1%
Eesti 200 (EPP) 0.0% 3.9% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.8%
Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR) 0.0% 1.3% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.2% 0.4–2.5%
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE) 0.0% 14.4% 12.9–16.5% 12.5–17.1% 12.1–17.6% 11.5–18.5%
Eesti Vabaerakond (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Koos (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–2.9% 0.8–3.1% 0.6–3.5%

Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0.5% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 5% 99.4%  
12.5–13.5% 20% 94%  
13.5–14.5% 28% 74% Median
14.5–15.5% 22% 46%  
15.5–16.5% 15% 24%  
16.5–17.5% 7% 10%  
17.5–18.5% 2% 3%  
18.5–19.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 2% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 15% 98%  
4.5–5.5% 17% 83%  
5.5–6.5% 28% 66% Median
6.5–7.5% 27% 38%  
7.5–8.5% 9% 11%  
8.5–9.5% 2% 2%  
9.5–10.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.3% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 3% 99.7%  
11.5–12.5% 10% 97%  
12.5–13.5% 23% 87%  
13.5–14.5% 30% 64% Median
14.5–15.5% 21% 34%  
15.5–16.5% 10% 13%  
16.5–17.5% 3% 3%  
17.5–18.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
18.5–19.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Koos (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Koos (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.1% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 30% 99.9%  
1.5–2.5% 53% 70% Median
2.5–3.5% 17% 17%  
3.5–4.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Eesti Reformierakond (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Reformierakond (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0.6% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 4% 99.4%  
14.5–15.5% 10% 96%  
15.5–16.5% 17% 86%  
16.5–17.5% 22% 69% Median
17.5–18.5% 20% 47%  
18.5–19.5% 14% 27%  
19.5–20.5% 8% 13%  
20.5–21.5% 4% 5%  
21.5–22.5% 1.0% 1.2%  
22.5–23.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  

Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.9% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 51% 99.1%  
1.5–2.5% 34% 48% Median
2.5–3.5% 14% 15%  
3.5–4.5% 0.8% 0.8%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Erakond Isamaa (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Isamaa (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0.1% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 1.0% 99.8%  
19.5–20.5% 4% 98.9%  
20.5–21.5% 8% 95%  
21.5–22.5% 12% 87%  
22.5–23.5% 17% 75%  
23.5–24.5% 21% 59% Median
24.5–25.5% 18% 38%  
25.5–26.5% 12% 20%  
26.5–27.5% 6% 8%  
27.5–28.5% 2% 3%  
28.5–29.5% 0.5% 0.5%  
29.5–30.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
30.5–31.5% 0% 0%  

Eesti Keskerakond (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Keskerakond (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.3% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 3% 99.7%  
11.5–12.5% 9% 97%  
12.5–13.5% 18% 88%  
13.5–14.5% 28% 70% Median
14.5–15.5% 27% 42%  
15.5–16.5% 13% 16%  
16.5–17.5% 3% 3%  
17.5–18.5% 0.3% 0.4%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  

Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 72% 98% Median
1.5–2.5% 26% 27%  
2.5–3.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Eesti 200 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti 200 (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 3% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 30% 97%  
3.5–4.5% 48% 67% Median
4.5–5.5% 18% 19%  
5.5–6.5% 1.1% 1.1%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 87% 100% Last Result, Median
0.5–1.5% 13% 13%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Eesti Reformierakond (RE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Keskerakond (RE) 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Raimond Kaljulaid (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Erakond Isamaa (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Eesti 200 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE) 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Eesti Vabaerakond (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Koos (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Eesti Reformierakond (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Reformierakond (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 35% 100%  
2 65% 65% Median
3 0% 0%  

Eesti Keskerakond (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Keskerakond (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.9% 100% Median
2 1.1% 1.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Raimond Kaljulaid (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Raimond Kaljulaid (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Erakond Isamaa (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Isamaa (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 77% 100% Median
3 23% 23%  
4 0% 0% Majority

Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

Eesti 200 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti 200 (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 93% 100% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Eesti Vabaerakond (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Eesti Vabaerakond (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Koos (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Koos (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Eesti 200 (EPP) – Erakond Isamaa (EPP) – Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Eesti Keskerakond (RE) – Eesti Reformierakond (RE) – Raimond Kaljulaid (RE) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE) 0 1 0% 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1–2
Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Eesti Vabaerakond () – Koos () 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Eesti 200 (EPP) – Erakond Isamaa (EPP) – Erakond Parempoolsed (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 76% 100% Median
3 24% 24%  
4 0% 0% Majority

Eesti Keskerakond (RE) – Eesti Reformierakond (RE) – Raimond Kaljulaid (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 33% 100%  
3 67% 67% Median
4 0% 0% Majority

Eesti Konservatiivne Rahvaerakond (PfE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 93% 100% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98% 100% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Eesti Rahvuslased ja Konservatiivid (ECR)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Eesti Vabaerakond () – Koos ()

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Eestimaa Ühendatud Vasakpartei (GUE/NGL)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Erakond Eestimaa Rohelised (Greens/EFA)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information